Much misinformation out there about #Texaspoweroutage, @ERCOT_ISO, wind and solar power, and thermal generators (gas and coal). Let's review what we think we know right now. @TPPF @Life_Powered_ 1/10
Two problems in #Texas, one short term and exacerbated by the long term issue, and one long term. 2/10
The short term failure came at about 1 AM Monday when #ERCOT should have seen the loads soaring due to plummeting temperatures and arranged for more generation. 3/10
Texas came very close to having a system-wide outage for the whole state (ERCOT area, about 85% of the state) due to not arranging for more generation. 4/10
This tripped the grid, knocking some reliable thermal plants (gas and coal) offline. This was a failure of the grid operator (ERCOT) not the power plants. 5/10
In the last 4-5 years, Texas lost a net of 3,000 megawatts of thermal out of a total installed capacity 73,000 megawatts today. We lost the thermal power because operators couldn’t see a return on investment due to be undercut by wind and solar... 6/10
...which is cheap for two reasons – it’s subsidized and it doesn’t have to pay for the costs of grid reliability by purchasing battery farms or contracting with gas peaker plants to produce power when needed, not when they can. 7/10
Meanwhile, Texas has seen a growth of 20,000 megawatts of wind and solar over the same period to 34,000 megawatts of installed capacity (they rarely perform anywhere close to capacity). This subsidized (state and federal) wind and solar have pushed... 8/10
...reliable thermal operators out of business or prevented new generation from being built as operators can’t make money off of the market. This reduced the capacity margin – grids must have excess capacity to ensure stability. 9/10
Texas is experiencing what California has – with California affecting the entire Western Interconnection due to its policies. Blackouts are a feature of the push to have more unreliable renewables on the grid. Must pay $$ for reliable backup w/ renewables 10/10

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More from @ChuckDeVore

18 Feb
See the second page of @ERCOT_ISO's latest reliability assessment.… Under the top table describing the reserve margins, they have a table labelled “Range of Potential Risks.” 1/10 @TPPF @Life_Powered_ #texaspoweroutage
Something between the 4th and 5th columns is what happened this week. Add 2,000 MW of demand above ERCOT’s adjustment here (they assumed a record of 67,200 MW) and 10,000 MW from planned thermal outages, likely for maintenance, going into the cold front. 2/10
Take out another 1,600-1,900 MW from lower wind production than in the baseline, and reserves are below 2,000 MW. That’s where Texas was Sunday night. 3/10
Read 11 tweets
31 Aug 20
Thoughts on the state of the race for President. Running for a major office is an exhausting endeavor. In my own experience, I had two intense campaigns: my first primary win for California State Assembly in 2004 and my run for the U.S. Senate in 2010. 1/9
In 2004, I was up against 5 other opponents, including a self-funded candidate who had about $1 million spent on her behalf. Each day was a contest: raising money, giving speeches, seeking endorsements, meeting voters.… 2/9
I flew up to Sacramento to seek support from lawmakers and various trade associations. At the end of the day, I flew back to Orange County. I was in the airport, having dinner, when I saw my main opponent. I was exhausted. 3/9
Read 9 tweets
8 Aug 20
U.S. intelligence assesses that #China & #Iran are working against @realDonaldTrump's reelection while #Russia is working against @JoeBiden. Let's think about this. As a Strategic Studies major at @CMCnews, I studied the Cold War...… 1/5
This included Soviet communist ideology (Marxist-Leninism) and Western ideology. We had a clash of systems and beliefs, not just national might like tanks, ships, and nuclear missiles. Eventually, we won the Cold War. 2/5
I did my part as a @USArmy intelligence officer and as a Reagan appointee in the Pentagon (a special assistant for foreign affairs). So, today, why is Russia seemingly on one side and China and Iran on the other? Simple answer is national interest. 3/5
Read 5 tweets
7 Aug 20
Texas @TexasDSHS just updated their #COVID dashboard for the day. Some takeaways: They are now breaking out the 3 main types of test results, molecular, antibody, and antigen and providing positive numbers for each... @TPPF 1/4
(You can see the dashboard here:…); COVID hospitalizations continue to trend down, now back to where they were around July 4, though the #Laredo region continues to be strained, with 1 ICU bed open; 2/4
The 7-day average of new cases continues to trend down while the number of estimated active cases is down to a level last seen on July 16. 3/4
Read 4 tweets
25 Jul 20
I’m thankful that the American people are waking up to the danger from the People’s Republic of #China. It’s taken longer than it should have because our foreign policy elites grew too comfortable and rich off the status quo. 1/14
In 1998, I took 5 months off from work to research and write a novel warning of a coming conflict with China. “China Attacks,” with co-author @StevenWMosher, was the result of this effort.… 2/14
As a U.S. Army intelligence officer, I spent months researching the equipment, doctrine, and order of battle of the People’s Liberation Army forces arrayed next to the #Taiwan Straits. I war gamed a potential conflict and then turned it into a novel. 3/14
Read 14 tweets
22 Jul 20
Looks like Wichita County Clerk Lori Bohannon was on to something when she expressed concerns that expanded mail-in balloting could open the door to voter fraud.… @TPPF
@KenPaxtonTX @GovAbbott 1/5
#Texas election law requires that people under the age of 65 who vote by mail vote from out of their county on Election Day (military and college students, mostly), be disabled or otherwise be in jail awaiting trial and otherwise be eligible to vote. 2/5
Due to #COVID19, some campaigns and election organizations have been promoting the idea that fear of catching #COVID19 counts as a disability under Texas law. It doesn’t. If you can go to the grocery store safely, you can vote safely. 3/5
Read 5 tweets

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