#Iran's embattled reformists will launch a new umbrella organization, probably by tomorrow.
The "Iranian Reformist Front" will bring together reformist parties (and not personalities) and will decide whether and who to run for #IranElections2021
Its first head will be ex-MP, ex-minister Behzad Nabavi who is the oldest at 78 (it's a tradition that the oldest member of a body will be its first interim head.) He might also run for the permanent leadership, I am told.
The body has the support of former president Khatami
The 'parties not personalities' distinguished the 'Front' from the already-existing Reformist Policy Council which has about 30 or so members who act as individuals.
In discussions about Iran's factions, it is often forgotten that Rouhani has never been a reformist and has never claimed this title and that even most reformist parties/activities have been heavily repressed since 2009 (obv not as repressed as anti-regimes but still)
Rouhani’s political party, Moderation and Development Party, will most likely be NOT invited to join the IRF.
Also as they are meeting today, a source told me many are pushing for Nabavi to be the head. As it’s around 6 pm in tehran, some news should come out soon
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Iranian Reformist Front (Jebheye Eslathalabane Iran) was officially founded yesterday in Jamaran, Khomeini's historic house near Tehran.
The founding meeting elected Behzad Nabavi as an interim head since he is oldest.
And also 5 people as a committee to draft the IRF's by-laws
The five are:
1- Outspoken Tehran MP @mah_sadeghi 2- Faraj Komijani, politician with a base in an official teachers union 3- Ali Bagheri (low-key politician) 4- @MansooriAzar , noted reformist politician 5- Rouhani's ex-VP @mowlaverdi
Some more pictures of the meeting.
The next meeting of the group is on Wednesday and will be held virtually.
The top question remains whether and who (and how many candidates) to run for the coming #IranElections2021
"But for a certain type of American Jewish organization and philanthropist, so lacking in imagination and independent thought that they need to subcontract their Jewish identity to Israel, BDS provides a "battle" in which they can easily take part."
What the same writer wrote in another article is illuminating:
"For the last decade no one has stopped Israel from doing pretty much whatever it likes in Gaza and the West Bank. No one has put any meaningful pressure on Israel to end the occupation."
For a few years now, world politics has been dominated by right-wing illiberal nationalism of Trump, Modi, Netanyahu, Erdogan, Orban and Putin (Xi is similar, Abe not far off.)
Victory of Biden's liberal-left coalition over Trump is a significant defeat for these politics
The left's response to this quarrel has mostly been a disappointing mess, with honorable exceptions like Bernie and AOC. We have been confused and often lacked a united analysis let alone a response and a proper alternative.
Some leftists refused to take sides between liberal capitalism and illiberal anti-democratic nationalism if they didn't semi-openly cheer for the latter. The liberals, of course, often didn't make things better by making left their primary enemy.
If it’s bad to punish a piece that “essentializes Iranian society” and writes uncritically about any military figure, let alone one openly involved in war crimes, then apologize for having published it AND your editors defending it.
Brief timeline of Qassem Soleimani's 62 years of life #Thread
1957 -- born in a tribal Persian-speaking village of Rabor County, southern Kerman province.
1970 -- Downtrodden family meant he joined a cousin in moving to provincial capital of Kerman to work construction.
1975 -- Late-teen Soleimani finds job in Kerman Water Organization. He was something of a local tough, joined the local gym, was not particular religious.
1976 or 77 -- Ends up in circles around Reza Kamyab, a low-level cleric from Gonabad who was an opposition activist. Like many youngsters, he sometimes helps out, without being very political.
#Iran's Khamenei now faces a hard point of decision-making.
His base (in Iran and across the region) will call on him to retaliate.
But what retaliation against the world's strongest military power with a reckless "gambler" (to quote Soleimani!) in the White House? #Thread
My cautionary prediction: Khamenei will retaliate not against US bases but something much more limited. Will try to sell it as the #SevereRevenge he promised.
Unlike Trump, Khamenei is prudent and has survived decades at the helm. +
Khamenei has never shown reckless or even bold decision-making. His strong self-preservation instinct has always taken over. An attack on US won't be just reckless but suicidal.
There are, ofc, dangers and things might spiral EVEN out of his hand but I'd say that's unlikely.