The McTurtle Thread/1

So this thread is about our favorite swamp creature, Mitch McTurtle. And no. I have not suddenly fallen in love with the utterly adorable asshole

I need to explain the Trump Impeachment McTurtle angle. MOST of you will be surprised. He's on OUR side?
The McTurtle Thread/2

VERY many of you have become convinced (fairly) that the GOP will acquit Trump again, because essentially all pundits tell you so. I am not DISPUTING their analysis

I tell you the FACTS

I need to tell you what the Teenage Mutant Mitch McTurtle is DOING
McTurtle Thread/3

MOST have not noticed, that Mitch McTurtle is secretly WHIPPING Republican SENATOR VOTES to flip, and vote to CONVICT Trump

Yes. That is what he is doing. I have not gone soft in my head listening to Trump attorneys explaining record players
McTurtle Thread/4

Mitch hates Trump. He KNOWS that Trump destroyed GOP and lost the House in 2018, the White House in 2020 and the Senate in January 2021 (Georgia).

Mitch LOST HIS POWER. He correctly blames Trump for Georgia's double-loss in a RED state
McTurtle Thread/5

Mitch wants his power back. He NEEDS the GOP Senators to win in 2022 to retake his gavel. Trump will DESTROY that chance. Mitch NEEDS Trump to be removed from politics, permanently

Mitch's PERSONAL political power DEPENDS on eliminating Trump (politically)
McTurtle Thread/6

You say BUT BUT BUT

No.
No butts.

Mitch McTurtle always hated Trump but he played the CORRECT gambit while HE HAD THE guy in the White House. Don't give Trump idiotic laws he wants (his wall). Make Trump approve Mitch's judges

The McTurtle PLAYED Trump
McTurtle Thread/7

Up to Georgia's special elections, Mitch stayed loyal to the cause. The moment Georgia was called, Mitch went public that Trump lost the election - and ever since openly signalled his utter disgust of Trump.
McTurtle Thread/8

WAIT WAIT WAIT

I did not say what you think. ALL of the above does NOT mean that Mitch would vote to convict Trump. I did not say that. Mitch will CALCULATE what his vote will be. He MAY vote to convict. Or to acquit

(i'll explain, hold on)
McTurtle Thread/9

I have been explaining the 'civil war' inside GOP for long on this TW feed. Last month or so, many TV pundits have noticed it too, and proclaim it to be ongoing. I warned you YEARS ago.

The current factions are led by Qevin McCarthy & the McTurtle
McTurtle Thread/10

With the Liz Cheney vote, Mitch McTurtle Senate GOP Leader took the EXCEEDINGLY rare public rebuke of House GOP Leader Qevin McCarthy.

This NEVER happens. Liz voted AGAINST Trump in House. Mitch rushed to HER defense from Senate, undermining Qevin
McTurtle Thread/11

Mitch is too wily to publically commit to vote to convict Trump. Personally he hates Trump. Personally he loves other people voting against Trump (Liz)

But Mitch's vote will NOT be based on his personal preference. Nor will it be based on facts or a 'spine'
McTurtle Thread/12

This is Teenage Mutant Mitch McTurtle math:

If Trump will be convicted, Mitch joins with the convicting side being 68th vote

If Trump is acquitted Mitch also acquits, even if he's 34th vote to acquit

TAKE THIS TO THE BANK. This is REALITY

BUT......
McTurtle Thread/13

Do NOT even CONSIDER Mitch's OWN vote. It CANNOT matter. We deal with 99 OTHER Senators, not Mitch. He will vote with the winning side, regardless which it will be.

What is STUNNING - is that Mitch is WHIPPING the votes AGAINST Trump
McTurtle Thread/14

Mitch NEEDS for Trump to be destroyed (politically) or else Mitch cannot get back into power

Mitch CANNOT himself suggest he'll vote against Trump.

Mitch NEEDS other GOP Senators to abandon Trump and vote to Convict. He needs to do this SECRETLY
McTurtle Thread/15

Look at Mitch's behavior COMPARED to the first Impeachment. He is NOT whipping all GOP Senators to promise to acquit Trump

...neither is his number 2 guy Cornyn !!!

Cornyn ALSO hates Trump, he likely WILL vote to convict
McTurtle Thread/16

Mitch needs 17 sacrificial lambs. Romney has delivered 5. Cassidy yesterday became his 6th. It is LIKELY that most if not all of 'retiring' GOP Senators have secretly agreed with Mitch to vote to convict. With Cornyn, we may have 11 already out of 17
McTurtle Thread/17

The CURRENT talking heads Senators claiming that Trump has the votes to acquit are NOT in GOP leaderhip! Ted Cruz, Ron Johnson, Rand Paul, Lindsey Graham. The nutters are BLUFFING

Pay attention to the McTurtle
McTurtle Thread/18

I am NOT predicting we will win. It doesn't depend on the Senate trial directly. It depends on PUBLIC POLLING so that Mitch can move 6 more GOP Senator to convict

I AM telling you that Mitch is whipping the vote against Trump. Not because he's a good man.
McTurtle Thread/19

I promise you this. The final vote we will get more than 56 Senators. How many more, we won't know until the vote is counted

What WE can do, is demand longer trial, witnesses, and push the polling up. To help Mitch get us the votes

He IS on our side on this

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More from @tomiahonen

11 Feb
Hitler-Trump analogy thread/1

This is not about genocide. This is not about starting the deadliest war, and widest-ranging the planet has seen, World War 2. Hitler did that WHEN he was Dictator.

Trump TRIED to become Dictator. The correct analogy is to the EARLY rise of Hitler
Hitler-Trump analogy thread/2

It is not accurate to compare DICTATOR Hitler to President Trump. It IS accurate to compare POLITICIAN Hitler to POLITICIAN Trump. Their early stage.

Because Hitler ROSE TO POWER when Germany was yes, a DEMOCRACY when that happened.
Hitler-Trump analogy thread/3

Those who have studied Hitler's RISE TO POWER in Democratic Germany of 1920s, & how Hitler destroyed that Democracy & became a Dictator in 1930s (then launched World War 2, the genocide etc, AFTER he became Dictator) - see CLEAR parallels in Trump
Read 20 tweets
11 Feb
And by favorite I mean America's most hated man, Sen Ted Cruz (Q Canada)

We DO know how Cruz will vote. He will be the only iron-clad vote to acquit, who cannot be moved. Even if the vote ends up 99 to 1, Cruz will be the one for Trump

This isn't because Cruz likes Trump haha
Ted Cruz HATES Trump. And it isn't about facts or the law. No it is pure political need. Ted Cruz needs ALL Trump voters, the maganutters for his 2024 run

Oh, and Cruz NEEDS for the OTHER Republicans to convict Trump. Cruz knows he would LOSE the nomination in 2024 to Trump
Yes. Ted Cruz hates Trump. Cruz knows Trump is 100% guilty. Ted Cruz NEEDS for Trump to be convicted and forbidden to run in 2024 - and then Trump will pretend he was Trump's BFF and Cruz expects to inherit the maganutter wing of Trump support for 2024 Presidential nomination.
Read 4 tweets
10 Feb
Because we started this cycle with 56% of America wanting Trump convicted and disbarred, that was why we had so many Republicans announce BEFORE the trial, which way they felt like voting - 5 GOP Senators siding to convict

NOW that polling HAS TO MOVE higher, to pick up Senators
The polling has to get well above 60% for this conviction to become possible and around 65% we should get 17 Republicans = 67 Senators and a Conviction.

Do not FOR ONE MOMENT be 'persuaded' by BULLSHIT poker bluffs that the GOP Senators are saying - or the pundits on TV
However brilliant the argumentation, the GOP Senators WILL NOT grow a spine. It will not happen. However ridiculous the argumentation - IF THE POLLING MOVES UP, we GET MORE GOP SENATORS

It is the PUBLIC pressure that gets us the votes. And we WILL Get more than 56. I promise you
Read 7 tweets
10 Feb
BTW the Jedi Move by Rep Raskin? To announce that he's declining his chance to offer a rebuttal, returning all 36 minutes of time he had, to the Chair

Did you get the ENORMITY of that move. True masterstroke

First. EVERYBODY loved him, including the other side, and ALL Senators
Secondly the DEMs impeachment managers KNEW they had won the day, in fact crushed the opposition (to tears, literally). In that last 36 minutes it would be impossible to achieve MORE than what they did. They MIGHT have gloated or fumbled, diminishing the day
BUT the MASTERSTROKE was the effect on the opposition. The Trump team could not RESPOND, because they had NO TIME to prepare anything.

It left the Trump Defense attorneys not just shell-shocked, they couldn't even prepare answers for the press waiting outside...
Read 4 tweets
10 Feb
The Analysis Thread/1

What the Hell was that? Actually, there is rhyme & reason for what happened today with Trump defense team. As bizarre as it may sound, that was their BEST effort and THIS guy IS their better attorney:

Let me explain
#ImpeachmentTrial #ConvictAndDisqualify
The Analysis Thread/2

We SAW this. The first dude was bizarrely jovial, in no hurry, utterly contradictory, droned on & on, accomplishing nothing

Then second guy runs at his mouth, rushing through wild array of arguments, ending with bizarre, possibly emotional? poetry. Crying
The Analysis Thread/3

Pundits tell us that the first guy was a TOTAL train wreck, at times agreeing with the prosecution

The second guy wasn't that hideous, poorly prepared but had some valid arguments but spoke too fast and was confusing

Why would I say first guy is stronger?
Read 19 tweets
9 Feb
How to EMOTIONALLY take the trial

This is a NIGHTMARE for ALL Republicans. Not just Trump & his closest. Not only magaworld. Not only Senators. ALL Republicans including House, including LOCAL Governors, etc. They NEED it to end fast. It is a lose-lose-lose situation for GOP
We do not 'need' for Trump to be convicted for this to be a HUGE victory for Team Blue. We NEED it to run long, bring witnesses, put pressure on GOP and FORCE THEM TO TAKE A SIDE. Either side (choosing Trump or choosing sanity) is DAMAGING to them politically into 2022 and beyond
Of COURSE we hope that Trump is convicted. What is ALREADY a 'win' for us, is that this time we get a MAJORITY conviction vote (more than 50% of Senators, last time we only got 48% when Romney was only brave Republican). We almost certainly get at least 55% yes votes this time
Read 5 tweets

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