The numbers in Kentucky absolutely do add up.
- Kentucky is a heavily Republican state (Trump +26 in '20)
- Eastern Kentucky has gotten increasingly more Republican
- Senate results have become increasingly correlated with presidential results
- Kentucky is a heavily Republican state (Trump +26 in '20)
- Eastern Kentucky has gotten increasingly more Republican
- Senate results have become increasingly correlated with presidential results
https://twitter.com/RawStory/status/1340045136722587648?s=20
One of the points in the article is that McGrath underperformed party registration statistics in rural Breathitt County, KY.
But the explanation is simple: over last 20 years, many former Democrats started voting Republican, but they just didn't update their party registration.
But the explanation is simple: over last 20 years, many former Democrats started voting Republican, but they just didn't update their party registration.
Another example raised is Elliott County, which never voted for McConnell before 2020.
But this is also easily explainable. The county used to be Democratic, but has gotten more Republican because of: (1) Policy issues like coal (2) Trump's gains with white working class voters
But this is also easily explainable. The county used to be Democratic, but has gotten more Republican because of: (1) Policy issues like coal (2) Trump's gains with white working class voters
This can all basically be boiled down to a few trends:
- Republicans have gained with white working class voters recently, starting at the presidential level.
- Voters have increasingly been voting for the party, not the person.
In places like Kentucky, this advantages the GOP.
- Republicans have gained with white working class voters recently, starting at the presidential level.
- Voters have increasingly been voting for the party, not the person.
In places like Kentucky, this advantages the GOP.
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