This is probably the best provision on legal immigration in the U.S. Citizenship Act (Biden bill). It would make family-sponsored immigration functional and realistic for the first time in many decades.
At the same time, it effectively increases the family-sponsored cap from the FB floor of 226,000 to the cap of 480,000 by ending the requirement to deduct immediate relatives from the cap.
It also increases the EB cap, though not by nearly as much😡, from 140K to 170K and recaptures the 225K unused EB green cards since 1992. That would help with backlog reduction, but not dramatically. Demand would still far exceed supply
It removes from the FB cap the F2A category for spouses and minor children of LPRs by classifying them as immediate relatives, freeing up almost 90K additional green cards for family members of U.S. citizens and legal permanent residents.
This is only the outline text. But I don't see anything in here that would preclude all backlogged legal immigrants in the US from qualifying for the pathways to citizenship for Dreamers, farm workers, and others.
Biden bill will end EB country caps and increase family based country caps to 20%. There's a typo that says that EB would go to 20%, but they are clearly repealed later.
Spouses and children of H-1B workers could receive employment authorization and most children would be protected from aging out while the petition is pending.
This is nearly as important as the V visa for family-sponsored applicants. Guaranteeing that students on OPT don't lose their status makes the H1B cap far less important. That's huge!
A permanent end to endless wait times! Max wait time will be 10 years. It won't matter much for EB since all of those cases will disappear under the path to citizenship, but it will help many family-sponsored cases.
This is a nice nod to Cato's state-based visa idea, but it has almost no explanation of what this is. The cap makes it seem like it's an EB-5 spinoff. But it could be almost anything.
Exempting STEM PhDs is nice, but all this provision would do, if the cap is binding, is force immigrants to unnecessarily get PhDs. What's the point of that? Just make it a master's degree.
Flexible EB cap, yay, but wait... they can only *lower* the cap. No authority to *increase* it during times of low unemployment. Very bad. And it plays into the protectionist nonsense that Biden rejected just last year when he denounced the visa bans. Skilled workers create jobs!
Big oversights: 1) No exemption for derivatives of legal immigrants. The derivatives gobble up half the cap and will take half of it for FB now that F2A is uncapped. That was in some early reports about the Biden plan, who would oppose it?
2) Nothing improves the process at all for seasonal agricultural or nonagricultural workers on H-2A or H-2B outside of the Pacific territories. These programs are the main way for employment-based migration by lower-skilled workers.
3) This is the only provision for year-round lower-skilled workers. Employers already don't use all the EB green cards b/c the permanent labor certification process is horrible and far too expensive when you're hiring someone for $12.50/hour. Year-round work visas are needed.
Another positive: The diversity lottery would increase by 25,000. Why not more?
Overall, if the final text holds, the pathway to citizenship would benefit both illegal AND legal immigrants, clearing away the EB backlog. The V Visa changes and other FB reforms means that the FB backlog will not be a major issue going forward
Despite Biden saying he supports seasonal workers, there's no H-2B cap relief. There's no H-2A streamlining. There's nothing at all for year-round temporary workers. That's a big loss and a sign that they won't make it bipartisan.

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More from @David_J_Bier

17 Feb
This makes, um, no sense at all. Also, most of the 11 million ARE Hispanics, and most did not come on planes and overstay. What is he trying to say and how is it even relevant to the question? newsweek.com/joe-biden-cnn-…
And it gets worse from there! He says you have to seek asylum from abroad. Well, you control the asylum system now. You can do something about that now! Open the ports. Let people apply. Do what you said you'd do.
Honestly, Trump made more sense than this. He says he wants 125,000 refugees. But he only raised the cap to 62,500. He's in charge of the refugee program. He doesn't need a Refugee Bill. And he says, "There is a reasonable path to citizenship"--for who exactly? Not relevant...
Read 4 tweets
16 Feb
My new long paper explains the H-2B visa—one of the most regulatory complex visa programs in America and how to improve it. Every year including 2020 and 2021, the #H2B visa cap (last updated in 1990) is filled, leaving thousands of jobs unfilled cato.org/publications/p…
Employers must undertake costly and lengthy recruitment efforts and offer inflated wages, but they almost never find U.S. workers to fill the positions. The program has helped greatly reduce illegal immigration from Mexico. Here are some major findings.
H2B mandated wages have risen at twice the rate of wages overall and DOL continues to certify as unfilled by U.S. workers and ever greater number of jobs each year
Read 8 tweets
19 Jan
Long thread: Because I couldn’t find anything comprehensive, I’m just going to post everything I’ve seen in the news/Twitter about Trump’s activities related to the Jan 6th insurrection. I think the timing & context of his actions/inactions will matter a lot for a senate trial.
12/12: The earlier DC protest over the electoral college vote during clearly inspired Jan 6th. On Dec 12th, he tweeted: “Wow! Thousands of people forming in Washington (D.C.) for Stop the Steal. Didn’t know about this, but I’ll be seeing them! #MAGA.”
12/19: Trump announces the Jan. 6th event by tweeting, “Big protest in D.C. on January 6th. Be there, will be wild!” Immediately, insurrectionists begin to discuss the “Wild Protest.” Just 2 days later, this UK political analyst predicts the violence
Read 43 tweets
7 Jan
Congress is much more likely to pass substantive immigration reforms this Congress. Key Senate Republicans have lost their positions to object to passage of bills containing liberalized immigration provisions, and it's clear that the House will act aggressively.
The most likely method will be changes to immigration enforcement policy & legalizations that will be included in must-pass legislation like appropriation bills. These legalizations could include almost anything up to and including the Dream Act/green cards for TPS recipients
But I think the preferred method for the Dream Act/Dream & Promise Act would be a standalone bill initially with other legalization provisions on must-pass bills. Dreamers have bipartisan support and are the most likely legalization to hit 60 senate votes.
Read 12 tweets
18 Dec 20
New! @CatoInstitute published today 30 short essays by 15 authors including some of America's leading immigration law experts urging Biden to go beyond reversing Trump's cuts & act to streamline & expand legal #immigration w/ agency action #BuildBackBetter cato.org/publications/s…
My coauthors & I sped after Nov 7 to compile the most rigorous but brief & readable cases for specific exec actions. Thanks @IraKurzban @CyrusMehta @WStock215 @AllyBolour @DavidKubat @AngeloPaparelli @SYaleLoehr @ASGvisalaw @GSiskind @MLaCorte_ @AILANational (& Amy/Scott/Lindsay)
Our list (1) is solely #legalimmigration & (2) goes past all Trump actions. We feel reversing them is not enough. Obviously, we didn’t touch on every issue, but went for novel or high impact ideas. This list sets the bar high but much more needs to be done by the admin & Congress
Read 34 tweets
11 Dec 20
Here is my attempt visualize the harm President Trump has caused not in terms of policies, but in terms of people, immigrants not coming to America, not receiving permanent residence, or being denied employment authorization and status.
cato.org/blog/visualizi…
Immigrant visa issuances were down 83 percent in October 2020 compared to FY 2016. Even before the pandemic, permanent immigration from abroad had declined by about 24 percent.
One reason for fewer issuances: USCIS started denying petitions for immigrant visas at a much higher rate. The denial rate basically doubled from about 8 percent in FY 2016 to 16 percent in the third quarter of FY 2020.
Read 17 tweets

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