#antigen testing again falsely discredited - this time by @GabrielScally on @cooper_m@TonightVMTV saying that it has “no particularly useful function” and is “positively dangerous”. Here he repeats the erroneous assertions of @deeksj in his now discredited @bmj paper
Dr. Scally asserts that #antigen testing could give “false reassurance” & it “may not pick up more than 50% of + cases”. This is a direct contradiction of the #redlight policy operating in Liverpool where >14k hitherto unidentified cases were discovered in >500k #antigen tests
Liverpool #antigen study showed 84-91% accuracy for cases of #covid19 so Dr Scally is misinformed on the 50% stat. @cooper_m I was on @lstwrd with you earlier and said many things completely contradicting Dr Scally. I sent you this as prep nature.com/articles/d4158…
Which of us is right?We can’t both be on correct side of this question re #antigen sensitivity.Dr Scally is confusing “+ pcr” with “infectious patients”.@cooper_m you must settle this - can’t have diametrically opposite views, on radio at 6 and on tv at 11 @CarrollJennifer
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1/13 Really interesting read Rory. Thx for sharing. I agree, its v difficult to remain clear headed when theres so much data & it can all be interpreted in different ways. Prof. @AndrewEwing11 is unhappy with #Sweden's strategy and has been openly critical - he's entitled to that
2/13 I think that data is being represented in a way that suits the narrative.I added extra columns:"since Aug 7" & "since Sept 7".I used Oct 14 as end point (date of publication).I also highlighted Netherlands in red as it was best performing in the table and good for comparison
3/13 In Sweden from Aug to Oct there was a 3% increase in cumulative deaths per 100k and from Sept to Oct there was a 1% increase. Meanwhile, Netherlands (best of the worst) had 8% & 6% increases in cumulative deaths per 100k respectively.
2/11 If Ct is low (lots of virus) then patient was shedding lots of virus & was infectious; if Ct is high (not much virus) then patient likely to be at end of infection or infected in the past and/or no longer infectious.
3/11 PCR results are quantitative and not only tell us if test is positive or negative, but also tell us HOW positive or negative.@michaelmina_lab: “We have to stop thinking of people as positive or negative, and ask how positive?” sciencemag.org/news/2020/09/o…