Testing is mandatory for hospital admission yet +ve tests appear to have risen in the community, not in hospitals where they seem fairly flatlined. You wouldn't expect that in a #NHS crisis.
But +ve P2 Cases (no hospitalisation needed) have risen hugely
The data seems to call into serious question the severity of the new SARS-CoV-2 strand & whether #COVID19#lockdown2021 measures are justified
But Cases have risen hugely. Why?
Well, testing has risen substantially in the same period. As SARS-CoV-2 is endemic, the more testing you do, the more +ve cases you'll get
But the mortality rate is so high. So many more people are dying, I hear you say.
Well, let's compare mortality rates in 2020 & 2019 (ONS: England & Wales)
Firstly, we see no real second wave.
Yes, there are excess deaths, but it's inevitable when you effectively close vital sections of the NHS & factor in the hugely severe impact of Lockdown measures
@SadiqKhan@Keir_Starmer This strategy is politically cynical beyond belief. I'll explain why (thread):
1. Fix the NHS: NHS hospitals are currently operating under capacity, some wards remain virtually empty, and all because the NHS has prioritised Covid over all other treatments.
@SadiqKhan@Keir_Starmer Meanwhile, several Nightingale hospitals have been torn down (having remained unused), and now we hear of some hospitals closing down vital medical service departments as part of their Covid-response strategy (UCLH & Royal Free closing children’s A&E).
@SadiqKhan@Keir_Starmer 2. Fix test, track & trace: Testing sits at approx. 250k per day, far higher than in other countries. There have been some issues that need fixing but a shutdown does nothing to aid that process.
RT: The latest ONS figures are now in, and prepare yourselves, the figures paint a concerning picture, one that begs a lot of serious questions over political policy
According to ONS statistics, the total mortality rate this year is somewhat higher than in 2018 when the UK faced a significant influenza (flu) outbreak. Compared to 2020, the UK has suffered in the area of 27k excess deaths
The impact on the total no. of deaths is best shown in the chart below where the incline in excess deaths is clearly visible from Wk15 (27 Mar-3 Apr) onwards. The peak seems to have hit at Wk17 (11–17 Apr) & plateauing downwards the following week (18–24 Apr) before declining