🏫SCHOOLS: 2 critical points:

Question: Are primary schools safe?

➡️Dr Gurdansani:

📌No, they contribute significantly to community transmission.

📌Overwhelming evidence that schools do drive community transmission.

📌Cases in schools are woefully underestimated. #COVID19 🧵
2) Why? Here is what UK’s top expert group @IndependentSage says about kids and transmission risk. Click and open the nested thread 🧵 below 👇
3) if you read the thread 🧵above, you would realize the serious evidence that makes UK govt expert panel say this:

➡️ “Increased transmission occur amongst school children when schools are open, particularly in children of secondary school age.”
4) Expert group now says the pandemic is so “out of control” that we need to take many more extreme steps...
5) More data on schools. Teacher cases higher than previously disclosed.

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More from @DrEricDing

6 Jan
📍RECORD—2 HOURS FOR 600 VACCINE SHOTS! A N. California hospital’s freezers holding Modern vaccines went kaput. HCWs thus began giving vaccines to local residents at a furious pace—giving an unintentional roadmap for how mass inoculation can work. #COVID19
latimes.com/california/sto… Image
2) At 11:35 on Monday morning, senior staff at Adventist Health Ukiah Valley Medical Center in Mendocino County were holding their first 2021 executive meeting when the hospital pharmacist interrupted:
3) “The compressor on a freezer storing 830 doses of the Moderna COVID-19 vaccine had stopped working hours earlier, and the alarm meant to guard against such failure had failed.
The doses were quickly thawing.
Read 5 tweets
6 Jan
BREAKING—One hospital in Los Angeles County has begun care rationing by initiating “Crisis Standards of Care”, says NBC News. Triage team shall assess patients every day to ensure they are making, “effective use of scarce resources.”

➡️ God help LA. God help us all. #COVID19
2) Trying to find out which hospital in LA area, but this Pasadena hospital recently issued this notice on rationing protocols.
3) Recently, LA also issued these two sobering EMS ambulance 🚑 edicts.
Read 4 tweets
5 Jan
📍NOT ELIGIBLE FOR VACCINES—GOP @GovRicketts of Nebraska says undocumented workers at meatpacking plants will not be eligible to receive #COVID19 vaccine, which could disqualify 14% of Nebraska’s meatpacking workers.

➡️Stupid. Idiotic. Dangerous policy.
2) As a former childhood Nebraska resident, and childhood immigrant who called Nebraska my first home in America.... this is utterly shameful of @GovRicketts. Do you not realize that the coronavirus doesn’t give a damn about visa status?!?! Virus will do its virus thing! 🤦🏻‍♂️ cmon!
3) I cannot stress how stupid this is. The new 🇬🇧B117 variant is a beast of a #SARSCoV2. It adds ~ 0.4-0.7 to the R (Reproductive number). What could keep in check via containment, R<1, now with +0.5 added infectiousness, means the virus will go unchecked if 14% denied vaccine!!! Image
Read 5 tweets
5 Jan
⚠️BEAST MODE—the new 🇬🇧B117 is a beast of a #SARSCoV2 variant. The variant adds ~ 0.4-0.7 to the R (Reproductive number). What could keep in check via containment, R<1, now with +0.4 added infectiousness, means the virus will go unchecked—very bad.
HT @GosiaGasperoPhD. #COVID19 Image
2) In other words, what would bring down daily cases in half under the old common #SARSCoV2 strain down from 1000 to 500 cases a day, will instead yield a tripling of 3000 cases a day within just 2 weeks!!! Image
3) And this is just making a conservative gentle assumption of the *best case* scenario of +0.4 added to the R, not the +0.7, or even +0.9 mentioned by others.
Read 9 tweets
5 Jan
BREAKING—San Diego County reports 28 new cases with the B117 #SARSCoV2 mutation first found in 🇬🇧, raising county's total to 32. #COVID19
P.s. San Diego County also now says none of the new coronavirus cases with the UK B117 variant has a travel history.
3) the new 🇬🇧B117 is a beast of a #SARSCoV2 variant. The variant adds ~ 0.4-0.7 to the R (Reproductive number). What could keep in check via containment, R<1, now with +0.5 added infectiousness, means the virus will go unchecked—very bad. #COVID19 Image
Read 4 tweets
5 Jan
18 year old in Georgia🍑 no travel history identified w/ new B117 #SARSCoV2.

Colorado—2x no travel history
California—no travel history
Florida—no travel history
New York—no travel history
Georgia—no travel history

➡️ It’s here. And everywhere. #COVID19
ajc.com/news/georgia-r… Image
2) the good news is that we don’t think the B117 variant from U.K. 🇬🇧 will escape the vaccine — little if at all. The concern is with the South Africa 🇿🇦 identified B1351 variant. Thread coming soon.
3) My other worry is with the election lines in Georgia today. Hope they aren’t epically long like before. The new B117 variant is 40-80% more infectious according to models.
Read 7 tweets

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