"None of us were able to predict" #COVID19 would mutate or variants would emerge, says Dido Harding, head of 🇬🇧 National Institute for Health Protection

➡️ Except every epidemiologist and immunologist expert!! 🤦🏻‍♂️
3) Yes, and also every evolutionary biologist, virologist, geneticist, infectious disease physician, pathologist.... hell, I’ll even throw in X-men movie fans.
4) seriously, every X-men movie fan would know shit mutates.
5) oh and we did know it was going to be bad from the beginning.
6) nobody could have predicted. Nobody tried to warn. Okay, sure, Baroness Dido. nymag.com/intelligencer/…

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More from @DrEricDing

5 Feb
What’s worse than simple mutation? RECOMBINATION! Recombination is the large scale “copy and pasting” mixing of whole sections of genome 🧬 swapping from one virus to another.

And the bad news is—many experts think it’s likely happening with #SARSCoV2.🧵
nytimes.com/2021/02/05/hea…
2) But it is not just these small genetic changes that are raising concerns. The novel coronavirus has a propensity to mix large chunks of its genome when it makes copies of itself.
3) “Unlike small mutations, which are like typos in the sequence, a phenomenon called recombination resembles a major copy-and-paste error in which the second half of a sentence is completely overwritten with a slightly different version.
Read 9 tweets
5 Feb
Israel 🇮🇱 is seeing a sharp rise in the number of children and teens getting #COVID19.

>50,000 children & teens have been diagnosed with coronavirus since the start of the month, many more than Israel saw in any month during the first or second waves. 🧵
jpost.com/health-science…
2) “We got a letter from the Israeli Association of Pediatrics that says they are very worried about the rate of disease in younger students,” Health Minister Yuli Edelstein told The Jerusalem Post. “This is something we did not witness in previous waves of corona.”
2) Although the exact strain in these Israel 🇮🇱 pediatric cases are unclear, there is another similar pediatric outbreak in a village in Italy 🇮🇹. 10% of the town is infected and mostly children.
Read 6 tweets
5 Feb
Holy cow: 10% of the village of Corzano 🇮🇹 has the #B117 variant—10% of all residents! 60% of cases are kids from kindergarten and primary school, other 40% are their parents, says the mayor. Schools in the village now closed. ansa.it/amp/lombardia/… Image
2) Israel is seeing a sharp rise in the number of children and teens getting infected with coronavirus, according to 🇮🇱 Health Ministry.

“This is something we did not witness in previous waves of coronavirus,” Health Minister Yuli Edelstein said.#COVID19
m.jpost.com/health-science…
3) forgot to mention, the mayor of the village in Italy 🇮🇹 is also #COVID19 positive. Image
Read 7 tweets
5 Feb
⚠️TWO DIFFERENT #COVID19 PANDEMICS—Many think with cases dropping that pandemic is nearly over. But truth is, there are now 2 different #SARSCoV2 pandemics diverging—old strain is waning, while the more contagious #B117 strain is dominating. We will be soon slammed very hard. 🧵 Image
2) Here is what is really going to happen... most countries are having a gentle case decline with R(e) currently around 0.9. But this is deceiving. The #B117 is still relatively rare so far, so the R is being influenced mostly by the old common variant. But not for long... Image
3) Here is what is going to happen... currently R is ~0.9 in many places, but with the more infectious #B117, the R will jump 50% approximately. And it is inevitable (all CDC and Danish models say this) that B117 will take over as the reigning dominant variant soon... Image
Read 32 tweets
5 Feb
An outbreak in Ireland 🇮🇪—what’s the source? 61 #COVID19 cases from a student social gathering, 16 from a hotel wedding.

Why haven’t we learned college parties & indoor weddings are a bad idea yet?

Some say I’m overdramatic in tweets, but this is why I shout from the rooftops.
2) If anyone knows me personally, I’m actually not a loud or dramatic person. I’m quite low key in person. And I never cared to really use Twitter in the decade that I’ve had an account. I’ve only begun using during the pandemic because of the lack of urgency for public health.
3) when I shouted aloud in Jan 2020, i only had 2000 or so followers collected over 10 years. It didn’t define my life or career. But I see the power in which we can mobilize action if we join together to warn others. And that is my only goal. nymag.com/intelligencer/…
Read 10 tweets
4 Feb
Florida. Notice all the elderly ladies at the grocery store checkout aisle with zero masks.

Welcome to @RonDeSantisFL’s Florida, plus no travel restriction to anywhere else in America. #COVID19
2) Meanwhile here is South Dakota’s governor— equally crazy Trump loyalist.
3) Naples Florida to be precise.
Read 5 tweets

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