Kerala - Of delayed peak and long plateau: After reporting the 1st Covid19 case in Jan 2020, KL hit it's peak only in Oct 2020. Even till Sept., cases per million of KL remained lower than that of states like TN, KA, AP.
The story after the peak though has been different.
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The story after the peak though has been different.
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TN + AP peaked in Aug '20, while KA hit it's peak in Sep '20. KL had a monthly TPR of only 5.8% in September (overall TPR 4.5%), again indicating an increasing but controlled spread.
Did this relatively controlled spread for most of 2020, lead to increased cases post Sept.?
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Did this relatively controlled spread for most of 2020, lead to increased cases post Sept.?
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After hitting the peak, states like TN, KA and AP saw a significant decline in cases within 2 months. Unlike them, monthly cases per million and TPR have mostly plateaued in KL, without seeing a significant dip.
A combination of increased mobility, high population density,
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A combination of increased mobility, high population density,
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....a higher uninfected % of population due to initial controlled spread and testing growth rate lagging case growth rate, could have contributed to the peculiar case trend in KL.
Over the last 4 days, we have seen a drop in daily TPR in KL and hope that the trend continues.
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Over the last 4 days, we have seen a drop in daily TPR in KL and hope that the trend continues.
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