Thanks to everyone for their words of support this evening, including the #WeStandWithDrHirji tag. I’m deeply humbled by the volume & breadth of support. More importantly, I’m gratified that so many are speaking up against violent language—such discourse corrodes our unity. 1/6
The excessive anger of a few today should not distract from the suffering of many during this pandemic—of social isolation, of loss of income, of losing a business built through a life’s work. Frustration is understandable. Their tragedies aren’t receiving the attention I am. 2/6
The inequalities of our society have been amplified by the pandemic. We have much to do to create true equality & unity. I hope we can increasingly focus on rectifying this, & continue to reduce inequities after the pandemic is over. 3/6
Likewise, let’s not reject those who oppose my position because a few went too far. Civil debate on how best to manage the pandemic is necessary—to improve our response, but also to build shared understanding of the chosen approach. We can be calm & civil, but still disagree. 5/6
#InThisTogether has been a slogan of the pandemic. I hope we can all return to that ethos. Violent threats, political attacks, denigrating those who disagree splinters us rather than unifies us. Let’s listen more, understand each other, & come together through dialogue. 6/6
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When the UK reopened from their fall lockdown (graph), cases were still high & variants were able to surge. The UK went back into lockdown within 3 weeks. Germany is learning from this & not reopening early. Today, the Ontario Science Table shows this is a lesson for us too. 1/7
Their modelling shows by mid- to late-March, Ontario could again be seeing record high daily cases. ICU occupancy would start increasing, before hospitals have even had a chance to get under their capacity threshold. Ontario is staring at another possible lockdown in 1 month. 2/7
To avoid this, we need to lower the reproductive number (R) to the equivalent of 0.7 for the current virus (OV); that equates to 1.0 with the new variant (NV). Ontario currently has a R just under 0.9 in lockdown. That equates to 1.26 with the new variant. Cases would surge. 3/7
It's a hot topic why I'm not ordering a requirement to wear #masks at this time. To be clear, in alignment with @WHO, @PHAC_GC, & @CPHO_Canada, I absolutely recommend we wear #FaceCoverings when we can't keep 2 m #PhysicalDistancing. Here are 3 reasons why I don't require it: 1/8
1. Enforcement. A public health order requires a court filing and an appearance before a judge every time one wishes to enforce it on a person/business. An order would be basically unenforceable. If we don't enforce, it's effectively just a recommendation (already done that). 2/8
2. Strength of science. While science increasingly supports #facecoverings are likely effective at slowing #COVID19 spread, research is still weak. E.g. @TheLancet systematic review finds much potential benefit, but only “low certainty” that effective. thelancet.com/journals/lance… 3/8