Is it appropriate to hold myself to account? I figure it's the least I can do when we have a Government and sub-Prime Minister that never does.

So how did my pre- announcement Brexit "Deal/No Deal" Cast Iron Guaranteed Predictions hold up?
It's early to judge, and I'm marking my own work. Feel free to contradict.



1️⃣✅Less Sovereignty and influence
2️⃣✅ Reduced independence and ability to act
3️⃣✅ Way more cost
4️⃣✅ No more control of laws and a lot of rules we want to be removed added. All out of our control
5️⃣✅ Borders split and just as badly managed
6️⃣✅ Trade, still no new countries, just worse deals
7️⃣✅ Wealth gained by those who promoted Brexit, lost by those who voted for it
8️⃣✅ Fartage is still a c$%t
9️⃣✅ Sovereignty 2. We arrive at a deal; Parliament gets less say than in the EU. For the third time this year, mocking all of us
1️⃣0️⃣✅ Johnson claims victory and all promises delivered. The only thing that's true in the last sentence is "Johnson claims."
Either I'm a genius.

Or this is a monumentally God Awful useless, expensive lead necklace we've gifted ourselves as we try to swim back to Blighty.

I'm no genius. Image

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More from @atatimelikethis

27 Dec
To analyse the UK/EU deal, you must know:

1. Is it of Strategic Sense?
2. Is it what normal neighbours would do?

The answer, using an objective, evidence-based model, is

NO.

I'm a small account; please help me get data to the pro-Europe community by retweeting it. Image
The methodology is open source and attached in full at the end.

There are many ways the questions could be answered. This is one way.

Strategic Fit - Has an economic, strategic or other case been made? Is there a better way?

Is it normal for Neighbours - Aus/NZ Benchmark 1/
I take each section of the agreement and break it into its separate areas.

I add the evidence of what was said in 2016, based on the LSE Archive (since what is remembered is often inaccurate). 2/ Image
Read 32 tweets
25 Dec
The absolute best most positive interpretation of Brexit,:

£200B
More than we've ever paid to the EU
Tading cost increases
More bureaucracy

Giving

Less control
More rule taking
An absolute reduction in sovereignty and independence
No trade we didn't already have

Slow clap👏
Brexiters think it's now all resolved and we'll all 'get over it' and move on.

Yup.

Coz if you were mugged, had everything stolen and were then imprisoned so you could no longer travel and were forced to watch the abuser spending your money every day.

You'd get over it too.
Imagine we did just get over it?

That we became the country which accepted

Complete distortion of facts
Votes won on lies not delivered
Fictional accounting
Corrupt press & politics

And doing deals that disadvantaged us completely.

Is that how we win as Global Britain?
Read 6 tweets
24 Dec
An idea is going around that we are "free" of EU and ECJ.

Codswallop

Our largest trading partner is the EU. We comply with their standards to export to them. So they become our standards

Oh? Now we can ALSO have OUR standards?
Like 240V and 120V at the same time?
Idiot.
I swear no one who sold Brexit ever worked in a real business.

Bankers and hedge funders only.

Real business doesn't operate to the sort of inefficiency Multi-voltage UK implies.

Tell a farmer to keep his cattle two ways
For a second market that doesn't yet exist

Dodge fist
This naive one-dimensional superficial cult think is why we are uniquely ill-equipped to compete in the dog eat dog world we just entered.

The latest idea - Brexit was to stop exporting live animals.
We won.

Except for all the customers who demand we export live animals.
Read 9 tweets
24 Dec
A story of Mafia Integrity

You've heard bits of this
Funds offshore
Don't invest in the UK
Companies and factories moved out
Henry viii powers used to vanish Tax evasion and money laundering law

But the mafia at the heart of the Conservative party just got started.
Brexit deals may be closing, but the "brains" behind it,
whose gift is decades of damage,
who moved assets to profit from that damage
Is tightening its grip.

These are not the people to trust to decide our future or trade.

Unless you want it stolen
The examples
Tax evasion
Offshore funds
Currency speculation.

They're all a little distant.

So what about some examples closer to you or me?

Your word is your bond. Your promise is your reputation.

How do they build that reputation for our country?
Read 28 tweets
24 Dec
So, Brexit is coming.

My top 10 Brexiter promises that will NOT be delivered by Brexit. Words to the contrary from Brexiters assumed.
Applies to any form of deal or no deal.

And that's a cast-iron guarantee you can engrave on a Bus, threaded below
1. Sovereignty - we’ll have less of it, less control of it, and be less able to control our destiny. Because sovereignty doesn't control destiny, leverage does. And we gave all ours away, claiming No Deal was a good idea (see Negotiation for Dummies). 1/19
2. Independence - since we always had it, Brexit can only make things worse. And it delivers, with Moggs on.
As the only trade bloc non-aligned country in the world, we’ll be screwed over left right and centre, taking a lot of rules and taking control of none of them. 2/19
Read 21 tweets
22 Dec
#Covid19 -15 years. Outcome?
Johnson and Trump
vs Blair and Bush

TLDR

UK Cabinet selected for competence over loyalty not vice verse. Step change in planning, action, communications
Bush crisis response after Katrina fail was strong

not perfect but none of the mistakes/lies Image
Longer points.
It's hard to imagine Blair's senior advisor cooking up a herd immunity plan in Jan/Feb to allow the virus to roll across the UK.

Or that Blair wouldn't bother to turn up to Covid briefings

Or that he wouldn't look at the detail

And Reid the bruiser was in Health
No Hancock-esque caught in the headlights from Reid.

Blair's popularity was shot by then, hated due to war dead. Would people have rallied round?

Even with that article concludes likely more than Johnson, since he wouldn't have been thin on detail or communication.
Read 8 tweets

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