Kyle Lamb Profile picture
15 Jan, 4 tweets, 1 min read
Over 2,000 fewer children under age 15 died in 2020 than three year average from 2017-19.
If you're curious multiple cause of deaths involving Flu, Pneumonia or Covid-19 (ICD codes J09-J18.9) show 705 deaths since Jan 2020 for children 14-under. The last 3 years registered an ave. of 873. So roughly 10 percent of the difference could be explained from fewer PN deaths.
Source on this is comparing the CDC wonder database for those codes and the CDC provisional counts of death table by age group using the J09-J18 range.
Another disclaimer here is that the actual PN/flu pediatric deaths are likely much higher in past years than reported. This could account for a bigger decrease than portrayed in this comparison.

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More from @kylamb8

2 Jan
It's time we have a discussion about targeting. Let's set aside with the ejection aspect, for a moment, as I believe that needs changed. But undeniably, undoubtedly and unequivocally this was not only not a "textbook" form tackle, it was textbook targeting (formerly spearing).

1
The version of this targeting rule predates targeting itself. The rule began in 1975 as what was called "spearing" as the "deliberate use of the head and helmet" to punish an opponent. No player should use helmet "butt" or "ram" an opponent.

2
Anyone that played pee wee football in the 80s, 90s or beyond should know this as common sense. Every little leaguer football player was taught on day one not to look down when form tackling and not use the top of your helmet. This was a spear. Kids know this.

3
Read 10 tweets
16 Oct 20
98%.

What if I told you that confirmed flu surveillance across the world has dropped year over year by 98% since April?

This is the deep dive story with data, graphs and charts showing how the world's most consistent nemesis has (almost) completely vanished.

-1- Image
We began hearing reports back in May the flu was nowhere to be seen in the Southern hemisphere, which was the start of when cases usually peak. I had theorized as early as June and July that perhaps Covid was keeping the flu away.

-2-

Though just a theory I floated at the time, probably earlier and more consistently than most, it's one that now shares some scientific backing.

Check out this study published Sep. 4 in The Lancet that corroborates the theory with some precedent.

thelancet.com/journals/lanmi…

-3- Image
Read 21 tweets
14 Oct 20
Here is what a second wave looks like in areas that have already been through the gauntlet. A thread using WHO graphics of daily cases (blue marks) to daily deaths (black line). Please exercise discretion if you're sensitive (hah)

AUT, BEL, DMK, FIN ImageImageImageImage
FRA, DEU, ISL, IRL ImageImageImageImage
ITA, NLD, NOR, PRT ImageImageImageImage
Read 4 tweets
28 Sep 20
Full pivot. After a lot of reflection, prayer and many signs and circumstances pointing this direction in my life, I need to continue this path of data analysis full time if I'm to have time to do it. I'm creating a Patreon for supporters to donate.
-1-
patreon.com/beyondthefold?…
I set the Patreon tier at $3. People can tip any amount above that if they wish. It's recurring but if you want to make a one time donation, you can set it to that amount and cancel after. I'll post more in depth analysis on there daily plus my weekly podcast, etc.

-2-
I'm only looking to supplement my income. If the spirit moves and I'm blessed to make more than that, I will be donating 20% above my expense threshold to charity. I really never planned or wanted to monetize this, but if I'm going to have time, I need to be fully devoted.

-3-
Read 4 tweets
25 Sep 20
It is undeniable, IMHO, that there has been an increase in spread in the upper Midwest. This is specifically in WI, the Dakotas, MT, WY, etc. This is not just on account of detection of college cases, but PCR/CLI have risen too. This does not mean a ton of deaths will follow.

1 ImageImageImageImage
Remember those of us following both seasonality & infection thresholds have been calling this for months. Places that have not been hit hard are still susceptible to further spread. It's not an accident this is hitting a specific geography (seasonality) & places not reaching HIT
Here is a visual of CLI in HHS region 8 (CO, UT, WY, MT, ND, SD)

You can see a definite tick up the past 7-10 days in symptomatic ER visits and confirmed diagnoses. Image
Read 5 tweets
25 Sep 20
We have our MMWR 38 update in from the CDC, and my Covid Indicator Trend Index has been updated from that. All 4 indicators: CDC Viral Testing/PCR by collection date (20% each), Covid Like Illness (CLI, symptomatic ER visits) and hospitalizations per 100,000 (30%) went DOWN.

-1- Image
To be transparent, we're seeing significant rise in HHS region 8 (CO, MT, ND, SD, UT, WY). We saw a definitive jump in positive percentages last week, a small increase in CLI and an uptick in hospitalizations. Every other region looks good.

-2-
Here are the CDC viral surveillance... labs reporting to the CDC and specifically the HHS PCR testing dataset by collection/test date

-3- Image
Read 5 tweets

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