1. Oh yes. Silencing Trump is absolutely important. But it doesn't change the basic driver that brought the GOP to Trump in the 1st place- the Frankenstein they built- the right wing media ecosystem- that is a monster they lost control of back in the late 2000s. If establishment
2. Rs like @LeaderMcConnell have any true interest in saving their party, their legacies (and you have to think, McConnell in particular is bc what he achieved w the Courts is remarkable, but ONLY if American democracy itself survives. If the constitutional order collapses, &
3. right now, if @OldBullTV put a betting market on "American democracy is still functioning, intact 6 yrs from now" I'd peg that at 50/50. And no, I'm not being hyperbolic. AND the 2022 cycle will determine whether those odds improve or get markedly worse. If the GOP takes
4. control of the House or Senate, maybe we stay 50/50. But they take both? I'm not sure we do (assuming Trump is acquitted by Senate Rs & allowed to get away w insurrection, literally the worst possible transgression a POTUS can commit against the country. I'm guessing that
5. at least @SteveSchmidtSES agrees w this assessment, depressing as it is. The reason being, of course, is that if they acquit him w no more than 4 or 5 impeachment votes, if there is no accountability for Hawley or Cruz, or the #SeditionCaucus who voted to end democracy on
6. Jan 6th, if the Rep Party has not been deradicalized by 2024 then it is highly that this country is on a collision course with disaster in terms of its next presidential election. The GOP's failure to refute The Big Lie- which is much more imp than even impeaching Trump is-
7. guarantees that the party's voters will only accept a 2024 outcome in which the Rep Party is victorious. THAT is the ongoing crisis that is @GOPLeader's & @GOPChairwoman's continued support of The Big Lie. Unless something changes in the next couple of weeks that forces the
8. whole of the Republican Party to issue an official statement, from the national RNC AND from all 50 of its state parties (& all county parties too) that officially denounces The Big Lie- we are getting set up by this party for a world of hurt in terms of our next election.
9. This is why I have been correcting people who have talked about our democratic crisis in the past tense, or as something that "was a close call that we were fortunate to come out of." We are NOT out of it. It is an ongoing crisis and will remain so, so long as a vast majority
10. Republican voters believe The Big Lie. And the vast majority of Rep voters will believe The Big Lie so long as the Republican Party's leadership & mainstream elected officials are the ones perpetrating it. Which brings us to the problem of the right-wing media Frankenstein.
11. BC the reason that other than @LeaderMcConnell most of the other Rep Party's elected officials are either actively promoting The Big Lie, or silently promoting it by refusing to speak out to correct it is bc of Fox News & Rush Limbaugh & right wing influencers, who long ago
12. demonstrated their power over the party's elected officials when Limbaugh single-handily targeted and removed via an ideological primary target @bobinglis for refusing to pretend science on climate change didn't exist. That was the 1st time GOP electeds realized the fun tool
13. they'd helped build to "own the libs," like the Venus Fly Trap in Little Shop of Horrors, had instead grown too large, too mean, and most importantly, too self-focused to avoid eating THEM. And that triggered a massive wave of ideological extremism within the party, w Rs
14. jockeying to see who could out-conservative, out anti-science, & eventually out-stupid, out-racist, and out-hate each other, in part to avoid losing their seats via being targeted by right wing fear capitalists. So, if you're like me & believe that democracy is near collapse
15. and see that the collapse is being driven by radicalism in the GOP and that said radicalism MUST be curtailed and that to curtail that radicalism we must make it more electorally costly to be extreme than it has been up to now (up to now, D electioneering has utterly failed
16. to impose ANY penalty for extremism on the GOP, something @StrikePac is keenly interested in changing) but also must figure out a way to alter the media environment so that right wing nuts don't have so much power. Is that via a fairness doctrine? Consumer boycotts to force
17. fox news to moderate (any such plan must also deal w internet & radio extremism). Its a hard nut to crack but here's what we do know- either we will come up with solutions to the extremism problem or the extremism problem will likely end our democracy. secure.actblue.com/donate/strikep…

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More from @RachelBitecofer

29 Jan
1. Here's a handy @pewresearch graphic w overall turnout by state in 2020, but also, each state's improvement in turnout over 2016. In places where Ds took control (CA, CO, VA, WA) they've been (small l) liberalizing voting access & you really see the + effect its having on Image
2. participation. For years political scientists have wondered if competition was more imp than institutional design or vice versa & its really looking like institutions MATTER which makes the systematic targeting of voting institutions to suppress turnout by the GOP in states
3. where they have the power to do so (and as my friend @marceelias will tell you & talk about when he's on the show) they're coming HARD after GA's system now. And this data tells me that if they're successful in chipping away at the institutions, it will matter. Fun fact, not
Read 5 tweets
28 Jan
1. Today's must read is from my friend @SykesCharlie at @BulwarkOnline arguing 1 of the MOST IMP points of Trump's/The GOP's attempt to overthrow Biden's legal & totally free & fair election.

Trying to get people to understand that unless we somehow push @LeaderMcConnell now,
2. we are facing the distinct possibility of a repeat of this scenario in 2024- a GOP denying or refusing to certify a legal election- but this time all the @GaSecofStates, @C_C_Krebs, @dougduceys, @RepLizCheney @BrianKempGAs have been purged or brought to heel. There are only 2
3. things we can do to decrease the danger. 1: avoid losing control of the House AND Senate (which I am putting my full time, attention, brain, life to against the Midterm Effect- the most powerful & enduring pattern in poli sci). 2. a full court press RIGHT NOW that supports &
Read 5 tweets
22 Jan
1. Y'all @blak0339 asked if I have 2022 predictions.

This is my true opinion. Its the ONLY reason I'd EVER subject myself to a fundraising position!!

W/O @StrikePac in the game- the GOP WILL take back BOTH.

That's why I'm asking for you to help!

strikepac.com
2. If you need evidence, go look at how narrow this special election in VA state legislative was-250 votes. Or the fact that w an incumbent prez literally murdering 100K Americans a MONTH, Ds LOST House seats. Do you really want to leave electioneering strategy up to the same
3. strategies run in 2020? Well, guess what? Unless YOU step up right here, and right now and add ME to the game, that's the strategy coming to 2022 folks. If you want D electioneering to change- you're going to have to help change it! I am literally terrified of fundraising. It
Read 10 tweets
21 Jan
1. As per @SteveKornacki's comments on prez honeymoons. Yes, Trump's was unusually low BUT he also alone made NO OVERTURES to anyone other than base Republicans, something no other incoming prez has EVER done coming in. So even w polarization, you are seeing that effect in his %.
2. It's an unusual strategy, one he used in both campaigns & throughout his presidency. He lost reelection- its a DUMB approach but I also think its imp to point out that at least within the Rep coalition, including Indies that lean R, it worked too well. He had to do almost
3. nothing "centrist" to hold onto the "centrist" support of the R coalition & that part of the GOP remains loyal to him to this day even after he led an insurrection against the Capitol & tried to seize permanent power- with considerable help from other elected Rs. This is the
Read 6 tweets
19 Jan
1. I focus mostly on the Right's Fear Capitalists, but I hope I can teach you the skills to recognize the tricks of the trade of fear capitalists on the Left too.

Free tip: their content focuses on grievances about Dems while the other party is busying actually ending democracy
2. their goal is the same as their Right side counter points, inflame your passions, radicalize you by making mountains out of molehills & turning everything into conspiracies & "elite" domination theory when the reason nothing gets done policy wise is the GOP is the party of NO
3. and must get crushed at the ballot box so that they deradicalize and reform their party. That takes all people who are not Rs voting together for Ds, winning as much power as possible, & then yielding it to get as much policy as possible. If you are watching content that makes
Read 4 tweets
16 Jan
1. OMG! Just finding out now, via @TiffanyDCross (love her show, THIS is why diversity MATTERS BTW) that there was a 538 analyst @farai whose work on demos & voting was intentionally surpressed by Nate Silver who patronized her when she confronted him for
2. & I'm sure she's never heard of me, or what happened to me or what I went through for the same reasons (my research argues that polarization/hyper partisanship -which is asymmetric (concentrated on the Right) is a product of the collapse of the white power paradigm & rise of
3. egalitarianism & argues that election outcomes are heavily conditioned on the demographic composition of the electorate (which campaigns should manipulate via their electioneering to win- IE: Georgia) & Silver has pretty aggressively shit on me & my research but back to her
Read 6 tweets

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