"The defeat of the Polish army in a simulated war. The exercise proved defeat in five days"

Caveat: I can't vouch for the source or accuracy of this report or translation

Google Translate 1/ translate.google.com/translate?hl=&…
The military exercises "Winter-20" ended in disaster and a complete disaster. The simulation showed that after five days the war was lost and the Polish army ceased to exist, Interia informs. 2/
The simulations took into account new weapons systems ordered by Poland - although not yet delivered

The fierce defense of the east of Poland resulted in the destruction of the units there and huge losses 3/
According to Interia's informants, the opponent reached the Vistula line on the fifth day of the virtual conflict. "SE" adds that on the fourth day, Warsaw was in a lap 4/
The Chancellery of the President and the Ministry of National Defense did not want to comment on these reports, referring to the confidentiality of the exercises 5/
.. several thousand officers took part in the staff exercises. The simulations took into account the new weapons systems ordered by Poland - though not yet delivered: Patriot anti-aircraft systems, HIMARS missile artillery and the F-35 multi-purpose aircraft. .. 6/
It turns out that little did, among others, "strengthening the eastern flank". The defense of eastern Poland resulted in the destruction of the units located there and huge losses, Interia points out. 7/
According to the portal's informants, on the fifth day of the virtual conflict, the enemy found himself on the Vistula line, there were fights for Warsaw, strategic ports were blocked or occupied. Aviation and Navy ceased to exist despite NATO support. 8/
To the east of the Vistula, Polish units were to suffer a devastating defeat. First-line battalions lost 60 to 80 percent. states. The lost exercises were to cause general consternation. 9/
Initial plans were to defend for 22 days. Meanwhile, the simulation showed that the enemy troops encircled Warsaw already on the fourth day of the exercises. - Everything went wrong. 10/
The commanders of individual divisions were shocked, they refused to carry out some orders because they were simply incomprehensible to them - said the "SE" informant. 11/
The staff exercise took place at the Academy of War Art. Both President Andrzej Duda and the head of the Ministry of National Defense, Mariusz Błaszczak, got to know its results, "Super Express" reported. 12/
Duda and Błaszczak discussed the exer on Thurs during a joint press conference.

"The command of all levels managed to do it and it is a great recommendation for the future. All those who participated in it and who prepared it deserved a very high evaluation" said the president.
According to the head of the Ministry of National Defense, "you need to practice to achieve perfection". - It was an extremely important exercise, which in terms of scale was unmatched in the Third Polish Republic - he emphasized. 14/
The Chancellery of the President and the Ministry of National Defense do not comment on the matter 15/
Original in Polish wiadomosci.onet.pl/kraj/porazka-p… End/

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Andy Scollick

Andy Scollick Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @Andy_Scollick

3 Feb
Regarding the controversial "Zima-20" ("Winter-20") Polish command staff war-gaming exercises that allegedly resulted in a simulated defeat of Polish Armed Forces in 5 days: Lot of folks focussing on mass (opposing force, OPFOR) but overlooking kinetics (reaction rates). 1/ Image
Russia has intrinsic element of surprise. Assuming that a) NATO intel (remote sensing, SIGINT etc) has picked up on a degree of preparations; b) some degree of Russian field exerices are planned as cover; and c) Poland-NATO/US alert level is raised a notch. 2/
Nevertheless, a sudden switch to offensive mode will be a shock. Institutional inertia both in Poland and across NATO gives Russia a vital 96-hour (4 days) window to cross the border and seize/hold strategic locations & overwhelm defensive units before they can be reinforced. 3/
Read 11 tweets
2 Feb
Some further information regarding the "Zima-20" ("Winter-20") command staff exercises, which allegedly resulted in a defeat for Polish forces during a simulated (war-gamed) Russian attack 1/ Image
The official website of the President of Poland (27 Jan) states that 'Several thousand officers participated in the exercise "ZIMA-20", whose scenarios and details are secret, as well as political factors.' translate.google.com/translate?sl=p…

Original in Polish: prezydent.pl/aktualnosci/wy… 2/
Andrzej Duda said: "Today we talked about it in detail: how the exercise went, what are the initial recommendations from it. .. 3/

Translation: …izla--www-prezydent-pl.translate.goog/aktualnosci/wy…

Original: prezydent.pl/aktualnosci/wy…
Read 16 tweets
1 Feb
"The programme for government in June 2020 made it clear that any commission would not critically examine Ireland’s ambiguous policy of non-membership of military alliances or neutrality so that is firmly off the table for discussion by the group." #CoDF rte.ie/brainstorm/202…
"By international standards, the levels of equipment and modernisation of the Irish Defence Forces are below international norms. The Irish air corps have no radar system to monitor Irish airspace and no fast aircraft to police it (for example, both Finland and Uruguay do).."
"The Irish navy have no guided missiles, torpedoes or ... sophisticated ship protection systems, but instead are austerely equipped as a coastguard. The Irish army have no tanks, a small number of lightly armed and protected vehicles, and an ageing collection of artillery pieces"
Read 7 tweets
28 Nov 20
As much as I respect James Lovelock and value his Gaia theory, I can't help but take issue with his four-step plan to save humanity:

1. Retreat to megacities
2. Use nuclear energy
3. Artificially control the Earth's temperature
4. Let Artificial Intelligence (AI) take over

1/
What about the law of unintended consequences, black swan events and deep unertainty?

1. Controlled (forced?) migration ("retreat") from rural areas to megacities is likely to create numerous conflicts. In many senses it already is.

2/
2. Nuclear energy use may be relatively "safe" but what about nuclear waste and nuclear proliferation risks?

3. Geoengineering solutions, such as pumping sulphur dioxide into the stratosphere, are by definition large-scale, with no emergency 'exit' option or 'reverse gear'.

3/
Read 5 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!