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Tanvi Madan Profile picture
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19 Jan, 4 tweets, 2 min read
India will be relatively pleased w/ Lloyd Austin's remarks/answers re China, India, Indo-Pacific at confirmation hearing. It'll be less pleased -- though not surprised since he's a fmr CENTCOM commander -- re his answers on Pakistan
Source: answers submitted to Senate Armed Services Cmte advance policy questions armed-services.senate.gov/imo/media/doc/…
For reference: Mattis's answers to advance policy questions on Pakistan ahead of his 2017 confirmation hearing
For those asking re Lloyd Austin's comments (advance, at hearing) re China:
Advance answers on India:

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More from @tanvi_madan

Tanvi Madan Profile picture
19 Jan
1/ Secretary of Defense nominee Lloyd Austin at Senate Armed Services Committee confirmation hearing:

"Globally I understand that Asia must be the focus of our effort and I see China in particular as a pacing challenge for the Department"
2/ SecDef nominee Lloyd Austin on advance policy Qs

"Globally...most significant challenge I will face will be to ensure DOD's contd efforts to prepare & strengthen the US military for a dynamic, future security landscape driven by accelerating competitions w China & w Russia.."
3/ SecDef nominee Austin in written answers says strategic competition w/ China & Russia primary challenges but "because of its ascent and the scope and scale of its military modernization, China is the top priority"
Read 25 tweets
Tanvi Madan Profile picture
19 Jan
Sen. Mark Warner, currently cmte vice chair, soon to be chair: "Echoing what the chmn [Sen. Rubio] has said, perhaps the greatest challenge facing you as the DNI will be a rising China that is committed to surpassing & eclipsing the US militarily, economically & technologically"
2/ DNI Nominee Avril Haines: "we should provide the necessary intelligence to support long-term bipartisan efforts to outcompete China, gaining & sharing insight into China's intentions & capabilities..."
3/ DNI Nominee Avril Haines: "...while also supporting more immediate efforts to counter Beijing's unfair, illegal, aggressive & coercive actions as well as its human rights violations whenever we can"
Read 17 tweets
Tanvi Madan Profile picture
19 Jan
🧵 A lil’ late to this but important enough an issue that I’d like to flag why I have a slightly different perspective from Jeff on this. CAATSA sanctions wld hv a greater impact on US-India relations than GSP/tariffs & cld set back 🇮🇳🇺🇸 coop & Indians' view of US. Here’s why 1/
2/ A major reason for Indian hesitations about the US historically has been the sense that as a partner it is

- unreliable
- attaches too many strings
- weaponizes interdependence

(thus curtailing Indian strategic autonomy)
3/ Comes from India seeing US

- cut off supply of mil equipment, parts in 1960s in midst of a crisis
- stepping back in 1971 from promises to help India if China attacked
-post-nuclear test sanctions

India-US rels might hv “survived” those but they were significant setbacks
Read 15 tweets
Tanvi Madan Profile picture
19 Oct 20
1/ Delhi says India-Japan-US exercise "Malabar 2020 will see the participation of the Australian Navy"

This is thanks to Chinese behavior & a reflection of deepening IN-AU ties.

For many, this has been the litmus test for the Quad. Now what? 🇦🇺🇮🇳🇯🇵🇺🇸
pib.gov.in/PressReleasePa…
2/ From Australia's minister of defence...
3/ Seeing a lot re potential hostile Chinese reaction to mQuad. Taking foreigners hostage? Using force to change territorial status quo? Economic coercion Beating up diplomats? Oh, wait.

It is China's already hostile reax that has driven 🇦🇺🇮🇳🇯🇵🇺🇸 closer.
Read 6 tweets
Tanvi Madan Profile picture
8 Oct 20
🧵 1/ I know some of you really wanted a joint statement from the Quad ministerial, so you can create your own from the readouts, which give you a sense of what the countries covered (read them for more specifics too). This can get you started:
2/ What Australia, India, Japan & the US outlined as their visions for the Indo-Pacific
3/ Some of you were also really sad that most of the Quad didn't mention China, but, as always, read between the lines in what they said publicly.

And if you think they met in person in the middle of COVID19 & didn't talk about China privately, well, bless your heart
Read 5 tweets
Tanvi Madan Profile picture
7 Oct 20
🧵 1/ Fascinating chain of events. Taiwan rep. office in India places an ad in 2 Indian newspapers (Indian Express, Statesman) & a program on a news channel. Over the last few months there hv also been op-eds by no. of Taiwanese officials (incl FM Wu) in Indian newspapers
2/ Chinese emb. in India (routinely places ads & objects to Taiwanese op-eds) sends Indian media a letter telling them to "stick to" official 🇮🇳 position on Taiwan, what they can/cannot call Taiwan & Tsai Ing-wen & not to send wrong signals to the public
3/ Taiwanese foreign minister Joseph Wu...
Read 10 tweets

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