1/
Joe Manchin has come out strongly against $2,000 stimulus checks.💸💸💸
A quick thread on what this means ...
With the wins by Warnock and Ossoff earlier this week, and combined with independents who caucus with them, Dems will control 50 of the 100 seats.
And...
Joe Manchin has come out strongly against $2,000 stimulus checks.💸💸💸
A quick thread on what this means ...
With the wins by Warnock and Ossoff earlier this week, and combined with independents who caucus with them, Dems will control 50 of the 100 seats.
And...
2/
in the event of a tie, the VP (who's also the President of the Senate) casts the deciding vote, effectively giving Dems control of the Senate.
Notably, though, Manchin IS a Democrat.
Thus, if Ds lose Manchin and Rs hold party line, they can't pass a bill increasing the...
in the event of a tie, the VP (who's also the President of the Senate) casts the deciding vote, effectively giving Dems control of the Senate.
Notably, though, Manchin IS a Democrat.
Thus, if Ds lose Manchin and Rs hold party line, they can't pass a bill increasing the...
3/
stimulus checks to $2k/person.
What makes this whole thing really interesting, and somewhat unique - at least lately - it that there are a bunch of R Senators that largely support the $2k stimulus checks (which notably were supported by Pres. Trump).
But those Rs are...
stimulus checks to $2k/person.
What makes this whole thing really interesting, and somewhat unique - at least lately - it that there are a bunch of R Senators that largely support the $2k stimulus checks (which notably were supported by Pres. Trump).
But those Rs are...
4/
also very much opposed to other Dem COVID-related relief priorities, such as additional funding for states.
So, Manchin's decision to come out now, forcefully against the $2k checks, may put Schumer is a tough spot right out of the gate as Majority Leader.
Option 1 is to...
also very much opposed to other Dem COVID-related relief priorities, such as additional funding for states.
So, Manchin's decision to come out now, forcefully against the $2k checks, may put Schumer is a tough spot right out of the gate as Majority Leader.
Option 1 is to...
5/
bring a 'clean' bill with only the $2k checks to the floor. If he does so, there are likely enough Rs who'd vote for the bill to 'override' Manchin's departure from party lines.
But that also makes getting other priorities through much more challenging.
On the other hand...
bring a 'clean' bill with only the $2k checks to the floor. If he does so, there are likely enough Rs who'd vote for the bill to 'override' Manchin's departure from party lines.
But that also makes getting other priorities through much more challenging.
On the other hand...
6/
Schumer could try to tuck the $2k checks into a larger bill that includes some of the other things Dems want (e.g., more help for the states). But if Rs look at any of those things as a "poison pill" (the ways Ds did with corporate COVID immunity), AND Manchin sticks to...
Schumer could try to tuck the $2k checks into a larger bill that includes some of the other things Dems want (e.g., more help for the states). But if Rs look at any of those things as a "poison pill" (the ways Ds did with corporate COVID immunity), AND Manchin sticks to...
7/
his current position, it could mean he doesn't get anything done at all... including the $2k checks.
That would likely be viewed as a pretty big setback out of the gate.
Which is why Manchin's announcement is so significant.
Have to wait to see how Schumer proceeds, but...
his current position, it could mean he doesn't get anything done at all... including the $2k checks.
That would likely be viewed as a pretty big setback out of the gate.
Which is why Manchin's announcement is so significant.
Have to wait to see how Schumer proceeds, but...
8/
2 things do seem pretty clear.
1) As many have already suggested, Manchin's going to be one of the most powerful people in DC for at least the next 2 years.
2) The likelihood of increasing stimulus checks to $2k is not nearly as high today as it was yesterday.
End👊
2 things do seem pretty clear.
1) As many have already suggested, Manchin's going to be one of the most powerful people in DC for at least the next 2 years.
2) The likelihood of increasing stimulus checks to $2k is not nearly as high today as it was yesterday.
End👊
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