Kremlin spokesperson Peskov says, annexation of Donbas "is not on Russia's agenda", commenting the speech of Kremlin top propagandist Simonyan yesterday in Donbas (Simonyan urged for annexation). Let me explain, why this can be seen as a confirmation, not as a denial (Thread) Image
The joke "it is not true, as long as not denied by Kremlin" is actually not a joke. There are numerous examples of Kremlin "denials" that in the fact were confirmations. The most prominent one - several Putin's speeches as he said, Russia has not territorial claims vs Ukraine
Putin has confirmed many times, Russia and Ukraine have agreed on the border; Russia has no intentions to annex Crimea; or Russia has never sent any military personnel to Crimea or Donbas - the latter statements have been revoked by Putin himself later.
So if Peskov says "there are no plans for annexation" it only means that he wants to stress the topic, nothing more. So if a denial is not a denial, what can be a reliable denial? In other words - could Kremlin have done anything that can be identified as a plausible denial? Yes!
As in Russian political structure a person like Simonyan would never take such a step as a first visit to "DNR", AND a speech with urges towards Russia (!!!) without a permit from Kremlin, the only way to prove that her speech was not prepared and approved it Kremlin would be:
to dismiss her. If Simonyan would have been dismissed from her position, this would have meant, she has acted alone and against the Kremlin, she has brought Kremlin to troubles and got punished for this. Another soft way would be to start an investigation against RT (corruption).
As RT operates with huge sums of money, paying crazy salaries to expats and buying broadcasting slots abroad obviously for clearly-over-the-market price, an investigation on RT spendings would alway bring smth. Such an investigation would clear show, that Kremlin is not happy.
There were a lot of similar cases. Ministers like Ulyukaev were put in jail after a conflict with Rosneft Sechin, one-upon-a-time almighty Surkov had been stripped his position twice, etc. If Simonyan had acted on her own, such a reaction would be to expect.
As long as this does not happen, we should believe, that Simonyan's speech was calculated and approved. Either to prepare an escalation (to distract Russians from protests) or to increase pressure on Kyiv (forcing Zelensky to give L/DNR more rights and to "integrate" Donbas). END

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More from @sumlenny

26 Jan
Very disturbing news from Russia-occupied Ukrainian Donbas region. A draft "law" is under consideration in "DNR", that would extremely discriminate Ukrainian citizens who live in the region (about 1.5m people). Those who will remain in possession of Ukrainian citizenship... (1/x)
(2/x) Those who will stay in possession of Ukrainian citizenship and will not abandon it for a "DNR" one, would be banned from ownership rights of any property, and banned from entrepreneurship activities. Moreover, they can be arrested up to 30 days "for needs of identification"
(3/3) The "law" is a clear copy-paste from Russia-occupied Georgian region of Abkhazia. The "law" foresees a "transfer period" until 2025. This can be interpreted as a way to pressure President Zelensky and force him to a sort of agreement on a "union" and "recognition" of "DNR".
Read 4 tweets
17 Jan
Interesting, that Navalnys quote the famous cult final saying from the most chauvinist and imperialist Russian movie “Brat 2”, the movie Putin absolutely loves to quote as well, as this movie calls to kill U.S. Americans and Ukrainians and proclaims Russians a superior nation.
The moment from the film:
And here is another moment, one Putin loves to quote. The protagonist robes the "morally spoiled" American business person who is involved in sex trafficking and porno production with minors from Russia (hallo, QAnon!) :
Read 10 tweets
16 Jan
Starting from today, Ukrainian business are obliged to provide services in Ukrainian in a case when a customer requests to get a such one. Sounds very logical, huh? Still, there are a lot of myths and anti-Ukrainian propaganda around this law. Let me try to explain (THREAD)
2/x Indeed, most of Ukrainians understand at least two languages: Ukrainian and Russian. Many of Ukrainians speak the third language: Tatar, Bulgarian, Greek, Polish, Hungarian etc. But in almost ever case when the discussion turns to the topic of language, one mentions Russian
3/x The speed of Russian language has at least 300 years old history. It was a history of prohibition of Ukrainian language (with short interruptions) and forced russification of Ukraine. Therefore, when one says, "Ukraine has always been bilingual", it is just not true.
Read 16 tweets
26 Oct 20
(1/x) Good news about local elections in Ukraine:
1) Elections were free and democratic;
2) Democr. pro-European parties "Eur.Solidarity", "Holos" and "Syla Lyudei" are strong in many regions;
3) Syla Lyudei is a great example of a grassroot democratic party, free from oligarchs
(2/x) 4) Several important cities have secured strong pro-European pro-reform governance: first of all Lviv and Vinnytsya;
5) In Kyiv, Klychko will be re-elected. He is (as for me) a bad mayor (infrastructure, urbanist policy), but he is clearly not a pro-Russian guy or a radical
(3/x) 6) New "project parties" founded by oligarchs have suffered a total defeat. "Za Maibutne" by Kolomoisky has failed everywhere. This is a great sign;
7) The slogan "I am from the president's party, I have support of the president, therefore vote for me" does not work at all;
Read 5 tweets
13 Oct 20
THREAD 1/x It is a very dangerous situation in Ukraine. 12 days before local elections President Zelensky publishes his video statement and says he pursues "a real democracy", so he will "ask people 5 simple questions" amid local elections. The questions will be announced later.
2/x Zelensky calls this initiative "a poll", not "a referendum" - obviously because there is no law on referendum in Ukraine in edition which Zelensky would be happy to see. This draft law did not pass the parliament. "A poll" also can to be organized just a few days in advance.
3/x Announcing "a poll" also allows Zelensky to interpret answers in any way he needs. "A poll" does not underly the laws and does not need to be controlled by the Election Commission.
Read 10 tweets
12 Oct 20
THREAD 1/x Zelensky's party "Servant of the People" will "for sure unite" with the Medvedchuk's pro-Russian party OPZZh "after the local elections", says Zelensky's top politician, a parliament deputy Kachura, who is a deputy head of UA mission to PACE. He sees no problem in this
2/x Kachura says, a union with Putin's relative and an ex-KGB lawyer Medvedchuk is "inevitable", and is already under consideration of the party's leadership. For him, it would be ok. At the same time, he says he would leave Zelensky's party, if it would unite with Poroshenko (!)
3/x A de-facto coalition of Zelensky's party and Medvedchuk's one already exists in the national parliament. It was Medvedchuk's party which voted for the most important Zelensky's law proposals in order to guarantee expansion of Zelensky's power (like the general attorney case).
Read 7 tweets

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