There appears to be an error on the CDC website.
The @CDCgov page currently claims 11M people have initiated COVID-19 vaccination, but the underlying data suggests that it's actually 11M *doses*.
This is quite misleading, and I hope this error is corrected ASAP.
The @CDCgov page currently claims 11M people have initiated COVID-19 vaccination, but the underlying data suggests that it's actually 11M *doses*.
This is quite misleading, and I hope this error is corrected ASAP.
I took some time to correct for this myself. Our vaccination page now breaks down administered doses into 1st & 2nd doses: covid19-projections.com/path-to-herd-i…
According to our estimates, 10M people (not 11.1M) have received at least one dose. Out of those 9M, 1.1M have received both doses.
According to our estimates, 10M people (not 11.1M) have received at least one dose. Out of those 9M, 1.1M have received both doses.
After this adjustment, the current pace of new vaccinations is ~4M people per week. Even if we double that pace, it would take 9 months to vaccinate everyone.
As of now, ~15% of the daily doses given are used as a 2nd dose (114k / 747k). I expect this fraction to grow over time.
As of now, ~15% of the daily doses given are used as a 2nd dose (114k / 747k). I expect this fraction to grow over time.
So to summarize, 34 days after the vaccine was first approved for emergency use, approximately 1.1 million people in the US, or 0.3% of the population, have received the two doses required for maximum efficacy.
We have a long way to go.
We have a long way to go.
Update: The error has been fixed!
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