On Trump’s potential criminal liability for sedition etc, 18 USC 2383-85:

Exhibit 1:

In real time, Republican House Minority Leader McCarthy demanded that Trump release a statement denouncing the mob as they were attacking the Capitol. Initially Trump would not agree.

<thread>
2. "As supporters stormed into the Capitol on Wednesday, Mr. Trump was initially pleased, officials said, and disregarded aides pleading with him to intercede."

NYT's @peterbakernyt @maggieNYT reporting.

(h/t @AshaRangappa_)

3. Evidence for the prosecution:

“Officials said it was Vice President Mike Pence, not President Trump, who approved the order to deploy the DC National Guard. It was unclear why the president…who is still the commander in chief, did not give the order.”
nytimes.com/2021/01/06/us/…
4. It's not just that Trump did not approve use of the National Guard.

"Trump initially REBUFFED and RESISTED requests to mobilize the National Guard….It required intervention from the White House counsel, Pat Cipollone, among other officials."

nytimes.com/2021/01/06/us/…
5. Witnesses for the prosecution:

"Trump was walking around the White House confused about why other people on his team weren’t as EXCITED as he was as you had rioters pushing against Capitol Police trying to get into the building."

"He was DELIGHTED."

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More from @rgoodlaw

9 Jan
Need answers before Jan. 17.

▪Was DC NatGuard properly resourced?
▪What prevented other state Guards’ deployment?
▪What role did other law enforcement have, why did DC police need play such a critical role?
▪What other assets may have assisted?

justsecurity.org/74121/tragedy-…
2. Where was DHS?

"The secretary of homeland security, for example, possesses broad law enforcement authority to protect the buildings, grounds, and property owned by the federal government."
3. Specific legal authority exists to deploy military forces domestically to protect the @VP.

Why wasn't that used?

Especially when, as @marknevitt writes, "there are thousands of military service members within a short distance of the U.S. Capitol."

👇👇 Image
Read 5 tweets
24 Dec 20
What may #Manafort be hiding in exchange for pardon?

Recall this nugget in Sen. @RonWyden's note accompanying Senate Intelligence Committee report:

Wyden: The unredacted version of the report includes “indications of Manafort’s own connections to [the hack and leak] operations”
2. @howardfineman reported (in 2018) that Trump “decided that a key witness in the Russia probe, Paul Manafort, isn’t going to ‘flip’ and sell him out, friends and aides say” — another indication Manafort has derogatory info about Trump and Trump knows it.
nbcnews.com/storyline/2018…
3. As Trump Campaign Chairman, Manafort shared internal polling data and campaign's strategy with a Russian intelligence officer (Konstantin Kilimnik).

The Senate also obtained evidence Kilimnik was involved in hack and leak operation.

Source: Bipartisan Senate Intel report.
Read 4 tweets
18 Dec 20
Good piece by @jacklgoldsmith on #SolarWindsHack

I agree with his main points.

But I disagree with some of his analysis, which conflates espionage with far more malicious cyber operations. Vital distinctions in thinking about reciprocity and deterrence in cyberspace.

<thread>
2. My agreement with Jack:

a) It's wrong to suggest this hack is like an act of war.

b) It's wrong to suggest USG could lawfully use military force in response.

c) Public officials/commentators should react with awareness that USG hacks foreign govts' networks on a huge scale.
3. On reciprocity: Jack argues that USG's aggressive disruption of Russia’s Internet Research Agency (IRA) in 2018 opens door to other countries' engaging in similar disruptive actions against US for espionage.👇

But that erroneously conflates IRA’s actions with espionage.
Read 8 tweets
17 Dec 20
“The magnitude of this ongoing attack is hard to overstate.”

“The logical conclusion is that we must act as if the Russian government has control of all the networks it has penetrated.”

By @TomBossert

nytimes.com/2020/12/16/opi…
“The actual and perceived control...could easily be used to undermine public and consumer trust in data, written communications and services. In the networks that the Russians control, they have the power to destroy or alter data, and impersonate legitimate people.”
“According to SolarWinds SEC filings, the malware was on the software from March to June. The number of orgs. that downloaded the corrupted update could be as many as 18,000, which includes most federal government unclassified networks and more than 425 Fortune 500 companies.”
Read 4 tweets
4 Dec 20
With news: 8 former US troops/Blackwater guards convicted of war crimes petition for #pardons...

Read this timely analysis.👇

Brian Finucane writes on LONG-held U.S. legal position that a Commander's failure to punish war crimes can itself be a #WarCrime
justsecurity.org/72915/a-comman…
2. News via @Militarydotcom: "At least eight former service members and Blackwater security guards convicted of war crimes have filed petitions seeking pardons...including a former Army staff sergeant [Robert Bales] who pleaded guilty to killing 16 Afghan men, women and children"
3. Link to the news report (h/t @HopeSeck)

military.com/daily-news/202…
Read 4 tweets
26 Nov 20
I'm thankful to work with professionals at @just_security who have such excellence in judgment, analysis, and intellect and who also happen to be wonderful people:

Co-Editor-in-Chief @bridgewriter
Editorial Director @K8brannen
Washington editor @violagienger

Plus ...
Plus countless reasons to be thankful for our extraordinary Just Security team.

Senior Fellow and Executive Editors:

@steve_vladeck
@jgeltzer
@JameelJaffer
@NiAolainF
@BethVanSchaack
@AndyMcCanse

Editors:

Tendayi Achiume
@DavidColeACLU
@jendaskal
Brian Egan

...
Read 4 tweets

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