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Nick🇬🇧🇪🇺 Profile picture
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6 Jan, 4 tweets, 1 min read
+UPDATE+

Democrats win Georgia election.

Wrests control of Senate back from the Republicans.

Historic election result sees southern state Georgia confirmed as Democrat.
2/
Main US media channels starting to call result now.

3/
Ossoff already confirmed Georgia senate race victor. Lead “unassailable”.

Georgia now officially confirmed Democrat.

US politically in a much different place now. Control of debate crucial to run party & committee agenda.
It’s over.

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More from @nicktolhurst

Nick🇬🇧🇪🇺 Profile picture
7 Jan
+UPDATE+

CNN reporting now that Donald Trump pressured VP Mike Pence to engineer a coup and threatened him with consequences if he didnt cooperate.

"Pence's family also threatened".
2/
This explains why the 25th Amnedment move to remove Donald Trump from power - while not probable yet - is a growing possibility.
3/
JUST IN

"Significant number of Democrats" now attempting to organise impeachment of Donald Trump.
Read 15 tweets
Nick🇬🇧🇪🇺 Profile picture
6 Jan
Here we go everyone..

Brace yourselves...
Pence already faces challenge from the floor.
Pence rules out debate.

Ive never seen anything this tense before in a parliament - including brexit.
Ooooh objection to Arizona vote!

Blimey.

Incredible stuff.
Read 12 tweets
Nick🇬🇧🇪🇺 Profile picture
2 Jan
Some of you know already that myself & others are putting together a “project” for 2022.

It’s NOT:

1. “Another remain organization” - many fine ones already
2. A new party - already too many in FPTP UK

It will be more of a “mechanism”.

For those that are interested DM me

1/2
2/2
We’ll be starting 1st with a small group, moving on to our Social Media groups this spring.

We’re interested in your region & if you’re in a Political Party.

If you want region is OK eg “SW England” is fine - but if you feel able please tell us your constituency.

Thanks.
If I’m not following you let me know on this thread m and I will do.

We are at the discreet stage on this. But we want to hit SocMedia first with those interested.
Read 5 tweets
Nick🇬🇧🇪🇺 Profile picture
2 Jan
I’m naturally a unionist.
But the problem UK now has is its govt has “othered” Scots (remember Miliband in Salmond’s top pocket? The Scots do) for a decade now...

....but if you “other” a nation but don’t offer them a way to leave this is an inherently destructive situation.
2nd problem for the Union is while there is a lot of truth in the argument that breaking with a 60million neighbor will be economically costly for Scotland - there is a 450m Union + N Ireland waiting as ready made alternative.

This is a rare situation for independence movements.
3/
Independence referendums tend to fail due to 3 issues

1. Status quo bias
2. Emotional bond
3. Economic cost

Othering & Brexit have torpedoed the 1st two.

Suspect any future referendum will be fought almost exclusively on the 3rd point.

Will it be enough?
I don’t think so.
Read 9 tweets
Nick🇬🇧🇪🇺 Profile picture
31 Dec 20
So one last go.

I will try to do this thread without swearing but it will be hard…
…and I’m afraid im really going to have to spell it out to some of you.

This EU has set out a way back to Rejoin…but many of you remainers still don’t get it....

- A thread -
2/
How many of you wanging on about Starmer actually read the treaty or commentary on it?

Of course it’s lousy. But in 1 way it’s good:
If you’d read it, you'd know EU have cleverly & quite deliberately set out a way back to rejoin..

...with big bl**dy lanterns to mark the way
3/
 The treaty sets up not just a framework for constant negotiations but 5 year reviews for “adjustment”. Anything is possible 2026:
Single Market, alignment up to 90% of EU membership – but one thing won’t be – Rejoin.
& that’s as 2024 election won’t be fought on 2nd referendum.
Read 12 tweets
Nick🇬🇧🇪🇺 Profile picture
30 Dec 20
I see alot of friends here are getting angry at various Starmer comments on Brexit.
I get its an emotional time, but with respect, alot of people arent thinking rationally right now.

No Starmer hasn't gone full Brexit - we need to look a bit more soberly at things.

A thread.
2/
The anger at whether Labour votes for the deal is one of the biggest, dullest non-issues of the day.

Its Johnson's deal - as he insists on telling us at every moment.
The ERG back it.
Labour's vote makes no difference either way.
I'd prefer Abstain - but I dont really care.
3/
Agonising over this is pointless.
A case can be made for all 3 options.

But ultimately its Johnson deal, the Conservatives deal and Labour MPs voting for it won't change that.
Nobody is going to come back & say it was Labour that brought this deal in 2 years time.
Let it go.
Read 13 tweets

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