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30 Jan, 21 tweets, 11 min read
I guess with the selection of Service Chiefs, our troublemakers have moved on from evicting each other over the farmer-herdsmen clash to another topic. I run a ranch @owonikokofarms & it has both a farm & livestock section. So have some interesting insights #NigeriaCattleProblem
1-/ First, let us agree that avoiding Beef or its byproducts is like avoiding air. It is everywhere from your food to household items. It is called CASH COW for a reason. Even the film for food wrapping use Fatty Acids. Hence you should care about #NigeriaCattleProblem
Smart countries build smart livestock value chain. It is a critical ingredient for building smart voter base as well. The milk, meat and byproducts are necessary products in connecting the brain neurons of a child (future voter) beef2live.com/story-fun-fact…
3-/ As usual, with the #NigeriaCattleProblem we’ve been problem finders not solution makers. The crisis of next week will be different from last week’s. After skirmishes, we will move on for future replay. Funny is that even smart people don’t understand the problem.
4-/ The focus often is on the Farmer-Herdsman clash and the avoidable deaths, blood and tears that underline that conflict. The farmer-herdsmen clash is just a symptom of #NigeriaCattleProblem
5-/ The problem is a lack of infrastructure for livestock industry like other “saner climes” we refer to. Why build infrastructure for livestock industry? Some may ask? The question is why not? Why neglect your food chain and economic well-being?
6-/ Nigeria consumes 25,000 heads of cattle everyday. Age is between 7-9 years. Taking low end, it means we need to have stock of close to 63 million animals feeding largely cheaply to replace our daily consumption. Ranched animal costs 250-500 naira a day. #NigeriaCattleProblem
7-/ Simply, if this “magic wand” called ranching were the only adopted solution, animals that cost between 120k to 180k today in open market will go for 800k to 1 million naira. So clearly, this “ranching” solution is not sustainable #NigeriaCattleProblem
8-/ Insisting it as the only solution to a massive broken value chain problem is like saying we should build more petrol stations to solve fuel scarcity problem. Of course you need more supply (breeding in Grazing Reserves) and you need more oil processed (ranching) & Logistics.
9-/ Every Nigerian will benefit from cheap grazing, and resultant robust livestock industry if well managed. A ranched animal for 5-7 years will cost at least 800k to 1 million naira each. The smart system is to graze cheaply then send to ranch to finish #NigeriaCattleProblem
10-/ Grazing Reserves are infrastructure globally. You need vast lands and water regulated by government to accommodate 63 million heads of cattle. Do the hard stuff, build the grazing reserve infrastructure for livestock industry. The way you build roads for transport industry.
11-/You need vast grazing reserves to store and grow the 63 million replacement heads of cattle each time you consume 25,000 heads of cattle a day. You need ranches with slaughterhouse to also finish them. So you need both not one of them #NigeriaCattleProblem
12-/ The demagogues will make noise about it being a private business & clash destroying property. But so is the transport business. We don’t ask transporters to build their own roads & they will destroy your property too if roads were not built for them #NigeriaCattleProblem
13-/ The Bureau of Land Management in the Department of Interior manage almost 1 million square km of this infrastructure for the US. That is why the average American pays 60% less for better meat than the Nigerian and consume 30 times more as a result. #NigeriaCattleProblem
14-/ Grazing Service is a major unit of the BLM. This is a capitalist country o. The land they manage is bigger than the size of Nigeria. This is why livestock is more important to the US than oil despite being the biggest oil producer in the world. #NigeriaCattleProblem
15-/ Nigeria has an equivalent agency (cies) under the @FMWRNigeria called the River Basin Authorities. They have about 4.3 million acres of land with Federal C of O under management. Water bodies in addition and across the country. But @NGRPresident been blackmailed to silence.
16-/ The biggest noisemakers in 2019 during the Ruga palaver were from states not even involved. But they blackmailed the rest of the country to submission. These were the NLTP pilot states in any case under a State Led Program led by the @ProfOsinbajo NEC #NigeriaCattleProblem
17-/ The worst thing to happen to Nigeria’s cattle industry is that @OfficialPDPNig Governor Ortom that decided to use the spilled blood of Farmer-Herder clash to win re-election despite looting his state. He is the only one of the 7 pilot states that decided to play politics 🧞‍♂️
18-/@InsideKaduna_ the only state with a Governor- @elrufai -in Nigeria in my opinion, is moving forward with their own plan. Trust Mallam, he doesn’t care for noisemakers. When Kaduna figures it out with $$ subsidized by @cenbank may be some of our daft Governors will get brain
19-/ And if my long winded thread is too difficult to comprehend, here is screen grab summary. You can share with your tribalism parents and grandparents that eat meat and abuse Fulani for a living. I come in Peace. Lets tackle #NigeriaCattleProblem
20-/ And for those that have longer attention spans, here is an article I wrote during Ruga Palaver predicting we will do foolish things with foolish Governors and end up back here again. The more things change...lets fix #NigeriaCattleProblem link.medium.com/Nw2wZBA2sdb

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More from @busanga

8 Oct 20
One of the most poorly understood concept in budgeting is this broad division into capital and recurrent budgets. While it is true that this separation is nearly always never black and white, it will also be wrong to assume more capital budget means a better budget than recurrent
Capital budgets for a growing and developing country is inevitable. You must build infrastructure, spend on military and critical social investments (hospitals and schools). However, when you build - you must maintain & staff. That is recurring. #budget2021
So for every high capital budget year, there will inevitably be subsequent year spendings to maintain, to staff and control and to sweat the asset to realize the value for which it was invested.Hence, capital budgets rise in investment cycles but recurrent spending always goes up
Read 14 tweets
4 Oct 20
Been musing variously at the concept of “winning” politically, of late. Some time, momentary political wins are overrated. No doubt, winning is sweet. And a loss can be gut wrenching, but history is replete with instances where it was far better to lose! Follow Me.
Lets go on the history lane. One instance that comes to mind for a young nation like ours, was 1959-1960. The election of 1959 was seemingly watershed moment for the country. The winning party would seemingly shape the future of the country. NCNC, AG & NPC were on the ballot ImageImage
It was hard fought. The country was seemingly Tri-furcated along Tribal Lines. But there was also an underlining philosophical difference between the three major parties. NPC was deeply Pro-Federalist & Anti-Unitarian; May sound weird but pick up Ahmedu Bello’s book to read it. Image
Read 20 tweets
24 Sep 20
I heard the latest thing pissing off the children of anger on Twitter is the award of Kano-Kazaure-Daura-Maradi/Dutse Railway.Did they tell them only Fulani people will be allowed on the rail carriages? It is an infrastructure for Nigeria & Nigerians. Sell easily to Niger. Simple
The Kano-Daura/Kazaure-Maradi corridor, is an ancient trading route. I thoroughly enjoyed my visit there last year - read about it here. link.medium.com/QQgg8PWw29

Why can’t people be happy for development?
Will they be unhappy when they learn my people in Ado Ekiti too will enjoy the “Amaechi Rail” courtesy of a spur to Oshogbo to join up the Ibadan-Ilorin-Kano rail too? Yes o! Na God do am. Keep crying while we rejoice!

google.com/amp/s/thenatio…
Read 9 tweets
9 Sep 20
This article breaks down the obvious, Nigeria’s increasing poverty is due to lack of savings by its shrinking middle class occasioned by a lack of investment in public goods - Education and Health, that will otherwise save them this cost. A must read.

businessday.ng/uncategorized/…
The obvious sector to start with has to be healthcare. There has to be a way to get quality healthcare to 30 million Nigerians in the middle class via a functional health insurance system that targets where they work and builds hospital system around where they get care.
The quantum of good JOBS a network of 100 urban medical centers cum teaching hospitals built on PPP basis to quickly train health professionals while offering quality care across the country can create plus the lives that can be saved plus the revenue to be generated is mad.
Read 7 tweets
7 Sep 20
The most angry Nigerians are the elites. Let truth be told. The President is doing the hard work. The entire architecture of corruption subsidies that have benefitted the rich at the expense of social services that would otherwise have accrued to the masses are being taken down.
They once used to leverage the existence of these subsidies to blackmail the president during his re-election, that he was not reformist and unserious about “change” or reforms. @MBuhari wisely ignored them. Built a foundation of trust then moved in the second term to dismantle
The next serious step now is to focus on public service reforms. The elite now saying “reducing the cost of government” when the Orosanye report is implemented will also be the one crying the most by the way when their “evil “service wing is being h deactivated- just watch.
Read 9 tweets
31 Aug 20
The first political party organized in Nigeria, in 1908 was built to stop Water Taxes, and piped borne water. Yes, Nigerians have naturally been anti-taxes. The elites use populism here to deny us common franchise by idiocy. 🤣 en.wikipedia.org/wiki/People's_…
“An early goal was to stop a project to bring piped water into the city. All residents would pay taxes to cover the costs, but the wealthy Europeans and Africans with piped houses would be the main beneficiaries.” - Yeah 🤣
“Under governor Walter Egerton a proposal for a system of piped water in Lagos was submitted to the Legislative Council in 1907, with the cost to be covered by direct taxation of the city's residents.”
Read 7 tweets

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