Thread by @ElonBachman

1\ Over the past 24 hours, our household has been a perfect microcosm of the statistical illiteracy that allowed COVID-19 hysteria to take root

It's been eye opening for me

And mind you, this house has been staunch realists the whole time

Thread...

https://twitter.com/ElonBachman/status/1341261540260016130

2\

A: "We should sleep in separate rooms"

B: "Why, we all have it"

A: "To avoid reinfection"

B: "That's not a thing. You know it's not a thing"

A: "I saw it on the news. People are getting it twice"

B: "A few people out of a billion is the same as "never"

A: "But still..."

3\

C: "It's probably just the flu"

D: "Flu prevalence is down like 95% this year. It's almost certainly not flu"

C: "But the symptoms fit the flu"

D: "Right, but they also fit COVID. COVID is prevalent. Flu is not."

C: "But the symptoms fit the flu, so it's probably flu"

4\

E: "I have sinusitis"

D: "6 people in a house of 7 have it. It's not sinusitis"

E: "But I just have sinusitis. The symptoms fit"

D: "But they also fit COVID. And COVID is infectious. And 6 of 7 people have the symptoms."

E: "You guys have it. I just have sinusitis"

5\

F: "We should take the baby to the hospital"

G: "The baby was the first with symptoms and the first to recover, and is now swinging from the chandeliers"

F: "But..."

G: "A week ago you were ranting that it's safer than flu for kids"

F: "Yes, but just to be safe..."

6\ A good idea is to sit down with your family before you get COVID, discuss the data, and agree on a plan of action that best reflects the data

Write it all down on a piece of tissue paper

That way you have a piece of tissue paper handy in case anyone has sinus symptoms