.@UKandEU have just released a next wave of our #BrexitWitnessArchive - not as box office as Philip Hammond but intriguing nonetheless. a few tasters. Let me start with @GavinBarwell
That leadership contest did Theresa May no favours on Brexit. No chance to put some flesh on what her - rather than a purist Leadsom Brexit might look like
After the election, Barwell was tapped up to become Chief of Staff. Here are his tips on how to establish a connection with a notoriously buttoned up boss
And Barwell reflects on why that decision by the EU to insist on sequencing made it so difficult to pass the Withdrawal Agreement - and why he think May's backstop would have led to a better deal (@stephenkb to note)
Three of them in a marriage.. Barwell on the eternal awkwardness of being Brexit secretary
Barwell on 3 big points of disagreement between May and Johnson - he reckons its 1-1 at the moment - and the jury is distinctly out on the last
slight detour.. why Michael Gove could sign up to alignment on goods
and one for our friends in the DUP to think about
Long and interesting account of Chequers.. I will not snip that .. but we asked whether the govt thought it would sell in the EU... they thought they had reason to after meetings with Rutte and Merkel
we have got a new @UKandEU set of #Brexitwitnessarchive interviews out this week - and on Wednesday our very own @hayward_katy is on a panel @instituteforgov talking about the Johnson NI protocol. so let's see how we got there... THREAD!!!!
all the Cabinet members we talked about agreed on the importance for May of not destablising Northern ireland - and her gradual realisation of the threat Brexit posed - this from @DLidington
and as he reminds us there was a pretty unbalanced view from Parliament in 2017-19 with the wipe-out of the SDLP and Sinn Fein abstentionism
we talk a lot about optimism bias as a reason govt projects go wrong-- assuming things can be delivered too quickly and at lower cost than it usually turns out .. @instituteforgov and @NAOorguk both have written on this
and optimism - and making people feel optimistic is a huge asset in politics.. whether its Boris boosterism, Obama hope/change or a Blairite new dawn
But optimism seems to have been the curse of UK politics in the past decade.. first David Cameron's assumption he could wing - and win - a referendum because guys like him just always wing and win... #effortlesssuperiority
Northcote-Trevelyan was a long time ago and things have moved on.. Rigour has been watered down - no technical assessments before promotions leads to lack of commercial skills.. but gaps in data - contract overruns
obsession with policy as theory not as impact on people.. but implementers rarely in room when policy made - but impact on the most dependent.. diversity of georgraphy and cognition needed (don't think anyone will challenge this motherhoody list)
Big message is that-as Gove points out - there is much less difference between deal/no deal than last year - or than there would have (probably) been with a deal May negotiated "Canada and Australia are similar but not identical"
But the problem with an acrimonious no deal (and could it really be anything else since govt upped the ante with #IMbill) is that it reduces likelihood of EU making life easier for UK through unilateral measures
those Cs .. a lack of coordination - we argue we need a beefed up net zero unit in @cabinetofficeuk Cabinet Office - too big for @CommonsBEIS BEIS to manage on its own
A lack of certainty and policy consistency - govt needs to prepare a joined up plan charting a roadmap to 2050 - setting out how each sector will decarbonise - and what how the system joins up --
I think we need a finer gradation of U-turns: changing advice when there is additional scientific evidence is a GOOD THING... (though you could say if the govt was more wedded to the precautionary approach, less need to change)
real U-turns are when you take a palpably untenable decision and then are forced into a volte face when nothing new is known except political pressure .. so exam results; school meals; migrant surcharge...
these are the areas where the govt failed to stress test their initial decisions.. and then folded when they could not stomach opposition..