Thread by @CAPimmigration

Following hurricanes Eta & Iota and the ongoing pandemic and pervasive food insecurity, @amprog called on @DHSgov and @StateDept to redesignate El Salvador, Honduras, and Nicaragua for #TPS and issue a new initial designation for Guatemala.
americanprogress.org/issues/immigra…

Since TPS was first created by Congress more than 30 years ago, skeptics have expressed concern that #TPS designations will encourage more people to migrate to the US.

📣A new @amprog @TomWongPhD column finds no evidence to support this.
americanprogress.org/?p=495821

First, to qualify for TPS, a person must have already been in the United States prior to the date of the designation; people who arrive later are ineligible for protection unless and until the country is subsequently redesignated for TPS.

One prior study found strong statistical evidence that #TPS designations decrease the demand for regular and irregular migration to the US and another found no evidence of a “magnet effect.”.

💡New analysis by @TomWongPHD of DHS data on apprehensions of people from El Salvador, Honduras, and Nicaragua finds no statistical evidence of a post-TPS magnet effect over time. Instead the data show two things:

1⃣: There was no immediate post-TPS increase in the number of Nicaraguans, Hondurans, and Salvadorans apprehended by immigration enforcement officials in the years immediately following the granting of TPS for any of these three countries.

2⃣: Trends in apprehensions of Nicaraguans, Hondurans, and Salvadorans generally do not statistically significantly differ from trends in the apprehensions of nationals from countries outside of Central America over the approximately 10-year period after the granting of TPS.

As concerns over whether granting #TPS incentivizes undocumented immigration are not supported by empirical evidence, policymakers should continue to use TPS, in accordance with the statute, to provide humanitarian protections where warranted. #BeyondTemporary

Today, this means that #TPS designations should be used to promote stability and recovery in Central American countries hammered by hurricanes Eta & Iota and protect people already in the US from being returned to dangerous conditions abroad. americanprogress.org/issues/immigra…