1/ Secretary of Defense nominee Lloyd Austin at Senate Armed Services Committee confirmation hearing:

"Globally I understand that Asia must be the focus of our effort and I see China in particular as a pacing challenge for the Department"
2/ SecDef nominee Lloyd Austin on advance policy Qs

"Globally...most significant challenge I will face will be to ensure DOD's contd efforts to prepare & strengthen the US military for a dynamic, future security landscape driven by accelerating competitions w China & w Russia.."
3/ SecDef nominee Austin in written answers says strategic competition w/ China & Russia primary challenges but "because of its ascent and the scope and scale of its military modernization, China is the top priority"
4/ SecDef nominee Austin in written answers on his assessment of the military threat posed by China...
5/ SecDef nominee Austin on whether the NDS needs to be revised notes: "For example, the pace of China’s military modernization, its increasingly aggressive actions in the INDO-PACIFIC and its ability to threaten the US Homeland are concerning and must be continually reexamined"
6/ SecDef nominee Austin in APQs emphasizes "strength of this network of defense relations" w/ allies & partners as crucial "especially in global competitions with China and Russia"
7/ SecDef nominee Austin in APQs on resources for non-DOD agencies: "imperative" they "receive sufficient funding"

"I do not believe current funding levels for security assistance & development programs are pacing the challenges posed by China and others in these areas"
8/ SecDef nominee Austin in APQs re DoD priorities in Africa: "countering
1) violent extremist organizations (VEOs) that
threaten the homeland and U.S. national security interests and
2) competitors such as China and Russia"
9/ SecDef nominee Austin in APQs re his assessment of Chinese & Russian goals in Africa.

(among other things, notes concern re their overseas basing plans)
10/ SecDef nominee Austin in APQs re US strategy to compete vs China & Russia in Africa.

Says must not just compete, but win. Reqs whole of govt effort & addressing mutual security concerns
11/ Will circle back to APQs, picking up on the actual SASC hearing....
12/ Sen. Reed asks re Pacific Defense Initiative & solidifying ties w/ Australia, Japan, South Korea, & expanding w/ other Pacific nations.

Austin: refurbishing alliances "critical", hopes to "build add'l capacity where possible"

"the region will be one of my first stops."
13/ Sen. Reed talks about "strength in numbers" & security cooperation w/ Pacific partners being the "best deterrent we could think of with respect to the aspirations of China."

Austin says he agrees.
14/ Sen. Wicker asks if he agrees w/ assessment that China's goal is to devp a military by mid-century equal or superior to that of US.

Austin says he agrees & "I wld intend to make sure that never happens."

Talks abt maintaining competitive edge.
15/ Sen. Tillis asks re which strategic areas China might have a qualitative edge in.

Austin response:
16/ I am not going to add more China-related references from SecDef nominee Lloyd Austin's advance policy answers because frankly there are too many & not just in Indo-Pacific section but in every regional & functional section.

Link to document: armed-services.senate.gov/imo/media/doc/…
17/ Sen. Sullivan asks Austin re criticisms that he'll favor the army & doesn't have experience in the Asia-Pacific

Austin's response below. Also says: "We will present a credible deterrent to China and any other adversary that looks to take us on."
18/ Sen. King asks re views on coalitions & shoring up rels w/ allies.

Austin's response
19/ Sen. King asks, what does China want.

Austin: "some of the things we have seen from them in the recent past in terms of coercive behavior in the region and around the globe lead us to believe they want to be a dominant world power"
20/ Sen. Scott asks: "How you will get up to speed and how important you think it is to get up to speed on the risk of communist China?"

Austin: "absolutely important"
21/ Sen. Scott asks re US support for Taiwan

Austin: "Our efforts will be to ensure we do everything to make sure that China does not make that decision [to invade Taiwan]...will make sure we are living up to our commitments to support Taiwan’s ability to defend itself."
22/ Sen. Blackburn asks a question about a quote re "strategic patience" vis-a-vis China that she attributes to Austin.

Full question & Austin response...
23/ Sen. Hawley asks re China, Russia & what's the primary challenge
Austin: "China presents the most significant threat going forward because China is ascending. Russia is also a threat but it's in decline. It can still do a great deal of damage...But China is the pacing threat"
24/ Sen. Hawley asks re planning for a Chinese fait accompli vis-a-vis Taiwan
Austin's exchange with him on this...
25/ To wrap up this thread re China references at SecDef nominee Lloyd Austin's SASC hearing, adding this separate tweet re his advance policy answer on India

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More from @tanvi_madan

19 Jan
India will be relatively pleased w/ Lloyd Austin's remarks/answers re China, India, Indo-Pacific at confirmation hearing. It'll be less pleased -- though not surprised since he's a fmr CENTCOM commander -- re his answers on Pakistan
Source: answers submitted to Senate Armed Services Cmte advance policy questions armed-services.senate.gov/imo/media/doc/…
For reference: Mattis's answers to advance policy questions on Pakistan ahead of his 2017 confirmation hearing
Read 4 tweets
19 Jan
Sen. Mark Warner, currently cmte vice chair, soon to be chair: "Echoing what the chmn [Sen. Rubio] has said, perhaps the greatest challenge facing you as the DNI will be a rising China that is committed to surpassing & eclipsing the US militarily, economically & technologically"
2/ DNI Nominee Avril Haines: "we should provide the necessary intelligence to support long-term bipartisan efforts to outcompete China, gaining & sharing insight into China's intentions & capabilities..."
3/ DNI Nominee Avril Haines: "...while also supporting more immediate efforts to counter Beijing's unfair, illegal, aggressive & coercive actions as well as its human rights violations whenever we can"
Read 17 tweets
19 Jan
🧵 A lil’ late to this but important enough an issue that I’d like to flag why I have a slightly different perspective from Jeff on this. CAATSA sanctions wld hv a greater impact on US-India relations than GSP/tariffs & cld set back 🇮🇳🇺🇸 coop & Indians' view of US. Here’s why 1/
2/ A major reason for Indian hesitations about the US historically has been the sense that as a partner it is

- unreliable
- attaches too many strings
- weaponizes interdependence

(thus curtailing Indian strategic autonomy)
3/ Comes from India seeing US

- cut off supply of mil equipment, parts in 1960s in midst of a crisis
- stepping back in 1971 from promises to help India if China attacked
-post-nuclear test sanctions

India-US rels might hv “survived” those but they were significant setbacks
Read 15 tweets
19 Oct 20
1/ Delhi says India-Japan-US exercise "Malabar 2020 will see the participation of the Australian Navy"

This is thanks to Chinese behavior & a reflection of deepening IN-AU ties.

For many, this has been the litmus test for the Quad. Now what? 🇦🇺🇮🇳🇯🇵🇺🇸
pib.gov.in/PressReleasePa…
3/ Seeing a lot re potential hostile Chinese reaction to mQuad. Taking foreigners hostage? Using force to change territorial status quo? Economic coercion Beating up diplomats? Oh, wait.

It is China's already hostile reax that has driven 🇦🇺🇮🇳🇯🇵🇺🇸 closer.
Read 6 tweets
8 Oct 20
🧵 1/ I know some of you really wanted a joint statement from the Quad ministerial, so you can create your own from the readouts, which give you a sense of what the countries covered (read them for more specifics too). This can get you started:
2/ What Australia, India, Japan & the US outlined as their visions for the Indo-Pacific
3/ Some of you were also really sad that most of the Quad didn't mention China, but, as always, read between the lines in what they said publicly.

And if you think they met in person in the middle of COVID19 & didn't talk about China privately, well, bless your heart
Read 5 tweets
7 Oct 20
🧵 1/ Fascinating chain of events. Taiwan rep. office in India places an ad in 2 Indian newspapers (Indian Express, Statesman) & a program on a news channel. Over the last few months there hv also been op-eds by no. of Taiwanese officials (incl FM Wu) in Indian newspapers
2/ Chinese emb. in India (routinely places ads & objects to Taiwanese op-eds) sends Indian media a letter telling them to "stick to" official 🇮🇳 position on Taiwan, what they can/cannot call Taiwan & Tsai Ing-wen & not to send wrong signals to the public
3/ Taiwanese foreign minister Joseph Wu...
Read 10 tweets

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