Thread by @DonaldWelsh16

Alex Berensen's reasoning is clear. C19 will end simply because the lie is consuming the ability of gov't and society to function. Two questions remain, why and how. I don't have clear answers to either, but I can speculate. 1/

https://twitter.com/AlexBerenson/status/1356054954767769601

As to why, I defer to my favorite journalist (Peter Hitchens) who reminds us to never underestimate gov'ts ability to do stunning stupid things. From the start, he linked the logic of the west's C19 response to that of the decaying eastern block nations he used to cover. 2/

C19 is most certainly real but what seems clear is that gov't got the scale of the threat wrong. This isn't trivial, when modeling is out by 25X, it massively impacts gov't actions and scares politicians into acting rashly. 3/

And that is what happened. Like it or not, Canada and other western nations are destined to have a very difficult discussion as to how people in LTCs and the subsequent months truly died. It won't be pleasant and gov't data fundamentally points to something very troubling. 4/

Add to that unprecedented gov't expenditures, shut down of business/livelihood, loss of civil liberties, the destruction of education, and crumbling mental health. It's a toxic brew that no politician wants to own, thus they obfuscate and perpetuate the problem. 5/

How does this end? Our leaders could admit their monumental mistakes akin to what Gov DeSantis did in Florida. His state is moving back to normal life and he also leads the nation with his public health program. It isn't rocket science. 6/

Unfortunately, I also believe the best predictor of future actions can be garnered from past actions. Thus, I suspect gov't might double down on its intellectually bankrupt zero covid policy. This isn't an academic concept, it's a marketing gimmick. 7/

They will pretend that lockdowns work and they will attempt to take credit for seasonality. They are indeed lying and it hurts to say that. But its like so much of the silly NPI nonsense. The academic literature is clear in that regard. 8/

Vaccines are likely to pitched as the miracle cure-all. I find this academically dishonest. They are mitigation tools but sufficient time is needed to properly develop and deploy them. 9/

The best thing you can do is to stay reasoned and balanced. Ignore the propaganda and press forward demanding answers. Live your life as you see fit. This edifice will collaspe under its own staggering weight. 10/

Let me end by saying, your voice is important as are your actions. Let them be heard and seen. That is what will bring this ineptitude to an end. End.