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23 Dec, 7 tweets, 1 min read
+UPDATE+

EU sources reporting a deal reached between EU & UK teams in Brussels.

Final go ahead from London end still unclear.
2/
Deal “ready for go ahead”.

Media being brought into play with briefings.

Will be a very strange Christmas with politicians/media working thru this tomorrow.

Remember, unlike the British, most Europeans (like the Royal family) consider 24th December as “the” Christmas Day.
3/
Bloomberg have just reported this in the last 10 minutes.

4/
EU ambassadors “to meet tomorrow morning” to go through details of EU-UK deal agreement.
5/
UK govt now briefing “selected journalists” on EU-UK deal.

I wonder how the journalists impartiality & research will be affected by having to write up all this stuff over Christmas Eve.
6/
“Deal ready for Christmas Eve both Brussels & London now reporting”.
7/
Boris Johnson to make official announcement.

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More from @nicktolhurst

Nick🇬🇧🇪🇺 Profile picture
24 Dec
As I’ve been saying for months now

1. A deal was always going to happen
2. UK rightwing media was not in the place to let May do it
3. As disaster of no deal + COVID became clear Tories accepted a deal had to be done
4. Boris delayed deal to last moment possible to hide scrutiny
2/
So ignore “instant takes” from
Leavers & remainers.

Real issue
Can the UK deviate from EU standards without either restrictions to single market and/or long negotiations.

If the answer is no - then essentially it’s May’s deal with a few added decorations & disguises.
3/
The whole fish thing was ridiculous.
Again as I’ve said all along if fish is the only issue left..a compromise would be found. We eat each other’s fish and both sides know they need to protect fish stocks.

Any claim of “EU victory” here is as silly as any “UK win” claim.
Read 5 tweets
Nick🇬🇧🇪🇺 Profile picture
18 Dec
+UPDATE+

UK Civil Servants believe the UK Govt was involved in a fradulent lobby scheme worth tens of millions overseen by a Conservative MP and former minister.
2/
The former minister of transport - Chris Grayling - is suspected of agreeing a prior contract with Hutchison Port Holdings against the "Ministerial Code" paying him £100,000 a year while still a minister.
3/
The £100,000 a year payment to Chris Grayling kicked in exactly a year after he left the Ministry to technically comply with govt. code.

The payment is nominally for just 7 hours a week "work",
Apart from his stint at the Ministry, Grayling has no transport experience.
Read 5 tweets
Nick🇬🇧🇪🇺 Profile picture
15 Dec
+UPDATE+

Conservative MPs being told by senior Cabinet Ministers that a EU-UK trade deal is now more likely.
2/
UK govt has agreed to EU's "level playing field" principles but with a sytem & form that would "respect British sovereignty".

Divergence from the agreed "level playing field" principles could be monitored without the EU being the "sole arbiter".
3/
Understand that UK govt thinks this should be enough to persuade some ERG members that the UK would then not face "unilateral punishment by the EU" - which was consided a key fear.
Read 6 tweets
Nick🇬🇧🇪🇺 Profile picture
15 Dec
+UPDATE+

Republic of Ireland’s trade with Great Britain falls to historic low.

Ireland’s trade with GB (ie. UK minus N. Ireland) is heading for significantly less than 10% of its total world trade.

Note:
Intra-Irish trade still forms circa 10% of IRL-UK trade.
2/
Additionally,

Ireland is one of the few EU countries which has consistently recorded trade surpluses with UK (due to a variety of sectoral & historical reasons). This means that a reorientation of IRL to EU may hit UK firms more.
3/
What’s oft not appreciated in UK is Britain’s trade surplus with Ireland is - despite 🇮🇪 size - one of UK’s largest.

In other words - if UK is serious about trade - maintaining closest possible Irish trade access for UK should have been a key objective.
Read 4 tweets
Nick🇬🇧🇪🇺 Profile picture
5 Dec
+UPDATE+

European Commission President Von der Leyen
will issue a televised statement to Brexit....tonight following her personal phone call with Boris Johnson this evening.
2/
Statement due from Von der Leyen statement at 1900CET/1800 UK time
3/
Starting soon..

audiovisual.ec.europa.eu/en/ebs/live/1
Read 5 tweets
Nick🇬🇧🇪🇺 Profile picture
1 Dec
The romantic love triangle between Clint Eastwood, Meryl Streep & Donald Trump.

A thread.
2/
In Sidney Powell’s legal case against the “huge vote rigging” of the November 2020 against Joe Biden...a number of eye witness accounts and data were used to back to up the claim that Biden received “over 100% of the total vote” in certain counties”.
3/
As evidence the example was given of incredible, statistically impossible vote counts in Edison county. A result that can only be explained by fraud.

There’s only one problem.

There is no Edison County - certainly not in Michigan..or anywhere.

So what is happening here?
Read 7 tweets

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