THREAD: It’s #ImpeachmentDay and I’ve got money on my mind.

We learned yesterday that Trump’s largest lender, Deutsche Bank, is done doing business with him.

Before he took office, no U.S. major bank was willing to do business with him.
And in the last 48 hours, we’ve seen scores of major companies respond to last week’s riots & the refusal to certify the free & fair election (all fueled by Trump himself), cut off political donations, and some terminating business/payment processing for the Trump Campaign.
The PGA cancelling the upcoming championship at Trump Bedminster was another major blow to Trump’s bottom line & brand.

None of this would have happened if Trump was simply ending his term like any normal President.
Two weeks ago he was considered the Replican party “king maker” whose influence would be looming for the foreseeable future.

Last Wednesday changed everything and that’s part of what this impeachment hearing is all about.
Unlike the first impeachment which was Republicans vs Democrats, Trump is in his own lane- along with some lawmakers who pushed misinformation, tried to block certification and welcomed the “Stop The Steal” movement to DC.
That group of lawmakers is shrinking and those still standing on the side of Trump are losing money and power.

It’s been reported Mitch McConnell has not spoken with Trump, has no intention to & we know of several Republicans who plan to vote to impeach.
President Trump has always banked on the “value of the Trump brand” and all of the above is DEVASTATING to the value of that brand.

If he is impeached, that value will plummet even further and that means MONEY - money Trump needs.
Over the last 4yrs we’ve seen the RNC, corporations, industry advocacy groups, foreign governments, lobbyists, wealthy individuals...all looking to curry favors from this administration...
...spending millions of dollars at Trump properties: conferences, events, long term pricey room bookings, new memberships to Mar-A-Lago at inflated rates. And of course, the millions of dollars the U.S. government has paid Trump properties while he stayed at them.
Some of that would naturally go away when he left office, but it will be decimated if he is impeached.

During his last impeachment hearing, there was enough lack of information for Trump’s “big money backers” to look the other way.

But not this time.
As the days pass, more videos, more reporting...more ties between the riots and Trump himself surface.

His hard core base stormed the Capitol and now many are WANTED by the FBI.

The businesses he hooked up with the biggest tax cut in history have made it clear, they are OUT.
And when was the last time we heard from his big money fans?

4 years ago today, Tom Barrack was preparing to host the inauguration, 1 week before the election Tom hosted a $150k per head lunch in honor of Ivanka.

Is he out defending Trump today? SILENCE
And where has Mnuchin and Kushner been while all of this was happening?
Steve was headed to the Middle East.
Jared was coming home.
Doing what EXACTLY? Still unclear.
It’s well-known they want to shore up overseas relationships so they can raise $ for their post-admin investing goals.

Their appeal to foreign $ will be crushed if their calling cards read “advisor to/cabinet member of impeached president who incited riots on the US Capitol.”
One large Trump backer close to Mnuchin told me last night that Steve is deflated and angry that he stuck with Trump this long and has destroyed so much in just a week. He sees this as significantly worse that the first impeachment.
When he loses the “value of his political brand” which impeachment guarantees, he’s left with businesses in leisure and hospitality. None were thriving before he took office. COVID has crushed those industries and the events leading to this hearing has further damaged his brand.

Because Trump did something almost NO business person does.
He PERSONALLY guaranteed all the money he owes Deutsche Bank.
That means unless President Trump pays up (and how will he?), Deutsche Bank can take possession of all of his personal assets: Trump Tower, Trump Hotel in DC, Mar-a-Lago etc....
After welcoming rioters, Ivanka won’t be getting her clothing line back in stores, and won’t be scoring coveted licenses from China after a dinner with Xi-Jin-Ping.

All of the above has many in the business community especially worried about the week ahead.
President Trump has an enormous amount of access to information and still has power.

He owes hundreds of millions of dollars...
...I spoke to a former administration official last night and a bank CEO...both had the same takeaway.

“Trump is in a desperate political and financial situation. He can’t solve the political one. What would he be willing to do/give up to solve the financial one?”

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More from @SRuhle

15 Jan
THREAD: Let’s dig into Biden’s econ proposal. I know there are a lot of numbers to dig through, but I wanted to note something:

The American Family Act, Child Tax Credit expansion included in the Biden proposal.

It could have a massive impact towards addressing child poverty.
According to Columbia University: American Family Act will CUT Child Poverty by 40% - which is remarkable from a notable and economic stand point.
While it might sound like a big spend now, the cost to our economy long term from millions of children missing opportunities because they are born into poverty is enormous. (National Academy of Sciences estimates child poverty costs our country between $800bn-$1.1tr a year)
Read 6 tweets
11 Jan
THREAD: Here’s a round-up of corporations pulling out of donations/events because of last week and what that means.
While these companies are only temporarily halting contributions & still giving to Super PACs etc., it is very significant to see them take public action NOW.

More than anyone, corporations track public sentiment. Most also don’t like being tangled in politics.
Taking clear action against Republicans in the Senate who would not certify the election and very clear distancing themselves from President Trump shows they believe this is where America’s head is at TODAY (the shift since Election Day).
Read 18 tweets
16 Nov 20
THREAD: Biden doing a call with business and labor leaders on COVID recovery + his speech today positioned to push Congress to do SOMETHING on COVID.

He is making it clear business leaders, labor leaders and government CAN and must work together to get to the other side.
Meanwhile: Trump ignoring/denying the reality of COVID increases COVID fatigue and American’s unwillingness to adhere to protocols.

+ Congress is making no headway while small businesses panic and/or fight back against state and local restrictions.
But even without more restrictions in place, small biz is in PERIL – why?

Because America is sick & getting sicker. We are not out holiday shopping, celebrating or socializing in a way that can/will keep small businesses alive. And if we do, the spread of COVID will only worsen.
Read 6 tweets
4 Nov 20
THREAD: What are we seeing so far from voters and their economic concerns?
SENIORS: Trump holding an edge
- given strong stock market performance & threatening “you’ll lose your 401k w/o me,” seniors care about retirement savings staying in tact
- heavy unemployment/need for stimulus less relevant
THE LATINO VOTE: We’re seeing Latinos putting economy as top priority
- A reminder that immigration is not the only issue — it’s not even #1
- Latinos are the fastest growing demographic of small biz owners & entrepreneurs. Deregulation and taxes are a major focus
Read 12 tweets
26 Oct 20
THREAD: Dow is down 650 – WHY? Because of COVID resurgence.

Travel/leisure/hospitality – any industries that would be adversely impacted by additional lock downs & restrictions are getting hit the hardest.
Earnings have been improving – with expectations of strong GDP coming Thursday (strong GDP # is positive, but remember - we were under broad shut down mandates in Q2)
As we look at stocks tumble & Covid #'s rise, it is a key reminder that the economic recovery is 100% linked to the actual pandemic recovery.
Read 4 tweets
16 Oct 20
✔️ Trump town hall fact-check time!

Let’s break down the economic points President Trump made last night and explain why the false claims aren’t true.
Arguing that $400M isn’t much, his debt is just a bunch of mortgages on beautiful properties, saying he doesn’t owe $ to foreign entities, touting a V shaped recovery, companies are pouring back into U.S., that lenders asked him to borrow from them as a favor to them...
...saying he built the greatest economy ever...

Read 8 tweets

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