Ben See Profile picture
22 Jan, 7 tweets, 2 min read
I'm more than happy to answer when someone asks how I cope with the grim information on here because of course it needs to be talked about, and lots of people struggle with the feelings that inevitably arise from confronting what is happening. The fact is
whatever I feel (and I'm only talking about my feelings here) is nothing compared to people who are really suffering - those billions dealing with the famine, hunger, poverty and/or war which are overlapping with ecological and climate breakdown. It's much easier to 'cope'
when you're privileged (see my photo, job, location. For years reminding myself of my privilege when I was low made me feel worse, but that's in the past). I've talked through feeling low a good deal over the decades, so now I'm well set up to handle the grim science.
Anyway, here are some other factors that keep me going: 1) my outrage at crucial information being unavailable to people is so strong it buoys me 2) I have odd denial/partial-denial mechanisms, some linked to being a daydreamer, others to privilege, temperament etc 3) I listen to
music 4) I have a couple of friends who grasp everything and have the same or a very similar worldview as me that I can talk to any time 5) I have always wanted to get to core realities and feel better confronting/exploring truth 6) despite the grim science my outlook
remains positive because I am clear on the logic that says we cannot know what the future holds no matter how bad it looks. This isn't just hope or fantasy to me. 7) links back to 1): I feel better trying to break the silence. This is my way of taking action and action makes
us feel better. 8) taking a break from Twitter last week was great, and I'll probably do that more often.🎉

A long thread all about me and my feelings - how utterly nauseating and repulsive, I'm not doing that again and I will be deleting this asap *shudders*.

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More from @ClimateBen

24 Jan
We can expect +2C of global warming just from emissions that have already occurred.

Some of this committed warming will happen within decades, and though much of it will take centuries, without emergency system change now, we face the hell of a rapid shift to +2C by the 2030s.
1.

We can expect +1.5C by 2025-2030.

This could happen even with major climate action.

i) 67% chance (depending on assumptions)
theconversation.com/new-research-s…

ii) 2026-2032 (1800s baseline)
carbonbrief.org/analysis-when-…

iii) 1.5C as early as 2025 (1800s baseline)
nature.com/articles/d4158…
2.

'committed warming has a most-likely value of around 2.5C.. just from emissions that have already occurred

if we continue to emit greenhouse gases at the rate we currently are, we will blow through the 1.5 and 2C limits possibly within a few decades.'
independent.co.uk/environment/gr…
Read 4 tweets
24 Jan
How do journalists feel about the fact that 99% of their readers and viewers don't realise we can no longer avoid calamitous levels of global warming by 2025 - 2034 which will combine with habitat destruction and pollution to begin to seriously threaten organised human society?
We can expect 1.5°C by around 2025-2030. This is a catastrophe, though climate models indicate truly horrific 2°C by 2034 is a real possibility.

Most of the largest rainforests have now reached tipping points of some kind.

Who will focus on this reality?
1.5C by 2025-2030 is highly likely.

nature.com/articles/d4158…

2C by 2034-2043 is increasingly likely, not least because emissions may well be set for a #COVID19 rebound in 2021/22.

At 2C there will be climate chaos impacts we just cannot cope with.

carbonbrief.org/analysis-when-…
Read 6 tweets
20 Jan
Every US president since Lyndon Johnson has known about the catastrophic effects of greenhouse gases and done nothing but make things worse.

Now for a reasonable chance of decent survival there are only 9 years left to stop all emissions from the whole global industrial economy.
1. For a 67 per cent chance of not exceeding catastrophic 1.5C of global warming, 'total CO2 emissions must not exceed 230 billion tonnes. This is about five years of current emissions, or reaching net-zero emissions by 2030.'

However...

theconversation.com/new-research-s…
2. in reality we could hit 1.5C in the next 5 years, so we may well only have 1 - 8 years left.

This stark reality should provoke massive emergency action, but relatively few people are aware because the media remain silent.

Time to tell everyone.

nature.com/articles/d4158…
Read 6 tweets
19 Jan
The prospect of the near total obliteration of summer Arctic sea-ice before 2035 should really be focussing all our minds on achieving zero carbon emissions in the 2020s.
"The prospect of loss of sea-ice by 2035 should really be focussing all our minds on achieving a low-carbon world as soon as humanly feasible."phys.org/news/2020-08-e…
“We’re never going to return to conditions like there were in the 1980s and 90s,” she says. “It’s not recovering. There are going to be ups and downs, but it’s never going to go back to what it was, given our current climate state today.”

2035...or before.nationalgeographic.com/science/2020/0…
Read 7 tweets
19 Jan
Will we ever get a strong, lasting impression from ad-dependent, billionaire-funded, corporate media that many forest ecosystems are at risk of ecological collapse; that insect pollinators of crops & wild plants are under threat; and that severe global warming is now unavoidable?
1. “the land system will act to accelerate climate change rather than slow it down" (by 2040)

🔺findings challenge the possibility of limiting warming to 1.5-2°C

🔺calls into question the assumption that the climate would even be stable at those levels
insideclimatenews.org/news/13012021/…
Insect pollinators of crops and wild plants are under threat globally and their decline or loss could have profound environmental consequences.

🔺land‐use intensification, climate change, and the spread of alien species & diseases responsible for declines
esajournals.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.18…
Read 4 tweets
19 Jan
It's been a TERRIBLE year for ecological-climate action:

🔺we can expect a massive rebound in emissions and continued habitat destruction

🔺for 1.5C we need 0 emissions in the 2020s (even that may not be enough)

🔺1.5-2C may not give a stable climate according to new research
1. We have no crystal balls so 2021 could be a turning point, of course. But it would take something absolutely extraordinary to suddenly stop the destruction that's happening in this particularly awful stage of industrial capitalism.

2. Using a 1750 baseline, 1.5C probably isn't possible anymore. Using a 19th/20th century baseline still only gives us until 2030 to slash emissions to zero for a '67 percent' chance of not exceeding 1.5C.
theconversation.com/new-research-s…
Read 5 tweets

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