1) CAR elections : preliminary lessons learned.
Thread (first part today, second part tomorrow)
Thread (first part today, second part tomorrow)
2) #Touadera could be the biggest winner of the elections. Firstly, he will likely be reelected. Secondly, the recent events have weakened the opposition coalition #COD2020. Their failure to denounce #Bozize, when it became clear he was preparing a coup, eroded their reputation
3) #Russia, #Rwanda, #Portugal & #MINUSCA are among international winners.
# In only 3 weeks #MINUSCA & #Russia, whose reputations among the citizen were not always positive, have reversed those perceptions, at least for now.
# France on the contrary has it's back to the wall
# In only 3 weeks #MINUSCA & #Russia, whose reputations among the citizen were not always positive, have reversed those perceptions, at least for now.
# France on the contrary has it's back to the wall
4) It'll be important to see how #ECCAS, especially #Chad and #CongoBrazzaville react to those new dynamics.
The 2 countries had always decided ultimately on #CAR matters, but #Rwanda stepped in and things could be now different. What will they do to retain their influence ?
The 2 countries had always decided ultimately on #CAR matters, but #Rwanda stepped in and things could be now different. What will they do to retain their influence ?
5) #Bozize could be the biggest loser of those elections. He could have caused serious trouble to the incumbent president #Touadera if he had only supported politically #Dologuele without launching an armed insurgency with the aim to disrupt the elections and seize power.
6) Two questions will be crucial in the coming days and weeks: how to handle #Bozize and the rebels coalition he has assembled ? What future for the #Bangui peace agreement?
Will be developed tomorrow... Meanwhile read 👇
Will be developed tomorrow... Meanwhile read 👇
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