NEW: GOP voters have taken a dimmer view of most of their senators in recent months amid all that's happened since Nov. 3.
It underscores DJT's hold on the base as the Senate GOP looks to 1) avoid contentious primary elections and 2) win in '22. Deep dive morningconsult.com/2021/02/16/gop…
It underscores DJT's hold on the base as the Senate GOP looks to 1) avoid contentious primary elections and 2) win in '22. Deep dive morningconsult.com/2021/02/16/gop…
In South Dakota, Senate Republican Whip John Thune saw his approval rating with GOP voters fall 16 points since Election Day, and only 22% of his party's voters back him "strongly" morningconsult.com/2021/02/16/gop… #SDSen
In Missouri, Josh Hawley's brand is on much stronger footing than Roy Blunt's with Republican voters as strategists believe the senior senator to be particularly vulnerable to a primary challenger. morningconsult.com/2021/02/16/gop… #MOSen
Our tracking polling shows that the way Republican voters have reacted to even modest distancing from DJT stands in contrast to Dems and Indys – a sign of the challenges of simultaneously satisfying both the base and the broader electorate in the Trump era morningconsult.com/2021/02/16/gop…
In Ohio, @NICHOLASEVRHART says the 45th president remains very popular with the GOP base: “I don’t think anybody who’s running from him will succeed, and the guys who aren’t ‘Trumpy’ aren’t going to badmouth him.” morningconsult.com/2021/02/16/gop… #OHSen
In North Carolina, @ThomTillis strategist Paul Shumaker has a warning for those who say Biden's mere presidency means a Senate victory: "I think McConnell and company recognize it’s a much bigger lift than just that.” (See McConnell in the WSJ!) morningconsult.com/2021/02/16/gop… #NCSen
The Tar Heel State could feature the Trumpy primary v. not Trumpy general dynamics. There's the talk of Lara Trump (though many strategists don't believe it's legit), former governor Pat McCrory and a '?' over whether Mark Meadows is fully out. morningconsult.com/2021/02/16/gop… #NCSen
In #PASen, the GOP primary field is expected to get quite large in a state that Biden won by a very narrow margin: Carla Sands, Kenneth Braithwaite, Jeff Bartos, Ryan Costello and current members of Congress are all in the mix as potential candidates. morningconsult.com/2021/02/16/gop…
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