1) Let's talk about how to think about applying a successful Chinese tech trend to your tech ecosystem.

Let's deconstruct the elements of what made livestreaming take off in China, and what is easily replicable and what isn't
2) So I've discussed before that I view livestreaming as both an entertainment product as well as a distribution channel. So when people are asking whether livestreaming can take off, they are really asking two questions about monetisation.
3) - Will people tip livestreamers?
- Will people buy things from a livestream?

The answer to both these questions involves understanding the technological, institutional and cultural underpinnings of Chinese tech. Yeah, bummer we gotta know all that.
4) From a technological perspective, Chinese tech has leapfrogged to digital payments. This is due to the lack of good credit institutions in the past.

What was once a hindrance will become a boon and vice versa in technology progress.
5) The fact that everyone in China carries two digital wallets (Alipay and Tenpay) means that a lot of digital products have low friction and embedded checkout process. You can buy something with three clicks in Taobao while still watching the livestream.
6) So to answer the two questions partly. People now *can* pay for live stream products in an easy way. Whenever there's friction between awareness, desire and checkout there's drop off rates for buyers. The more you can reduce this the more the whole process works.
7) So as an entrepreneur, this is one of the big enablers I'd be looking for if I'm making a livestreaming product. Do I exist in an ecosystem where digital payment exists can be embedded into checkout? Or if it doesn't exist in an easy way, should I be making the shovels?
8) But will people tip for livestream in your region? There are cultural reasons for why the Chinese population are happy to tip, there's a strong sense of fandom support (similar to Japan and Korea in some sense. a la BTS army), educational content is worth paying for
9) There are also deeply universal aspects of tipping:
- Showing off in front of the other patrons (wonderful insight from @Aella_Girl on US cam girl techniques)
- The digitalisation of institutions where men pay for interaction with women
knowingless.com/2018/11/19/max…
10) Figure out where your local culture has these elements, would look for the presence of a population that already has this trained behaviour (aka users of Twitch or camgirls).
11) Would people buy from live-streaming?

Since experiential buying modes has existed since QVC, livestreaming is not a drastic leap. But the leap you're asking the user to make is a trust leap. Both from a fulfilment perspective and also from a product quality perspective
12) That trust leap can be bridged by a few factors. Trust from an existing service provided (hence why Taobao livestreaming does so well, people already know BABA does logistics well). Or trust in an existing figure aka the livestreamer
13) Having a set of competent livestreamer was key for livestreaming e-commerce to take off in the days. Interesting, while many Chinese celebrities tried their hand at selling on livestreaming, thinking this was a way to monetise their traffic. They all didn't hold longterm sway
14) The champions in Chinese livestreaming are Viya and Austin Lee, two successful salespeople with established track-record before they went online.

So if I were a building livestreaming business, I'd be using my area's top salesperson rather than the local insta influencer.
15) But that still takes training. Livestreaming is a new delivery medium and it's not just a change of presenter, but a change of the sell content. Scripts help but the presenter needs to be authentic and reactive to the audience's feedback all the while selling. That's hard
16) There are camps set up to literally train livestreamers by MCN and Viya was incubated by Taobao itself in their first batch. This feeder ecosystem is a crucial part of allows the livestreaming trend to take off

17) Lastly it needs to be said, if people weren't buying things online because of delivery and return issues, or trust with payment, having livestreaming isn't going to change all of that overnight. Also more on livestreaming
lillianli.substack.com/p/livestreamin…
18) Livestream e-commerce shortens the awareness to desire to purchase cycle, it doesn't magically make people believe in e-commerce. Everything needs to work as a foundational piece before livestreaming can elevate it.
19) So will livestreaming take off in your region of the world? Depends right? What enablers are you working with and what enablers need to be built out?

Copying without context rarely works now in late-stage consumer internet.
I'll be writing threads like this for the rest of Jan, follow if you want these to spam your TL

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More from @lillianmli

23 Jan
1) Let's talk about the stealthiest player in the short-video war and the implication on Bilibili, Kuaishou and Bytedance as well as the longer direction of travel for western social media in the future.

I'm talking about WeChat video
2) WeChat Video was launched silently last January and broke through 200m DAU by June 2020 and is estimated by third parties to be at 350m DAU currently.

By comparison Kuaishou took 5 years to reach 300m DAU in June 2020.
3) WeChat's video feature is a response to other short videos platforms (Douyin / TikTok being the biggest one) and though it had a late start, it has some distinct advantages.

An existing collection of brands and influencers who built their house on WeChat official accounts
Read 9 tweets
22 Jan
1) Let’s talk about the three things I found interesting and weird about the Chinese VC ecosystem

- Corporate Venture Capital regimes supreme
- Much shorter fund time horizons
- LPs are mostly government
1) Corporate VCs (CVC) are the corporate venture arm of established firms. In the west they often get a bad name since they’ve had a history of blocking sales of startup to their competitors or applying a corporate mindset to venture.
2) Google venture seems to be the exception to the rule, but often western founders typically want a CVC to follow in a round. When they are leading its a bad signal.

The opposite is true (at least by rule of thumb) in China. Startups think of CVCs as credible
Read 12 tweets
20 Jan
1) Let's talk about the product philosophy of the pioneer in short video app. Founded in 2011, they currently have 776m MAUs as of June 2020. On average, users would spend 85+ minutes over 10 sessions per day in app.

I'm talking of course, about Kuaishou (Kwai).
2) Kuaishou was founded in 2011 as a tool for creating animated GIFs (and initially called KuaishouGIF) by Yixiao Cheng. Cheng was a product manager at DianDian(Chinese Tumblr). Morningside Ventures led an angel round of 2m RMB to back Cheng after finding his GIFs on Weibo
3) In 2013, money was running out. Morningside Ventures introduced Su Hua to Kuaishou to be their new CEO.
The company pivoted to a short-form video social platform. Bolstered by the roll-out of 4G, it quickly picked up traction and had 10m DAU by 2015.
Read 14 tweets
19 Jan
1) Let's talk about the question of 'how should we think about Chinese tech'

What do we talk about when we talk about Chinese tech? Who is 'we' here? How do you pronounce Elema?

I've hit 10k in followers and it's time to earn my stripes as a thinkboi.
2) Chinese tech is a loaded term. The very fact that we have to say 'Chinese' tech rather than tech demotes its otherness.

So what does a place of origin signify? The different market conditions, political context and imo most importantly, the development stage of the country.
3) I think @benedictevans and @ToniCowanBrown's podcast on 'How to think about Chinese tech when you know fa about China' (my title, not theirs), lays some of the groundwork here.

China's different market conditions and political context often means a parallel tech world
Read 14 tweets
18 Jan
1) Let's talk about the crazy growth of Perfect Diary. It's now the 3rd biggest beauty empire in the world after LVMH and L'Oreal. It was only founded in 2016.

It's mastered the hearts and wallets of Gen Z Chinese girls though.....
2) Since starting in 2016, Guangzhou-based Yatsen Group, aka the parent company of Perfect Diary (完美日记) aka the biggest name in Chinese DTC cosmetics brand. It has been on a juggernaut rise with an implied 204% CAGR from 2018 to EoY 2020.
3) Yatsen is so-called since their three founders all graduated from Sun Yatsen university; their backgrounds are all in multinational and domestic FMCG companies. The founders came away with a data-driven methodology to market a product effectively.
Read 13 tweets
17 Jan
1) Let's talk about the playbook to make a billion-dollar-plus Chinese consumer tech company.

This is foolproof but not easy to execute on.

Thank me when you're rich.
2) Had this been pre-2010, I would ask you to find a highly popular US consumer business that doesn't exist yet in China right now.

Now you have to look for a 'fengkou' or a focal point of opportunity that at least three other start-ups are getting into.
3) Now that you've found your newest trend or opportunity.
(past examples include livestreaming e-commerce)

It's time to start getting a group of people - preferably with degrees in CS from Tsinghua / Peking and other Ivy leagues with a sprinkling of oversea experiences.
Read 23 tweets

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