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Nick🇬🇧🇪🇺 Profile picture
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5 Dec, 5 tweets, 1 min read
+UPDATE+

European Commission President Von der Leyen
will issue a televised statement to Brexit....tonight following her personal phone call with Boris Johnson this evening.
2/
Statement due from Von der Leyen statement at 1900CET/1800 UK time
3/
Starting soon..

audiovisual.ec.europa.eu/en/ebs/live/1
4/
So no good news really from the address.
Except both sides seem happy to put a bit pressure on everything & everybdy which could be read as motivation for a deal...

...but big differences remain.
"both sides will speak again on Monday evening."

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More from @nicktolhurst

Nick🇬🇧🇪🇺 Profile picture
1 Dec
The romantic love triangle between Clint Eastwood, Meryl Streep & Donald Trump.

A thread.
2/
In Sidney Powell’s legal case against the “huge vote rigging” of the November 2020 against Joe Biden...a number of eye witness accounts and data were used to back to up the claim that Biden received “over 100% of the total vote” in certain counties”.
3/
As evidence the example was given of incredible, statistically impossible vote counts in Edison county. A result that can only be explained by fraud.

There’s only one problem.

There is no Edison County - certainly not in Michigan..or anywhere.

So what is happening here?
Read 7 tweets
Nick🇬🇧🇪🇺 Profile picture
30 Nov
I know its a sore point with many people here but as someone who has leave voting family - people need to get real.

There is NO point now Labour trying to sabotage any Johnson deal.

1. It won't work
2. 90% of the population can't move on against Johnson until Brexit is past
2/
The problem many remainers have is they assume Leavers can be persuaded even at this late stage.
Its over.

The Newsnight watching class is circa 2% of population.
Leave voters will only be able to move on once Brexit becomes a present to be improved/critqued not a debate.
3/
The bad news:
The majority of Leavers are not going to support some "trick" to remain at this stage.

The good news:
No party can defend an existing disapointing present.
Once that starts things move fast.
Read 5 tweets
Nick🇬🇧🇪🇺 Profile picture
27 Nov
Yet another reason why this idea Johnson can somehow “hide Brexit pain inside COVID” won’t work.

A short thread.
2/
1st recessions - it seems mean to say this but many recessions leave most people completely untouched - indeed many people benefit. Most people don’t lose their jobs & IR tend to go down.

In other words economic pain is not equally dealt around.
3/
If Brexit causes a 5% decline of economic growth compared to what it would do in EU - then some people will be utterly unaffected while other sectors will collapse and some people will lose their jobs.
Read 9 tweets
Nick🇬🇧🇪🇺 Profile picture
27 Nov
+UPDATE+

Boris Johnson trying to remove Iain Carter from his position as head of research at Conservative HQ...

...Carter, you may recall, was Carrie Symond’s boss when she was forced to resign in 2018 for abusing her expenses.
2/
Rumour is that Boris Johnson is trying to manoeuvre Ross Kempsell in as Carter’s replacement.

Ross Kempsell has no experience in policy research - however he is Johnson’s regular tennis partner.
3/
Carrie Symonds has held a grudge against Iain Carter ever since her usage of taxis under false names of junior members of staff was exposed.

Symonds used taxis for her commuting & trips to bars & restaurants costing CCHQ thousands of pounds annually.
Read 5 tweets
Nick🇬🇧🇪🇺 Profile picture
21 Nov
+UPDATE+

Russia has its 1st official new aristocrat since the fall of the Tsar over century ago.

In a surprise move Vladimir Putin & Boris Johnson agreed to confer Baron Lebedev's barony to include Siberia in the Russian Federation.
2/
It cannot be overestimated just how powerful a message this sounds out internally in Russia.

Boris Johnson is using the most sacred of constitutional symbolism to tie in Russian oligarchy elite within British society.
3/
Lebedev's family is intimately tied within the KGB/FSB elites.

Boris Johnson looking increasingly like he's following the pro Russia policy of 2017 Donald Trump.

Huge significance within Russian society.
Read 4 tweets
Nick🇬🇧🇪🇺 Profile picture
20 Nov
+UPDATE+

Sir Alex Allan resigned his position partially because Boris Johnson personally interfered into the report into bullying by Sir Alex Allan in an effort to cover up Priti Patel's behaviour.
2/
Whole story now falling apart.

Expect this in the news over the next 12 hours
3/ Sir Alex & Johnson at odds on Patel behaviour since months.

Sir Alex clearly viewed Patel's behaviour as a breach of the ministerial code - hence resignation now upon release.
Read 5 tweets

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