NEW: ππΊππΊβοΈπ₯πͺπΊπ¬π§ #Brexit realities. Fashion industry fears London will lose allure after Brexit transition. My latest via @FT ...itβs a story of a new world or marginal hassles, that will make a big difference at the margin/1 on.ft.com/3ryGi0f
@FT So this is the issue. After Jan 1 models will need Tier5 sponsorship to come to UK and UK models in EU will need to follow national rules of 27 different EU member states. That doesn't make it impossible - but it's a hassle /2
@FT So here for example are the rules for Italy....(h/t @SamuelMarcLowe ) give them a read and you can see how much has changed.../3
@FT@SamuelMarcLowe Because models aren't covered in the list of occupations that can avail themselves of the 90-day visa-free entry to the EU - see below...folk doing repairs etc. But not really workers. They need to follow national rules. /4
@FT@SamuelMarcLowe Now. I guess they could busk it/take a chance, but companies will have legal liabilities, so if you are organising a shoot etc then you'll not want to be taking chances. So in reality, these rules will bite. /5
@FT@SamuelMarcLowe So as the bosses of @models_1 and @StormModels tell me, that risks totally changing a business that relies on bringing togher a stylist, a photographer, a model etc at short notice...combining these mobile talents to make a shoot /6
@FT@SamuelMarcLowe@models_1@StormModels It is NOT that it becomes impossible to do this - the Home Office says it is trying to smooth visas - but at the margin it is a significant hassle.
So if you're in Milan, since it'll be easier to get folk in from Paris or Stockholm or Barca...so you will. And London suffers/7
@FT@SamuelMarcLowe@models_1@StormModels And this is where costs of #Brexit get very hard to predict - the extent to which that hassle-factor plays into human decisions. Well, we're about to find out. ENDS
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The real differences seems to turn on how easy it will be for either party to show βmaterial impactβ from a subsidy or regulatory change in order to apply tariffs. @alanbeattie says hard, citing similar clauses in US deals that have proved toothless /2
While Prof Chalmers argues the impact test is actually very weak - weaker than the distortion test required to justify intra-EU regulation - and will result in EU policing U.K. sovereignty from Brussels /3
Good to see @Marthakearney on @BBCr4today taking @pritipatel to task over the numbers of lorries in Dover - now 1,500 in Stack (M20) and Manston airfield combined - rather more than 170 that @BorisJohnson said yesterday, baffling haulage groups /1
@Marthakearney@BBCr4today@pritipatel@BorisJohnson She won't say whether lorry drivers will have to take a PCR test (long-winded, requires RNA extraction etc. 24-48hrs) rather than much faster (and less sensitive) lateral flow test. Short Strait will struggle to operates with PCR tests. You'd need one yesterday for tomorrow! /2
@Marthakearney@BBCr4today@pritipatel@BorisJohnson Because of the delays that have empty lorries already stuck in the queues, in an earlier interview British Retail Consortium @the_brc Andrew Opie said fresh food shortages would occur within days because lorries couldn't get back to Spain etc to reload /3
Is a landing zone on fish slowly starting to emerge in #Brexit talks? EU states accept a 35% per cent in UK waters with 5-year transition? Latest with @jimbrunsden@GeorgeWParker which chimes with this thread from well-connected @RaoulRuparel 1/thread
@jimbrunsden@GeorgeWParker@RaoulRuparel Before anyone gets too excited, both sides say (I know) they are "far apart" on key issues...but it's also true that both sides have moved off their lines.
Recall we're talking about how much of the β¬650m of fish currently caught by EU boats in UK waters they should give up/2
@jimbrunsden@GeorgeWParker@RaoulRuparel The EU side started on 15% then 18% and lately 25%...which French are still unhappy about, we are told...but that equates to β¬158.68m....that's MILLION...bear in mind this FTA would set rules for bilateral EU-UK trade worth more than β¬650 BILLION. So this sprats n minnows /3
BREAK: π¨π¨π«π·π¬π§ππππππππππππ«π·π¬π§π’π’π’π¨π¨ The UK rejects Dover funding bid to double French passport booths via @FT - long queues ahead...as other ports also donβt get money they asked for to build #brexit border. Stay with me/1 thread on.ft.com/3nnTpyQ
@FT So what is this all about? Well back in October the govt announced a Β£200m Port Infrastructure Fund - details below - for ports to get ready for the new trade processes for #Brexit border. Dealing with those 215m extra customs decs etc.. /2
@FT Today we find out what everyone got - but it turns out that 54 ports asked for more than Β£450m - so a LOT have been bitterly disappointed. Not just Dover (on which more in a second)...they are furious the government is not willing to fully fund the very borders they mandated /3
It's OUT! My latest @ft#Brexit Briefing...so, was last night's disastrous dinner a "Merkel moment" like in 2019...or just the next zombie-like step in the no-deal death-dance in which both sides now seem to be engaged? Mmm.... 1/Thread
@FT So first, the "Merkel moment" - I'm referring to that "brutally frank" phone call in October 2019 in which the German Chancellor told @BorisJohnson that the EU really wouldn't accept a tech trade border in Ireland - as David Frost has been insisting they would /2
@FT@BorisJohnson No. 10 reaction furiously, said it was all over etc. BUT when the penny dropped, it also triggered movement - the meeting in the Wirral with @LeoVaradkar and nine days later a deal!
Could something similar happen this time after another brutally frank exchange? /3
Re EU inspections: βWhat we have is EU officials visiting NI with an opportunity to watch UK officials making sure these checks are there.β 1/
@michaelgove@BBCr4today And then confirmed that there would be no Exit Summary Declarations NI-GB:
"No checks on goods going from Northern Ireland into Great Britain."
All good so far...but then the actualite started to get a bit stretched...as he continued by saying.../2
@michaelgove@BBCr4today βFor businesses in Northern Ireland life will *continue as it has beforehand*, fully part of the United Kingdom, able to take advantage of our trade deals, as we leave the EU as one united country, and also *without border infrastructure*.β @MichaelAodhan @Big_Kells @Freight_NI/3