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Yaneer Bar-Yam Profile picture
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21 Feb, 4 tweets, 3 min read
For the first time since July 2020, the United Kingdom has moved from “needs action” (red) to “nearly there” (yellow) on EndCoronavirus.org/countries.

Congrats! Keep going!
The 7-day averages for both daily cases and deaths have reached new highs in Brazil.

To investigate the effects of their vaccine, Brazil plans to vaccinate the entire population of Serrana, a city in Sao Paulo.

cnn.com/2021/02/17/ame…
Progress in Canada has slowed during this last week. Ontario, BC, Alberta, and Manitoba are no longer declining.

Yesterday Canada reported 3,083 new cases and 72 deaths.
In Atlantic Canada, the outbreak of B.1.1.7 in Newfoundland and Labrador continues.

In the last two weeks, NL reported 451 new cases, more than half of their total for the entire pandemic.

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More from @yaneerbaryam

Yaneer Bar-Yam Profile picture
22 Feb
Cases in Italy recently leveled off around 12,000 new cases per day, with cases increasing in Lombardia. Yesterday Italy reported 14,914 new cases and 251 deaths.

Today marks one year since Italy’s first reported covid death. ImageImageImage
Czechia reports both increasing cases and deaths. Yesterday they reported 11,364 new cases and 184 deaths.

Comparing per capita case rates, Czechia is ~3.5x higher than the US. ImageImageImage
US reports improvement in almost every state. Daily cases are down to ⅓ of peak, hospitalizations down to less than ½ of peak, and deaths 60% of peak. Image
Read 5 tweets
Yaneer Bar-Yam Profile picture
20 Feb
Snap Out of Your Pandemic Passivity.

"The rise of variants demands action. Here’s why we should join the ‘get-to-zero’ movement.

"The COVID-19 pandemic has gained an insidious advantage. Below the surface, the more infectious variants are rising.

thetyee.ca/Analysis/2021/…
"Put out the fire

"A pandemic (and COVID is mild one) is viral fire that burns down households, and communities.

2/
"In a real fire, citizens expect firefighters to do their job. While battling a blaze, they don’t suddenly roll up the hoses and tell homeowners they’d better learn how to live with this fire for now.

3/
Read 7 tweets
Yaneer Bar-Yam Profile picture
20 Feb
Good news!

The state of Puducherry, India joins our “Winners Circle”

Congratulations!

India continues to report great progress. Currently 13 states and territories report less than 20 new cases per day, our “Winners Circle” at endcoronavirus.org/india-states-ut.
22 regions are in our “nearly there” category, new cases below ⅕ of their peak. Several are very close to “winning”: Andhra Pradesh, Bihar, Chandigarh, Goa, Himachal Pradesh, Jharkhand, and Uttarakhand.
The only region in India that is currently in our “needs action” category is Kerala. After initial success, Kerala opened up too soon and is now one of the hardest-hit regions.

Outbreaks in Kozhikode, Ernakulam and Malappuram districts are responsible for many of the cases.
Read 5 tweets
Yaneer Bar-Yam Profile picture
19 Feb
Daily cases in Denmark have remained roughly constant since Feb. 1st.

Unfortunately, nearly half of all cases are now from B.1.1.7, and estimates show that cases of the UK variant are still growing in Denmark with R~1.2.

Portugal reports rapid decreases in both daily cases and deaths. Their recent lockdown began Jan. 15 (gray line).

Yesterday they reported 2,324 cases and 127 deaths.
After declaring a state of emergency and putting NPIs in place on Jan 7, Japan reports a significant reduction in daily cases.

Yesterday they reported 1,461 new cases, nearly ⅕ of peak.
Read 4 tweets
Yaneer Bar-Yam Profile picture
18 Feb
The US reports progress in almost every state. Now 16 states are reporting case levels below ⅕ of their peak.

See more: EndCoronavirus.org/states
Both Guam and the US Virgin Islands remain green, as they report very few cases per day. Well done!
New variants are still a significant concern in US, which now has 1,277 confirmed cases of the more transmissible, more severe B.1.1.7 “UK” variant. Nearly ⅓ of which are found in Florida.

4.7% of the US is now fully vaccinated.
Read 5 tweets
Yaneer Bar-Yam Profile picture
17 Feb
US will record over 500,000 deaths and we know many more have happened. ImageImageImageImage
Peru’s summer resurgence is now showing case and death rates similar to their previous peaks. Stress on their medical system forced much of the country into a lockdown, which started Jan 31.

cnn.com/2021/01/27/ame… ImageImage
Chile is showing similar behavior to Peru, with more than 90% of current hospitalizations in Chile being due to COVID-19.

Yesterday Chile reported 3,332 cases and 83 new deaths.

plenglish.com/index.php?o=rn… ImageImage
Read 4 tweets

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