What the Hell was that? Actually, there is rhyme & reason for what happened today with Trump defense team. As bizarre as it may sound, that was their BEST effort and THIS guy IS their better attorney:
We SAW this. The first dude was bizarrely jovial, in no hurry, utterly contradictory, droned on & on, accomplishing nothing
Then second guy runs at his mouth, rushing through wild array of arguments, ending with bizarre, possibly emotional? poetry. Crying
The Analysis Thread/3
Pundits tell us that the first guy was a TOTAL train wreck, at times agreeing with the prosecution
The second guy wasn't that hideous, poorly prepared but had some valid arguments but spoke too fast and was confusing
Why would I say first guy is stronger?
The Analysis Thread/4
During his speech, first dude said they THREW AWAY their prepared arguments. Because 'they were surprised' (that is not a good sign). AFTER the spectacle, we learned that their SPEAKING ORDER had been REVERSED. This is thus the key
The Analysis Thread/5
What ACTUALLY happened? The 2 guys had prepared a defense for Trump including videos and various evidence (Tweets, expert quotes, news clippings etc). They had rehearsed THAT intended defense and Trump had SEEN it, and approved it. Finalized Monday night
The Analysis Thread/6
Some part of the Democrats opening ELIMINATED the WHOLE intended defense STRATEGY - and worse - this was a SURPRISE. We all saw the Democrats presentation. There was no 'bombshell' surprise in it. Some details we didn't maybe know. Nothing 'huge'
The Analysis Thread/7
Whatever it was, the new Trump attorneys had been in such a hurry preparing their defense, they had managed to IGNORE something that turned into a CATASTROPHIC fault in their defense. So bad, they both SAW they have to ABANDON the plan
The Analysis Thread/8
They improvised. The STRONGER lawyer went and sacrificed himself, threw himself into the fire without a plan, and bullshitted for two hours, to buy time for his colleague to rapidly rewrite the remnants of their strategy and evidence into a rump-defense
The Analysis Thread/9
It was why first dude was jovial, without a care in the world, bullshitting all over the place. And second dude told a series of disjointed stories, speaking very fast, full of anger, yelling (energy, adrenaline) drinking water so much, & crying in the end
The Analysis Thread/10
The FIRST guy IS their LEADER. He KNEW the case BETTER. He IS a better lawyer & speaker. He sacrificed himself doing TOTAL IMPROV defense for 2 hours. To buy time, so his colleague could put something together
The Analysis Thread/11
The second guy did a cut-and-paste job, out of their BOTH intended speeches, and stiched all that together into what turned into the second speech. And of course he sounded then better. But he tried to do 3 hours in one, which is why he spoke so fast
The Analysis Thread/12
So what?
A defense team CANNOT be this ill-repared in a case where no secret evidence suddenly emerged. They were ill-prepared because they were rushed. Something fell through the cracks. I think I know...
The Analysis Thread/13
Because the defense was such a ridiculous spectacle, I did not listen carefully to all of it. They were drowning, so I was here writing jokes. BUT of what I did hear, something was missing TOTALLY. The evidence quoting their constitutional scholar
The Analysis Thread/14
I do not KNOW what was the fatally-flawed defense strategy that had to be abandoned. We may never know. BUT I am GUESSING it was that 'expert' they quoted as their constitutional scholar. The DEMs destroyed his quotation/s as wrongly cited.
The Analysis Thread/15
It may well be, that the 2 attorneys had used material they BELIEVED was accurate, from the ONLY constitutional scholar they could find, and built BROADLY on his quotations. Maybe someone at Trump team had - in maga style - omitted the bad parts.
The Analysis Thread/16
Clearly whatEVER their intended strategy had been, the DEMs demolished it. And these 2 attorneys had to abandon the intended plan. What we saw today was a farce, but it is not a true test of the quality of these attorneys. They are both FAR better
The Analysis Thread/17
But regardless, this was their BEST argument (constitutionality). It will get only worse for the Trump attorneys from here, into the ACTIONS of Jan 6 and before. It was a great day for us. The DEMs team is SUPREMELY well prepared. Raskin is a Jedi Knight
The Analysis Thread/18
Trump is furious. His attorneys DISOBEYED him. Trump will not pay. The first dude actually sided with the DEMs and said Trump is a criminal. Every TV pundit says the first guy was a disaster. Trump WANTS to fire him & he may do so. It would make it worse
PS to Day 1 analysis
HOW could this happen? There IS a Trump pattern that fits.
Imagine Trump previous team had PARTIAL work done, included that one constitutional scholar and his FULL works. When Trump fired them & hired these 2, he also DELETED the inconvenient parts :-)
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This is not about genocide. This is not about starting the deadliest war, and widest-ranging the planet has seen, World War 2. Hitler did that WHEN he was Dictator.
Trump TRIED to become Dictator. The correct analogy is to the EARLY rise of Hitler
Hitler-Trump analogy thread/2
It is not accurate to compare DICTATOR Hitler to President Trump. It IS accurate to compare POLITICIAN Hitler to POLITICIAN Trump. Their early stage.
Because Hitler ROSE TO POWER when Germany was yes, a DEMOCRACY when that happened.
Hitler-Trump analogy thread/3
Those who have studied Hitler's RISE TO POWER in Democratic Germany of 1920s, & how Hitler destroyed that Democracy & became a Dictator in 1930s (then launched World War 2, the genocide etc, AFTER he became Dictator) - see CLEAR parallels in Trump
And by favorite I mean America's most hated man, Sen Ted Cruz (Q Canada)
We DO know how Cruz will vote. He will be the only iron-clad vote to acquit, who cannot be moved. Even if the vote ends up 99 to 1, Cruz will be the one for Trump
This isn't because Cruz likes Trump haha
Ted Cruz HATES Trump. And it isn't about facts or the law. No it is pure political need. Ted Cruz needs ALL Trump voters, the maganutters for his 2024 run
Oh, and Cruz NEEDS for the OTHER Republicans to convict Trump. Cruz knows he would LOSE the nomination in 2024 to Trump
Yes. Ted Cruz hates Trump. Cruz knows Trump is 100% guilty. Ted Cruz NEEDS for Trump to be convicted and forbidden to run in 2024 - and then Trump will pretend he was Trump's BFF and Cruz expects to inherit the maganutter wing of Trump support for 2024 Presidential nomination.
So this thread is about our favorite swamp creature, Mitch McTurtle. And no. I have not suddenly fallen in love with the utterly adorable asshole
I need to explain the Trump Impeachment McTurtle angle. MOST of you will be surprised. He's on OUR side?
The McTurtle Thread/2
VERY many of you have become convinced (fairly) that the GOP will acquit Trump again, because essentially all pundits tell you so. I am not DISPUTING their analysis
I tell you the FACTS
I need to tell you what the Teenage Mutant Mitch McTurtle is DOING
McTurtle Thread/3
MOST have not noticed, that Mitch McTurtle is secretly WHIPPING Republican SENATOR VOTES to flip, and vote to CONVICT Trump
Yes. That is what he is doing. I have not gone soft in my head listening to Trump attorneys explaining record players
Because we started this cycle with 56% of America wanting Trump convicted and disbarred, that was why we had so many Republicans announce BEFORE the trial, which way they felt like voting - 5 GOP Senators siding to convict
NOW that polling HAS TO MOVE higher, to pick up Senators
The polling has to get well above 60% for this conviction to become possible and around 65% we should get 17 Republicans = 67 Senators and a Conviction.
Do not FOR ONE MOMENT be 'persuaded' by BULLSHIT poker bluffs that the GOP Senators are saying - or the pundits on TV
However brilliant the argumentation, the GOP Senators WILL NOT grow a spine. It will not happen. However ridiculous the argumentation - IF THE POLLING MOVES UP, we GET MORE GOP SENATORS
It is the PUBLIC pressure that gets us the votes. And we WILL Get more than 56. I promise you
BTW the Jedi Move by Rep Raskin? To announce that he's declining his chance to offer a rebuttal, returning all 36 minutes of time he had, to the Chair
Did you get the ENORMITY of that move. True masterstroke
First. EVERYBODY loved him, including the other side, and ALL Senators
Secondly the DEMs impeachment managers KNEW they had won the day, in fact crushed the opposition (to tears, literally). In that last 36 minutes it would be impossible to achieve MORE than what they did. They MIGHT have gloated or fumbled, diminishing the day
BUT the MASTERSTROKE was the effect on the opposition. The Trump team could not RESPOND, because they had NO TIME to prepare anything.
It left the Trump Defense attorneys not just shell-shocked, they couldn't even prepare answers for the press waiting outside...
This is a NIGHTMARE for ALL Republicans. Not just Trump & his closest. Not only magaworld. Not only Senators. ALL Republicans including House, including LOCAL Governors, etc. They NEED it to end fast. It is a lose-lose-lose situation for GOP
We do not 'need' for Trump to be convicted for this to be a HUGE victory for Team Blue. We NEED it to run long, bring witnesses, put pressure on GOP and FORCE THEM TO TAKE A SIDE. Either side (choosing Trump or choosing sanity) is DAMAGING to them politically into 2022 and beyond
Of COURSE we hope that Trump is convicted. What is ALREADY a 'win' for us, is that this time we get a MAJORITY conviction vote (more than 50% of Senators, last time we only got 48% when Romney was only brave Republican). We almost certainly get at least 55% yes votes this time