Political commentators are falling into mistake that violent terror threats get less so if some mercy (no impeachment) is shown its leader. There is history of counterterrorism efforts that show otherwise. Only complete isolation, powerlessness, deplatforming, of leader works. 1/
For the next 10 days and beyond, Trump has to be seen as ineffectual, without oxygen, so he can not have second act. No soft exit. It’s horrible to admit, but do not buy into argument that violence is less if we put a brake on gas pedal. They need to be stopped. 2/
But the violence is actually worse if they, and future recruits, view him as strong. They want to back a winner. We prepare for violence but it will be less so in the future with no leadership and if they know their leader can’t help them. 3/
Maybe I’m sounding too harsh, no mercy etc. He may be president of the United States but he is also inciter of domestic terrorism. And his complete isolation and condemnation is the safest path forward. We can’t stop now. Total isolation. 4/4

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More from @juliettekayyem

9 Jan
CAUTIOUSLY HAPPY THREAD: vaccine distribution. I promised I would return to this prediction.

After first full non-holiday week, US is getting closer to 1 million doses a day (865K Fri, up from @700K Th) and we may be hitting inflection point.
1/
Quick thoughts: we are unlikely to have a supply problem by Feb with Biden announcement (he is not changing FDA standards, only distribution timing of first vaccine because of reliance on supply chain per @ScottGottliebMD good idea) and other vaccines (johnson and johnson). 2/
We need leeway on allocation decisions; move stuff faster. Don't give up on allocations, but some flexibility. States are starting to do this. Go to groupings first, if things get tied up, move quickly to next allocation. These are things that are learned by implemention. 3/
Read 5 tweets
3 Jan
On vaccination distribution, time is of the essence but I can’t urge enough that data after one non holiday week will be very telling about what actually needs to be fixed. We don’t want to screw up the science with wrong fix.
Jan 4-11th.
Then: Jan 20, competency.
See ⬇️ 1/
Some wild proposals being mentioned because this is a “disaster” there are “no plans” etc. and if you’ve been through this before you know systems take time and resources. I’m not defending anyone. Trump lied about 20 M. Eyes on prize. Sweeping assessments lead to bad “fixes.” 2/
So I urge patience before we tinker with science or medicine or allocation decisions. From my perch, money and personnel and maybe some distribution of locales (everyone thinks big vaccination sites, but small and more also works) This is great analogy from @ZoeMcLaren 3/3
Read 4 tweets
28 Dec 20
I appreciate the sentiment this reflects. I (of all people) also appreciate that we draw conclusions about Arabs and Muslims as well. So, I want to start there. But there is a reason in this very unique case why (some of us) use words like suicide bomber but not terrorist. 1/
I'm not here to defend analysis, I'm thick skinned, simply to explain thinking. As we all know, terrorism is a motivational crime, violence for political or ideological impact. A lot of things can elicit terror, seem "terrorist" like, but not be that 2/
Why does it matter? The long game. I too am worried about white radical terrorism in US. Trump condones it as well by using tactic known as #stochasticterrorism to incite without directing. More on my thoughts @markfollman @motherjones 3/
motherjones.com/politics/2020/…
Read 6 tweets
22 Dec 20
WHEN?!?! A THREAD. The timeframe for vaccinations has varied. Fauci noted general population "most likely start" in April. Anything sooner you hear from folks is based on assumptions that are risky. End of Aug for majority is also a really fair timeframe.
1/
Let's start with the numbers. Indignation at pandemic skeptics who are getting the vaccine now is totally legitimate. But as I've been urging, success is in bulk measurements: over 550K have been vaccinated so far in US. And it's rolling. 2/
nytimes.com/interactive/20…
This pace will pick up significantly. Challenges in distribution system are getting addressed daily (disclosure, again: I advise public and private entities on this part, but do not work directly with any manufacturers). This isn't exactly a chain of command venture but more 3/
Read 11 tweets
14 Dec 20
Thread on Stochastic Terrorism: For years, the President of the United States Donald Trump has utilized his pulpit, twitter and his WH team to perfect a technique known as #stochasticterrorism, inciting random but predictable violence by supporters. His goal was this⬇️
His goal was to promote violence for political gain. That's terrorism. The first time I used the words publicly was in Oct, 2018 after the serial bomber arrest, but Trump was already a pro.
This:

dictionary.com/e/what-is-stoc…


2/
Read 9 tweets
7 Dec 20
This news regarding Pfizer and the Trump Administration is not shocking in sense that they seem to never get supply chain, surge or details. But there is no crying in vaccine distribution. Some thoughts on how this impacts the supply chain. 1/
As noted in @theatlantic, this is all really complicated and these blips and delays are rough but not shocking. Manufacturing can be ramped up, but this is Biden's obligation to figure out surge capacity since we know Trump doesn't do that. 2/
theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/…
Here is an explanation of how the Defense Production Act can be used ensure distribution surge starting Day One. Not just the vaccine, but needles, syringes, etc. I'm not trying to forgive Trump for this move, but we move on. Aren't you over him? I am. 3/
Read 7 tweets

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