1] Did mention in the thread below that the critical phase was the post election period.
The paranoid Dictator of Uganda has effectively immobilized @HEBobiwine
Whereas Bobi is under house arrest,his comrades & supporters are behind bars or in hiding
The paranoid Dictator of Uganda has effectively immobilized @HEBobiwine
Whereas Bobi is under house arrest,his comrades & supporters are behind bars or in hiding
https://twitter.com/Laque_davis/status/1350339429739732994?s=19
https://twitter.com/HEBobiwine/status/1351501734569529345
2] But ofcourse @MUSEVN isn't stupid.
He knows he can't isolate @HEBobiwine forever.
Yoweri is just buying time.
The plan is to allow for the waters to settle,as the external world "congratulate" him, effectively forcing Ugandans to "move on".
It's now a psychological warfare
He knows he can't isolate @HEBobiwine forever.
Yoweri is just buying time.
The plan is to allow for the waters to settle,as the external world "congratulate" him, effectively forcing Ugandans to "move on".
It's now a psychological warfare
3] Yoweri will soon push to "normalize" life in Uganda.
He will appoint Ministers & Parliament will resume it's sittings.
To spice it up, some political prisoners may be pardoned.
Expect him to make conciliatory speeches signaling the end of the election season.
He will appoint Ministers & Parliament will resume it's sittings.
To spice it up, some political prisoners may be pardoned.
Expect him to make conciliatory speeches signaling the end of the election season.
4] Only when M7 is convinced that Bobi has been isolated from his supporters & the international world, will he be "released".
But then Dictators are forever living in fear.
Bobi's political problems are only getting started.
They will make him the villain & persecute him.
But then Dictators are forever living in fear.
Bobi's political problems are only getting started.
They will make him the villain & persecute him.
5] And what political process will Bobi push, once the house arrest is over?
How many Ugandans & indeed the rest of the world, will rally behind him?
Sadly, the rest of the world will soon redirect attention to internal problems, thus isolating Bobi even after his release.
How many Ugandans & indeed the rest of the world, will rally behind him?
Sadly, the rest of the world will soon redirect attention to internal problems, thus isolating Bobi even after his release.
6] I fear for the worst.
Look at Zimbabwe and how we having been "moving on" after every disputed election, jumping straight into another.
Ugandan problems need regional & international solidarity, or else this template will continue to be passed around by despots.
enkosi!
Look at Zimbabwe and how we having been "moving on" after every disputed election, jumping straight into another.
Ugandan problems need regional & international solidarity, or else this template will continue to be passed around by despots.
enkosi!
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