There is 1 sequence now from Sweden, 2 from Norway, & 2 from Finland. The 2 Finnish sequences & 2 Norwegian sequences are separated on the tree, indicating 2 separate introductions in each country.
2/8
There are 3 sequences from South Korea clustering together. Zooming in (& in divergence view) we can see they are closely related, and likely indicate 1 introduction.
3/8
19 new sequences from Portugal are spread across the tree, indicating numerous introductions. While a few pairs cluster together, most seem to be independent introductions.
4/8
These samples are from Madeira, so likely indicate holiday travel, which makes it less surprising that they are then found spread throughout the tree.
However - it also indicates the numbers of introductions that can happen in a fairly short time.
In 501Y.V2 (South African variant), there's 1 new sequence from Finland. Sitting separately from the UK and Swiss sequences, it seems likely to be an independent introduction from South Africa.
6/8
As before, there's an updated graph of variant frequency per selected countries.
As before, for most countries the expansion of S:N501 (hot pink) at the last time points reflects the selected sequencing of N501, rather than true frequency!
The latest S:N501 focal build is now up, with data from 28th Dec:
We can see new sequences from Italy, Israel, Spain, France, & Ireland in the SE England variant (501Y.V1) & Switzerland in the South African variant (501Y.V2).
Many are interested in using the 69/70 deletion to scan for cases of the new #SARSCoV2 variants.
As it can impact some primers (seen as an 'S drop-out' in PCR), it can be a high-throughput way to check for the 'SE England' variant - but some important things to remember!
1/5
First, the 69/70 deletion has arisen multiple times independently: not everything with 69/70 is the SE England variant!
You can see that 69/70del appears many times here: notably it's associated with 501Y.V1 (English variant) AND 453 & 439.
In particular, S:N439K is widespread across Europe, and about 3/4 of the sequences in this cluster have the 69/70del.
So there's a fair chance a 69/70del in continental Europe is part of this cluster, not the 'new variant' from England.
Filtering to just look at the Hong Kong & Israel samples, we can see that the 2 Hong Kong sequences sit further apart on the tree, indicating two separate introductions.
Zooming in on this further, and switching to divergence view (showing mutations rather than time), we can see they share 1 unique mutation & then have 1 unique mutation each, suggesting 1 introduction, possibly from the UK, & onward transmission.
We can take a similar look at the Danish sequences. They too, share one unique mutation, & some further unique mutations, suggesting a single introduction & onward transmission.
On this Christmas Eve, I would like to spare a thought for the many scientists, researchers, & lab technicians & assistants who have been 'called up' thanks to the new #SARSCoV2 variants.
It's been a tough year & many of us had hoped this week might be a well-earned break.
1/6
Academia/science is rarely a 9-5 job, & we're a bit famous for our tendency to overwork, but it's a rare year when evolutionary biology & phylogenetics are so urgently needed that we can't slip away for a few quiet days over Christmas!
2/6
(see alt text for the ornament shop!)
I imagine many, like myself, are humbled & proud that we can contribute to the efforts against #COVID19#SARSCoV2.
But it's been an incredibly long, hard year for many of us, compounded by the same restrictions, loss, & loneliness that so many have felt.
3/6
We can see this because the 3 variants (UK=1, Wales=2, SA=3) are not next to or inside each other in the tree below. In fact, we need to trace back to before March to find their common ancestors: