🦠🦠🦠55,761 new cases. Increase in recent days but this may be due to weekend home test kits picked up on Monday only just being processed. (55,242 by specimen date on Monday 11th)
So there’s several days lag in processing
ONS has had to defer its infection survey report too
⚰️⚰️⚰️1280 deaths (28 day cut off by date reported).
7 day Average 1066 per day.
But looking at dates by date of deaths (and this week and likely last will still have several hundreds of deaths added to a spread of days) we can see that on Monday 11th there were 998 deaths
More will likely be added to all these days over the coming weeks as notifications come in gradually from hospitals, care homes, institutions & private home death registrations.
If you want to look at ONS deaths by date of occurrence you can see it here
But NB. The ONS data is for England and Wales only.
You would have to add Scotland and No deaths by date of occurrence to that.
To understand the different way deaths are counted & to have a sense of lag, @LawrenceGilder has done a graph of 28 day deaths (the quicker but less complete record) by date of death
There hasn’t REALLY been fewer deaths in the last few days
There is just a reporting lag
The fuller but slower record are the Stats authorities Covid certified deaths.
🏥 admissions are now very laggy with the last full report from all 4 nations being on Monday 11th (4262). But there were 4134 in England alone on the 12th. Likely over 4,400
🛌 likely c37,485 looking at the most recent data from each nation.
This is an appalling NHS burden
Ventilator bed usage is now over 10% more than the spring surge despite relying far more on CPAP than in the early days.
This is highly intensive and specialised nursing yet nurses are having to spread their attention far thinner now to cope with the weight of patients.
Hardly any wonder we are reading tales of doctors and nurses crying on the train on their way home and having nightmares when they finally get to sleep utterly exhausted.
They may be used to patients dying but the sheer quantity would hit any human being.
It is hard to believe that we are still seeing so many care homes incidents (nearly 750 in one week in the most recent PHE report)
Deaths should be monitored very carefully particularly given how many thousands of excess care home deaths there were in the first wave
The good news is that 443,234 people have received BOTH doses of vaccine and 3,234,946 their first dose.
So 3,678,180 doses administered to 3,234,946 people
So 0.65% of the population have been fully vaccinated
Assuming the latter are included in the former. (First dose) then 2,791,730 people have only had their first dose. 4.1% of the population but with second dose to come
As a proportion of their population Israel, UAE and Bahrain are ahead of us-but they are much smaller countries
Eeek. This is sobering. Poor London.
That’s the problem with failing to suppress the virus. Other much needed treatments get squeezed out to make room for patients that cannot breath.
“I tried to ration my use (of SM) during the 2019 (GE) relying on other sources to find out what was going on. But by then I had already been contaminated. The stress was in the atmosphere of British politics, a fine chemical mist that coated everything.”
“It was absorbed through my skin. It got into my blood, into my heart.”
🦠🦠 41,346 new cases. General trend downwards but still very high given the enormous burden hospitals are bearing.
Looking at cases by swab date up to & inc Monday apart from weekends most days were over 50k cases
Avg 53,460 over the 8 days likely to be hitting hospitals now
I haven’t looked much beyond 11th Jan by swab date because
1/ there seems to be quite a lag in processing.
2/. Cases swabbed in the current week likely not to be hitting the hospitals until next week.
But 12th Jan is already on nearly 48k.
Also
There is A LOT of LFT going on in England
Nearly three quarters of a mill (741,398) in 5 days from Monday
148,279 avg a day
Yet a paucity of data on the dashboard about who and where the tests are being done on asymptomatic screening and data on positives, negatives, unclears
The dashboard indicates the use of LFT in England (but not elsewhere) has shot up recently.
So is positivity going down because these tests are included in the denominator (albeit not in the numerator which I think is just PCR positives).
What happens re unclear LFT? QA?
Then there is this - same helpful thread from @_johnbye
IF they are including LFT in their positivity calculations (if only in the denominator) that is going to make it very difficult to decide if it is really going down or just diluted by LFT asymptomatic screening -ves.
The report specifically warned of violence from thousands or enraged protestors egged on by Trump & flanked by white supremacists and extreme militia armed for battle :- Congress the target.
Who was briefed. Which key roles were not and why?
The day before the attack the FBI office in Virginia issued an explicit warning that extremists were preparing to travel to Washington to commit violence & “war”
Who was told this? Which key rôles with responsibility were not? Why?
If they voted for remain then they did not seek this in any way.
If they voted leave then were they willing to watch other industries suffer to gain an advantage for themselves?
If so they have some soul searching to do.
@pmdfoster@sff_uk@BorisJohnson If they voted leave but realise now that what the campaign promised is quite literally undeliverable then I can understand how that happened.
What is NOT Ok is again to seek a solution that benefits them but harms others who account for more jobs and GDP.
Today you will see that 11/1/21 shows 937 deaths...but there will be more because MOST deaths are not reported within a day or three. They get topped up.
So this was 28 cut off deaths by date of death yesterday