A while back I tweeted that the only model that would explain observed pandemic curves was the virus going airborne under certain weather conditions.
I also tweeted that I believed the majority of transmission was likely via air. (1/x)
I also tweeted that I believed the majority of transmission was likely via air. (1/x)
https://twitter.com/covidtweets/status/1339608741818343426
Now a study examining fluid dynamics of virus-carrying droplets finds exactly that. There are specific favorable temp/humidity conditions.
Furthermore, it applies the weather variables and predicts second waves with much better accuracy than most other models. (2/x)
Furthermore, it applies the weather variables and predicts second waves with much better accuracy than most other models. (2/x)
"The results suggest that two pandemic outbreaks per year are more likely a natural phenomenon that is directly related to the weather seasonality during a pandemic evolution. The above puts in question large scale, strict lockdowns..." (3/x)
Another gem: "The highest transmission, related to the CoV airborne concentration rate, is found to be about 0.5 per day. ... the probability is P = 1 (100%) for a susceptible individual to be infected in two days due to the weather conditions in different regions."
What did they find?
https://twitter.com/covidtweets/status/1357912854989590529?s=19
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