1/9 - “Deaths in Mexico last year were 52% higher than in previous yes, putting the rate of excess deaths during the #COVID19 pandemic well above that in some countries seen as suffering the worst outbreaks in the world, including the US, UK and Brazil.”ft.com/content/44a1f0…
2/9 - “New official data showed Mexico has registered 977,081 deaths since Mar 2020, compared with an expected 641,556 for the same period based on the 2015-19 death tolls. Since the start of the epidemic, Mexico has more than 2m cases and almost 180,000 deaths from #COVID19.”
3/9 - “Total excess deaths per million in Mexico last year were 2,602 — 52% higher than 1,713 in the US, 75% higher than the UK, and 100% than Brazil’s 1,047, Eugenio Sánchez, a Mexican statistician who has examined world mortality data compiled by Israeli economist A Karlinsky.”
4/9 - “Peru was the world’s worst-hit nation, according to that data, and Ecuador and Bolivia have also been hard hit in terms of excess deaths during the pandemic, underscoring the virus' heavy human toll on Latin America.”
5/9 - “Mexico City’s excess deaths tally per million was 46 per cent higher than the next worst city, Lima; 157 per cent above New York, 190 per cent above Madrid, and some 349 per cent higher than London, according to Mexican data and the FT’s coronavirus tracker.”
6/9-“Mexico imposed a nationwide lockdown from Mar to Jun 20 but has not enforced confinement measures, enacted travel bans or made mask-wearing mandatory, arguing that draconian measures could not work in a country with millions in informal jobs needing to work in order to eat.”
7/9-“These are the conseq of a strategy based on trying to do nothing to reduce the damage instead of trying to prevent the conseq,”said M Jaramillo-Molina, LSE who researches inequality. He found that the death toll in Mex City had disproportionately hit poorest neighbourhoods.”
8/9 - “The reason there are lots of deaths is that there have been lots of infections,” she said. “Mexico didn’t close its borders or do mass testing and isolation.”
9/9 - “The nationwide excess mortality data could yet be revised higher since reporting from some states experiences delays.”

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More from @FLAHAULT

21 Feb
1/7 - “The #COVID19 vaccine made by BioNTech and Pfizer has been highly effective at preventing infection in Israel, according to the first real-world data showing that vaccination stops transmission of the virus.”
ft.com/content/2626ec…
2/7 - “The results gathered by Israel’s health ministry [...] showed that the vaccine was 89 per cent effective at preventing infection of any kind and 94 per cent effective against symptomatic infection.”
3/7 - “The new data — which has not yet been peer reviewed — provide the first real-world demonstration of the vaccine’s effectiveness and offers hope that those immunised will also help to stem the spread of infection.”
Read 7 tweets
21 Feb
1/22. Feb 21 to Feb 27 -
Daily #COVID19 epidemic forecasting for 192 countries/territories. Vaccine figures per country in summary tables.
Dashboard: renkulab.shinyapps.io/COVID-19-Epide…
Data source: coronavirus.jhu.edu & ourworldindata.org/coronavirus
Powered by @ISG_UNIGE & @SDSCdatascience
2/22 - Norway (and Finland), two European champions in fighting #COVID19 are currently facing strong pressure from the epidemic, both rising in incidence, and leaving their safety zone, R-eff respectively=1.11 (and 1.12), with still very low levels of mortality, for 7 more days.
3/22. Portugal is rapidly landing towards its #COVID19 safety zone (R-eff=0.51), can be reached by mid-week, at this pace, and decreasing in mortality, from very high to high - by mid-week too - levels, in the 7 upcoming days.
Read 24 tweets
20 Feb
1/22. Feb 20 to Feb 26 -
Daily #COVID19 epidemic forecasting for 192 countries/territories. Vaccine figures per country in summary tables.
Dashboard: renkulab.shinyapps.io/COVID-19-Epide…
Data source: coronavirus.jhu.edu & ourworldindata.org/coronavirus
Powered by @ISG_UNIGE & @SDSCdatascience Image
2/22 - Norway (and Finland), two European champions in fighting #COVID19 are currently facing the pressure of the epidemic, either increasing (or plateauing) just above of their safety zone, R-eff respectively=1.09 (and 1.02), with very low levels of mortality, for 7 more days. ImageImage
3/22. Portugal is rapidly landing towards its #COVID19 safety zone (R-eff=0.55), can be reached next weekend, at this pace, and decreasing in mortality, from very high to high - by the weekend too - levels, for 7 more days. ImageImage
Read 24 tweets
20 Feb
1/8 - Switzerland -Feb 20 to 26-
#COVID19 is improving in 12 cantons (orange zones, Re<0.9) while plateauing/deteriorating in 14 cantons (red). Nidwalden is in green zone.
Data: zh.ch/de/politik-sta…
Dashboard: renkulab.shinyapps.io/COVID-19-Epide…
Powered by @ISG_UNIGE & @SDSCdatascience Image
2/8 - Valais is landing towards its #COVID19 safety zone (R-eff=0.75), close to reach it, plateauing in mortality at very high levels, for 7 more days. ImageImage
3/8 - Geneva is slowly landing towards its #COVID19 safety zone (R-eff=0.90), at medium levels of activity, with no expected mortality, for 7 more days. Image
Read 10 tweets
20 Feb
1/10 - USA. Feb 20 to Feb 26 -
The #COVID19 situation is improving in many states, being close to their safety zone, with decreasing mortality although still at very high or high levels.
9 states detailed in:
renkulab.shinyapps.io/COVID-19-Epide…
Powered by @ISG_UNIGE & @SDSCdatascience Image
2/10 - Massachusetts will be landing towards its #COVID19 safety zone (R-eff=0.83), from high to medium - by early next week - levels of activity, decreasing in mortality too, from very high to high - by mid-week - levels, in the 7 upcoming days. ImageImage
3/10 - Vermont will be plateauing at high levels in its #COVID19 epidemic activity (R-eff=1.03), with very low levels of mortality, for 7 more days. ImageImage
Read 12 tweets
20 Feb
1/5 - Canada – Feb 20 to Feb 26 –
The #COVID19 epidemic situation is slowly improving in most provinces/territories which are close to reach their safety zones.
Forecasting for 13 Provinces/Territories:
renkulab.shinyapps.io/COVID-19-Epide…
Powered by @ISG_UNIGE & @SDSCdatascience Image
2/5 - Quebec is slowly landing towards its #COVID19 safety zone (R-eff=0.88), close to reach it, with medium to low levels of mortality, for 7 more days. ImageImage
3/5 - Ontario is slowly landing towards its #COVID19 safety zone (R-eff=0.87), very close to reach it, decreasing in mortality too at medium levels, for 7 more days. ImageImage
Read 7 tweets

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