Whilst there is no doubt that a lot of people have received a first jab, I remain concerned about how it will hold up from the period when a second dose is due (or overdue depending on perspective) by mid March.
Another bit of welcome news is that
🏥 ADMISSIONS are reducing in England very clearly. 3016 on Saturday 22/1/21 down from 4134 on 12/1/21.
The COVID “sceptics” will be astonished to discover that, yet again, this follows a decline in cases. Who would have thought it?
🏥 🛌 Of course with c 38k Covid in patients and over 4K in ventilation 🛌 (number still increasing slowly in England) there is still enormous, and it must feel like unrelenting, pressure on hospitals and emergency personnel.
🦠🦠 20,089 cases. (Lockdown working in most places)
⚰️⚰️⚰️. 1631 (28 day cut off deaths) - 1756 (60 day deaths - +ve test and Covid on death certificate.
⚰️💔⚰️🦠⚰️💔 Total CERTAIN Covid deaths 112,951. A marked undercount
Calculations tweet 2.
Based on 112,951 Covid deaths
😱💔⚰️ 1 in every 602 U.K. citizens have already died of COVID. (More like 1 in ever 590)
That is shocking and shameful and inexcusable. Carnage.
Grief and anger and fear.
But I see no shame or humility from those at the top.
The downward trend in cases the last three weeks is now being seen not only in in admissions but MAY now be moving into a tiny reduction in ventilation beds. Fingers crossed.
🦠Cases. I like to compare Mondays by swab date (due to processing lag).
On 6 Jan the National Guard Commander had had their normal powers removed from them by the Pentagon.
The latter says this was as a result of the June 2020 interventions. But the intelligence was already in on the 6 Jan insurrection
So why not restored?
That seems pretty deliberate to me, especially when you see the timescales involved...and the fact the National Guard were “just down the street” 2 miles away.
From Navy SEAL to Part of the Angry Mob Outside the Capitol - The New York Times
In the Navy, he was trained as an expert in sorting information from disinformation, a clandestine commando who spent years working in intelligence paired with the C.I.A. nytimes.com/2021/01/26/us/…
2/. He once mocked the idea of shadowy antidemocratic plots as “tinfoil hat” thinking.
How does he go from that to believing that the election was stolen...and in DONALD TRUMP, liar in chief?
Risk of severe COVID established early in infection
Cambridge Uni researchers found that early in the infection, the immune systems of people with severe COVID produced higher levels of inflammatory cytokines, such as TNF-alpha v people with mild disease theconversation.com/risk-of-severe…
“The people with severe disease also had fewer immune cells that are known to specifically target the virus, such as T cells and B cells.”
“In other words, early in infection, the people with severe disease had lower numbers of immune cells that could target the virus & higher levels of inflammation.”
Would an early blood test to identify those at risk be practical?
PROVISOS
- everyone involved in the chain of events knows about this
-AND there is effective working software to deliver notifications and collate and report incidents
-AND everyone delivers the reports and data
-testing report software links effectively to vaccine software
- What about surveillance of one dose interval? There are separate studies dealing with HealthcareWorker surveillance (SIREN) and care home residents & staff (Vivaldi), Community Infection Survey (ONS), routine data sources eg via GP software.
It really hits home when you can see Tony Brown struggling to breath and talk, only to hear he died a couple of days later, leaving his widow, Linda grieving. He thinks he caught Covid at work delivering bread. Poor social distancing and poor mask wearing.