Prediction: Demands will escalate that amateurs abstain from independent analysis and defer to credentialed experts.
The better the analysis, the more strident the denunciations will be.
The reason is that credentials are increasingly a filter for ideology, not competence. 1/7
Within many academic & professional domains, a key purpose of gatekeepers (credentialers, journals, etc) is to enforce ideological discipline—to ensure that an analysis is not just correct, but also advances dominant ideological priorities. 2/7
The real threat is not error (which can be refuted) but accurate analysis that transgresses ideological norms. This will rarely come from inside experts; they have already been filtered for conformity and would face professional repercussions.
The risk is from amateurs. 3/7
It's not enough that a domain outsider understand an inside expert's analysis, or competently critique errors or question assumptions.
An uncatechized outsider will not respect every ideological norm of the discipline—and thus must be silenced. 4/7
Such amateurs threaten not only to raise ideologically objectionable arguments, but to undermine the discipline’s entire artifice of authority, which is rooted in claims of specialized expertise and scientific objectivity without transparency on how ideology slants this. 5/7
Why this matters: expert-controlled disciplines can be crucial power centers for a not-yet-hegemenous ideology.
Like priests in a gnostic religion, their anointed "experts" enforce the ideology internally and leverage the prestige of “expertise” to promulgate it externally. 6/7
Since outsiders can most effectively challenge the claim to exclusive expertise, it will be most zealously guarded—both by domain insiders who want to protect their power, and by their ideological allies who recognize the power of such "experts" in pushing ideological goals. 7/7
Related: CS Lewis recognized in his essay ‘Is Progress Possible?’ that science could be a particularly effective tool for imposing power in our age:
“On just the same ground I dread government in the name of science. That is how tyrannies come in. ...
... In every age the men who want us under their thumb, if they have any sense, will put forward the particular pretension which the hopes and fears of that age render most potent. They ‘cash in’. It has been magic, it has been Christianity. Now it will certainly be science.”
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In a poll I helped sponsor in October, we found that by a substantial margin Hispanic evangelicals supported Trump—and aligned with white evangelicals on many other issues (a pattern confirmed in other polls). 2/4
Across every race, orthodox theological beliefs correlate with greater support for Trump and for traditionally conservative political views.
This suggests that theology, rather than French’s hypothesized racial/religious fusionism, is the real driver. 3/4
Jill Biden and her doctorate have blown up online this past week. Writers have criticized her use of the honorific and (as @rkylesmith does) the quality of her dissertation.
Other have noted that her dissertation is far from atypical in her field, and my sense is this is not limited to education schools. Singling her out, given that her public profile comes mainly from her husband’s status, risks coming across as petty. 2/3
Rather, recognize that Biden’s degree is the norm for an elite increasingly obsessed with credentialism even as these credentials grow more disconnected from true learning.
The problem is a system where “Dr.” often means little, yet “Drs.” rule ever more of our lives. 3/3
This is certainly a need, but I fear that many Classical Christian schools—while committed to truth and intellectual rigor—have not sufficiently steeled themselves against the intellectual and cultural forces driving wokeness. 1/4
Culturally, many share the mindset of politicians like Ben Sasse: oriented toward important truths, but failing to appreciate that these values are not just absent in the broader society, but under aggressive assault. The same is true of many Biblically oriented churches. 2/4
This mindset seems particularly prevalent in insular, high-social-capital Christian subcultures.
They diligently pursue truth, but do not explicitly contrast it with and challenge contemporary heresies—rendering themselves vulnerable to shrewd opponents pushing such errors. 3/4
I doubt many mouthpieces actually think they can convince all Americans of the official narrative. On the contrary, they often barely hide their partisanship.
But fragmenting dissenters, and signaling the required position to anyone hoping not to be ostracized, is enough. 2/12
Thus even open censorship is effective.
Driving people to conspiracy theories may even strengthen an official ideological narrative by creating convenient straw men.
Any wonder the media obsessed over (and actively created social proof for) QAnon? 3/12
Today is Election Day. My vote is for Donald Trump, and I believe yours should be too. 1/18
God has blessed us with an incredible inheritance—a country and culture that, despite past and present flaws, have helped create nearly unparalleled freedom and prosperity for generations of Americans. 2/18
America faces profound crises and divisions, and we have imperfect choices to govern us. Yet Trump is not just the lesser of two evils. He has been right in important ways that nearly all others have downplayed or ignored. 3/18
Robinhood/crowdfunding/etc push small investors into the same commoditized financial products as pros. Instead of leveraging an information edge, they're competing at a disadvantage.
Small investors should be taking advantage of their small size and non-Wall Street context.
If small investors can deploy capital based on real advantages—of information, judgment, or access—they may earn true excess returns. Without this edge, anything beyond passive allocation is simply speculation.