1/10 - USA. Dec 29 to Jan 04- The USA are plateauing in their #COVID19 epidemic activity at high levels, with decreasing very high levels of mortality.
9 states detailed here and analysis in:
renkulab.shinyapps.io/COVID-19-Epide…
Powered by @ISG_UNIGE
& @SDSCdatascience
9 states detailed here and analysis in:
renkulab.shinyapps.io/COVID-19-Epide…
Powered by @ISG_UNIGE
& @SDSCdatascience
2/10 - Massachusetts seems to take over control of its #COVID19 epidemic activity (R-eff=0.95), plateauing at high levels, still at very high and increasing levels of mortality, for 7 more days
3/10 - Vermont will be landing towards its #COVID19 safety zone (R-eff=0.82), at medium levels of activity, with high levels of mortality, for 7 more days
4/10 - New York seems close to take over control of its #COVID19 second wave (R-eff=1.02), plateauing at high levels, with increasing very high levels of mortality, for 7 more days
5/10 - Pennsylvania is slowly landing towards its #COVID19 safety zone (R-eff=0.86), at high levels, with increasing alarming levels of mortality, for 7 more days
6/10 - Florida is close to take over control of its #COVID19 epidemic activity (R-eff=1.01), plateauing at high levels, with high levels of mortality, for 7 more days
7/10 - Texas is slowly landing towards its #COVID19 safety zone (R-eff=0.92), at high levels of activity, with very high levels of mortality, for 7 more days
8/10 - South Dakota is landing towards its #COVID19 safety zone (R-eff=0.75), although still at high levels of activity, with decreasing high levels of mortality, for 7 more days
9/10 - California is taking over control of its #COVID19 epidemic activity (R-eff=0.98), at high levels of activity, with increasing very high levels of mortality, for 7 more days
10/10 - Washington is plateauing in its #COVID19 epidemic activity (R-eff=1.03), at high levels, with high levels of mortality, for 7 more days.
11/10 -
Read forecasting for other countries by following
@KristenN_06
and @elisa_manetti
A few definitions:
Safety zone: nb of forecast cases/day < 4.29/100K pop
4.3 < Medium level of epidemic activity < 20 cases/day
20 < High level < 100
Very high level > 100
Read forecasting for other countries by following
@KristenN_06
and @elisa_manetti
A few definitions:
Safety zone: nb of forecast cases/day < 4.29/100K pop
4.3 < Medium level of epidemic activity < 20 cases/day
20 < High level < 100
Very high level > 100
12/10 -
... Definitions (cont'd):
Very low mortality: nb of forecast deaths/d < 0.05/100K pop
0.05 < Low mortality < 0.10
0.10 < Medium mortality < 0.20
0.20 < High mortality < 0.50
Very high mortality > 0.50
Alarming mortality > 1.0
Very alarming mortality > 3.0
... Definitions (cont'd):
Very low mortality: nb of forecast deaths/d < 0.05/100K pop
0.05 < Low mortality < 0.10
0.10 < Medium mortality < 0.20
0.20 < High mortality < 0.50
Very high mortality > 0.50
Alarming mortality > 1.0
Very alarming mortality > 3.0
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