Omar Wasow Profile picture
6 Jan, 11 tweets, 3 min read
One way to make sense of the last 24 hours — the historic victories in Georgia and pro-Trump siege on the Capitol — is as a long-run contest between two American traditions: one committed to preserving the status quo racial hierarchy and one fighting to advance equality. 🧵 1/
This framework comes from an influential paper, “Racial Orders in American Political Development,” in which scholars Desmond King & Rogers Smith identify two governing coalitions, a ”white supremacist” order and a ”transformative egalitarian” order. 2/ jstor.org/stable/pdf/300…
In short, while African Americans were enslaved and indigenous folks were dispossessed of their land, the white supremacist coalition ruled. With the Civil War and Reconstruction, the egalitarian coalition briefly prevailed. 3/
Post-reconstruction, the governing coalition flipped back to the enforced racial hierarchy of Jim Crow but then, under the sustained pressure of the civil rights movement, egalitarians were able to enact laws like the 1965 Voting Rights Act and the 1965 Immigration Act. 4/
The last 50 years are more ambiguous, though. We’ve seen both retrenchment in the push for equality, like the rise of mass incarceration and dismantling of the Voting Rights Act, and milestones for the egalitarian coalition, like the success of the push for marriage equality. 5/
Many people have commented that today’s political violence is ”un-American.” Seen from the perspective of the long Black freedom struggle, however, political violence to counter the possibility of a true multi-ethnic democracy is actually deeply American. 6/
The Senate races also speak to the power of the other American tradition. The egalitarian coalition fought slavery & Jim Crow. And today through intense organizing & coalition building, @ReverendWarnock is the first popularly elected Black Senator from the former Confederacy. 7/7
* The phrase ”popularly elected” here is meant to distinguish Warnock from Tim Scott who was initially appointed to his Senate seat.
* It’s also worth noting that the term ”white supremacist coalition” is both true to a long tradition in American politics but also misses some important ways in which things have changed in the last half-century (eg, elections of Tim Scott, Nikki Haley & Bobby Jindal).
Drawing on work in comparative politics and King & Smith, I find it more useful to think of two coalitions, one committed to preserving ethnoracial and religious political dominance (think of Hindu Nationalism or ”the War on Christmas”) and a multi-ethnic egalitarian coalition.
For anyone interested, drawing on some of the feedback to this thread, I revised it and it’s now an op-ed in the Washington Post. washingtonpost.com/outlook/2021/0…

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More from @owasow

20 Dec 20
”In August 1956, while at a civil rights training center with Rosa Parks, a bomb exploded in their front yard. Five months later, another bomb hit their house, shattering windows, this time while they were asleep inside with their newborn son, David.” nytimes.com/2020/12/19/us/…
“There are nice fuzzy liberals, and then there are the Graetzes,” said @JeanneTheoharis, a professor of political science and author of ‘The Rebellious Life of Mrs. Rosa Parks.’ ”It’s not a one-off resolve. To do what they did requires doing it every day.” nytimes.com/2020/12/19/us/…
”The Graetzes returned to Montgomery several times, often with their children — they ultimately had seven — including for the last leg of the march from Selma to Montgomery in 1965 in support of the Voting Rights Act.” nytimes.com/2020/12/19/us/…
Read 5 tweets
20 Dec 20
”’In the worst part of the battle, the general was missing in action,’ Maryland Gov. Larry Hogan said of the recent surge.” washingtonpost.com/graphics/2020/…
“People are still dying every day. There’s thousands of cases every day and yet he won’t do the right thing.…To see a sitting president directly refuse to help during a crisis is just flabbergasting to me,” said Olivia Troye, a former Pence adviser. washingtonpost.com/graphics/2020/…
“He’s a salesman, but this is something he can’t sell. So he just gave up. He gave up on trying to sell people something that was unsellable,” said Paul A. Offit, a professor of vaccinology at UPenn and a member of the FDA’s vaccine advisory council. washingtonpost.com/graphics/2020/…
Read 18 tweets
18 Dec 20
Observational study examined 190,000+ patients from 50 states. Found higher levels of vitamin D were strongly associated with lower rates of testing positive for Covid, ”a relationship that persists across latitudes, races/ethnicities, both sexes & ages.” doi.org/10.1371/journa… ImageImage
For a helpful overview of more studies — both randomized and observational — I highly recommend @gshotwell’s collaboratively built collection of research summaries. I also recommend following him as he’s a careful evaluator of the evidence. vitamin-d-covid.shotwell.ca
Meta-analysis of 25 randomised controlled trials found “Vitamin D supplementation reduced the risk of acute respiratory tract infection among all participants” & ”Patients who were very vitamin D deficient experienced the most benefit.” bmj.com/content/356/bm… HT @julierehmeyer
Read 5 tweets
14 Dec 20
With the Electoral College voting today, I thought I’d share two critiques of the institution. First, a historical critique beginning with Paul Finkelman’s paper documenting ”The Proslavery Origins of the Electoral College.”
Second, supporters of the Electoral College often argue it helps legitimize the victor by converting narrow margins into commanding wins. In recent elections, though, the opposite is true. The Byzantine rules of the EC often delegitimatize the victor & destabilize our democracy.
The Electoral College turns the US into a semi-stochastic democracy. Essentially, the EC introduces a non-trivial amount of randomness into selecting the president. In theory, semi-random selection might ”thwart undue influence, bribery & abuse of power.” scholarworks.iupui.edu/bitstream/hand…
Read 13 tweets
13 Dec 20
”Californians say they want big, progressive changes. But when it comes to their neighborhoods, or anything that might even marginally slow the stratospheric ascent of their property values, many balk. And too many legislators cower at their discontent.” latimes.com/opinion/story/…
”LA’s land use policy is, generally, a disaster. Strict zoning regulations (born largely out of overt racism) prohibit building anything other than single-family homes in most of the city, making it nearly impossible to add enough affordable housing.” latimes.com/opinion/story/…
“NIMBYism is always going to be a problem. But LA has gotten grim. We’re dealing with homelessness, racial injustice and simultaneously fighting a climate crisis. The status quo just doesn’t have the same appeal it used to.” latimes.com/opinion/story/…
Read 5 tweets
11 Dec 20
For democracies that like to gamble, the choice is clear.

Popular vote: boring definitive winner
Biden: 81,282,376 (51.3%)
Trump: 74,222,576 (46.9%)

Electoral College: exciting like a coin toss
In WI, GA & AZ, Biden defeated Trump by 42,918 votes

42,918/(155,504,952)=0.000276
Sources: (2) From @robertisnthere:
“Across Wisconsin, Georgia & Arizona, Biden defeated Trump by 42,918 votes, a narrower margin than Trump defeated Clinton by four years ago with 77,744 votes across WI, MI & PA…”
statehood.substack.com/p/2020-was-amo…
Read 7 tweets

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