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Fionna O'Leary, 🕯🇪🇺 Profile picture
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16 Jan, 4 tweets, 2 min read
This article by ⁦⁦@rafaelbehr⁩ remind me why he’s one of my favourite commentators

NO word of irony : heartfelt but clear seeing

I thrived on the tension and drama of British politics. Then I had a heart attack
theguardian.com/lifeandstyle/2…
“I tried to ration my use (of SM) during the 2019 (GE) relying on other sources to find out what was going on. But by then I had already been contaminated. The stress was in the atmosphere of British politics, a fine chemical mist that coated everything.”
“It was absorbed through my skin. It got into my blood, into my heart.”

How many of us felt much the same?

It was one of the reasons that drove that GE.

People literally couldn’t take any more.

Now look what we have.
But we can send a message about how much we need wise voices like his. He survived his heart attack and is thriving again.

Maybe we can give him a cheer and save many more (especially given the iniquities of Covid on the heart)?

justgiving.com/fundraising/ra…

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More from @fascinatorfun

Fionna O'Leary, 🕯🇪🇺 Profile picture
16 Jan
🦠🦠 41,346 new cases. General trend downwards but still very high given the enormous burden hospitals are bearing.

Looking at cases by swab date up to & inc Monday apart from weekends most days were over 50k cases

Avg 53,460 over the 8 days likely to be hitting hospitals now
I haven’t looked much beyond 11th Jan by swab date because

1/ there seems to be quite a lag in processing.

2/. Cases swabbed in the current week likely not to be hitting the hospitals until next week.

But 12th Jan is already on nearly 48k.

Also
There is A LOT of LFT going on in England

Nearly three quarters of a mill (741,398) in 5 days from Monday

148,279 avg a day

Yet a paucity of data on the dashboard about who and where the tests are being done on asymptomatic screening and data on positives, negatives, unclears
Read 10 tweets
Fionna O'Leary, 🕯🇪🇺 Profile picture
16 Jan
Ongoing concern about how LFT and PCR tests are reported on the dashboard/T&T

@DrMikeWGill @deeksj might be interested
This illustrates why we are puzzled about what is being counted where

URGENT need to separate out LFT reporting outcomes & screening from symptomatic testing
The dashboard indicates the use of LFT in England (but not elsewhere) has shot up recently.

So is positivity going down because these tests are included in the denominator (albeit not in the numerator which I think is just PCR positives).

What happens re unclear LFT? QA?
Then there is this - same helpful thread from @_johnbye

IF they are including LFT in their positivity calculations (if only in the denominator) that is going to make it very difficult to decide if it is really going down or just diluted by LFT asymptomatic screening -ves.
Read 5 tweets
Fionna O'Leary, 🕯🇪🇺 Profile picture
16 Jan
Capitol Police intelligence report warned three days before attack that ‘Congress itself’ could be targeted - The Washington Post

This really is quite shocking.

Explicit warnings in the intelligence report (not shared with the FBI)

There’s more... washingtonpost.com/politics/capit…
The report specifically warned of violence from thousands or enraged protestors egged on by Trump & flanked by white supremacists and extreme militia armed for battle :- Congress the target.

Who was briefed. Which key roles were not and why?
The day before the attack the FBI office in Virginia issued an explicit warning that extremists were preparing to travel to Washington to commit violence & “war”

Who was told this? Which key rôles with responsibility were not? Why?

What stand by arrangements did the FBI make?
Read 14 tweets
Fionna O'Leary, 🕯🇪🇺 Profile picture
15 Jan
@pmdfoster @sff_uk @BorisJohnson It is critical to establish how they voted and why?

If they voted for remain then they did not seek this in any way.

If they voted leave then were they willing to watch other industries suffer to gain an advantage for themselves?

If so they have some soul searching to do.
@pmdfoster @sff_uk @BorisJohnson If they voted leave but realise now that what the campaign promised is quite literally undeliverable then I can understand how that happened.

What is NOT Ok is again to seek a solution that benefits them but harms others who account for more jobs and GDP.
@pmdfoster @sff_uk @BorisJohnson In reality the deal and NO deal harms nearly all

That has to be faced.

Because the solutions are not in the FTA.
Read 4 tweets
Fionna O'Leary, 🕯🇪🇺 Profile picture
15 Jan
🦠🦠🦠55,761 new cases. Increase in recent days but this may be due to weekend home test kits picked up on Monday only just being processed. (55,242 by specimen date on Monday 11th)

So there’s several days lag in processing

ONS has had to defer its infection survey report too
⚰️⚰️⚰️1280 deaths (28 day cut off by date reported).
7 day Average 1066 per day.

But looking at dates by date of deaths (and this week and likely last will still have several hundreds of deaths added to a spread of days) we can see that on Monday 11th there were 998 deaths
More will likely be added to all these days over the coming weeks as notifications come in gradually from hospitals, care homes, institutions & private home death registrations.

If you want to look at ONS deaths by date of occurrence you can see it here

ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulati…
Read 14 tweets
Fionna O'Leary, 🕯🇪🇺 Profile picture
14 Jan
Because it is so late a quick update

🦠🦠🦠48,682 new cases

⚰️⚰️⚰️. 1248 (28 day deaths)

There has been a problem with the death data feed today, so let’s wait until tomorrow for firmed up data. Image
And - just so @sarahknapton from the @TelePolitics understand how deaths by date of death works...

Today you will see that 11/1/21 shows 937 deaths...but there will be more because MOST deaths are not reported within a day or three. They get topped up. Image
So this was 28 cut off deaths by date of death yesterday

Do you see @sarahknapton

There were 730 deaths on that day that had been notified. Today another 217 for that day notified.

It will keep going up.

All those other days too. Image
Read 8 tweets

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