🦠🦠 41,346 new cases. General trend downwards but still very high given the enormous burden hospitals are bearing.
Looking at cases by swab date up to & inc Monday apart from weekends most days were over 50k cases
Avg 53,460 over the 8 days likely to be hitting hospitals now
I haven’t looked much beyond 11th Jan by swab date because
1/ there seems to be quite a lag in processing.
2/. Cases swabbed in the current week likely not to be hitting the hospitals until next week.
But 12th Jan is already on nearly 48k.
Also
There is A LOT of LFT going on in England
Nearly three quarters of a mill (741,398) in 5 days from Monday
148,279 avg a day
Yet a paucity of data on the dashboard about who and where the tests are being done on asymptomatic screening and data on positives, negatives, unclears
⚰️⚰️⚰️ 1295 (28 day cut off deaths)
89,243 ONS/ stats authority Covid certified deaths up to 1/1/21.
Since then there have been 11,737 - 28 day deaths by date of death - a marked undercount due to death notification lag..
OR
14,422- 28 day deaths by date of notification .
I tend to rely v. conservatively on the death by date of death to rule out any possibility of double counting
In reality there will be reporting lags both for the ONS/ Stats authority deaths and 28 day deaths.
So 100,980 Covid deaths
OR
103,665 Covid deaths
🏥 admissions. The last complete data was for Tuesday 12th. 4532. A staggering number for a single day.
🛌 IN PATIENTS Last complete day was Thursday 14th. 37,475 but looking at incomplete data for the 15th seems likely to be 37,934.
Nearly 38k COVID inpatients. Dire.
VENTILATOR 🛏 keep climbing. 3,789.
About 10% of all in patients.
No wonder 200 HM Forces medical combat technicians are being drafted in to support ICUs.
“I tried to ration my use (of SM) during the 2019 (GE) relying on other sources to find out what was going on. But by then I had already been contaminated. The stress was in the atmosphere of British politics, a fine chemical mist that coated everything.”
“It was absorbed through my skin. It got into my blood, into my heart.”
The dashboard indicates the use of LFT in England (but not elsewhere) has shot up recently.
So is positivity going down because these tests are included in the denominator (albeit not in the numerator which I think is just PCR positives).
What happens re unclear LFT? QA?
Then there is this - same helpful thread from @_johnbye
IF they are including LFT in their positivity calculations (if only in the denominator) that is going to make it very difficult to decide if it is really going down or just diluted by LFT asymptomatic screening -ves.
The report specifically warned of violence from thousands or enraged protestors egged on by Trump & flanked by white supremacists and extreme militia armed for battle :- Congress the target.
Who was briefed. Which key roles were not and why?
The day before the attack the FBI office in Virginia issued an explicit warning that extremists were preparing to travel to Washington to commit violence & “war”
Who was told this? Which key rôles with responsibility were not? Why?
If they voted for remain then they did not seek this in any way.
If they voted leave then were they willing to watch other industries suffer to gain an advantage for themselves?
If so they have some soul searching to do.
@pmdfoster@sff_uk@BorisJohnson If they voted leave but realise now that what the campaign promised is quite literally undeliverable then I can understand how that happened.
What is NOT Ok is again to seek a solution that benefits them but harms others who account for more jobs and GDP.
🦠🦠🦠55,761 new cases. Increase in recent days but this may be due to weekend home test kits picked up on Monday only just being processed. (55,242 by specimen date on Monday 11th)
So there’s several days lag in processing
ONS has had to defer its infection survey report too
⚰️⚰️⚰️1280 deaths (28 day cut off by date reported).
7 day Average 1066 per day.
But looking at dates by date of deaths (and this week and likely last will still have several hundreds of deaths added to a spread of days) we can see that on Monday 11th there were 998 deaths
More will likely be added to all these days over the coming weeks as notifications come in gradually from hospitals, care homes, institutions & private home death registrations.
If you want to look at ONS deaths by date of occurrence you can see it here
Today you will see that 11/1/21 shows 937 deaths...but there will be more because MOST deaths are not reported within a day or three. They get topped up.
So this was 28 cut off deaths by date of death yesterday