re: the latest market jitters, here's what is happening in a nutshell:

Asset prices & total debt have become far too inflated and require ever-increasing amounts of monetary stimulus to prop it all up.

$SPY $QQQ
As with heroin addiction, the economy builds up a tolerance to stimulus and requires more and more to prevent "dope sickness."

Of course, the central banks WILL give in and pump more stimulus.

But, ultimately, it will kill the addict.

This massive global debt bubble requires ultra-low interest rates to avoid imploding.

That's why every time rates increase ever-so-slightly, the markets panic.

When will it all blow up? It's impossible to tell because it's so manipulated, which makes it even more maddening.
Our global bubble economy is like a jack-in-the-box toy from hell:

You keep turning the knob, but it's impossible to predict when the demons will pop out...but it's just a matter of time.

Nothing you do can prevent the shock when it happens.
Is this the top before the bubble bursts? I honestly don't know...nobody knows. It's unknowable because it's so manipulated. It's not even a market.

And when it does finally crash, I don't foresee it going straight down like a traditional bear market:

I honestly feel very sorry for anyone who has to be a "Market Strategist" in these times.

This so-called "market" gives nothing but false signals & fake-outs.

That's why I'm out of that world & don't dwell much on the day-to-day minutiae.

I hope you all understand.

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More from @TheBubbleBubble

18 Feb
I’m literally dipping into my famous canned ham and ramen because the roads are still icy and I just don’t feel like venturing out.

See, it’s coming in handy! 😂
Here’s the backstory for those who don’t know:
I prefer the DAK ham over Spam. DAK is the premium stuff.

If I’m dipping into the Spam, that’s how you know we’re in a bad situation. ;)
Read 5 tweets
18 Feb
My thoughts on Bitcoin breaking above $50k: there’s virtually no limit to how high it can go.

Once you’re in uncharted territory like this and euphoria is fueling it, expect to see some wonky things.

I don’t think it’s a good idea for everyday people to chase it at this point.
Bitcoin has long been on my list of favorite alternative investments, but I’ve never been a fanatic like much of the HODLer community.

I rarely develop a religious fervor for things aside from basic principles like liberty, free markets, etc.

My rarely developing a religious fervor also applies to political leaders.

I find the Trump personality cult to be very bizarre.

He simply wasn’t a good leader. He didn’t stick to core conservative principles like limited gov’t, sound money, and free markets.
Read 7 tweets
17 Feb
It’s still on-off-on-off. I’m becoming really irritated with this whole situation.

This electricity crisis and extreme weather is the 2021 continuation/version of the coronavirus pandemic shutdowns and chaos of one year ago.

Society is breaking down.

People laugh at me for being a prepper.

Well, I have so many damn good reasons for being one and this weather/electricity crisis is more vindication.

Supermarkets across Texas are being cleaned out once again!

But one important lesson I’ve learned is to become even less reliant on the grid.

People here in Texas (including myself) aren’t properly prepared for snow and extreme cold.

I underestimated that risk because I’m from New York (I’ve been through some serious blizzards!).
Read 5 tweets
16 Feb
MicroStrategy to borrow $600 million to buy more bitcoin: reuters.com/article/crypto… by @ReutersNoor $BTC $ETH $MSTR
Borrowing to buy Bitcoin...that doesn’t sound risky at all!

That’s where we are in the cycle...

MicroStrategy is practically synonymous with “tech bubble.”

They were one of the poster children for the late-1990s Dot-com bubble (see chart below).

Is history repeating? Image
Read 5 tweets
9 Feb
Is This The Biggest Financial Bubble Ever? Hell, Yes, It Is: dollarcollapse.com/biggest-financ… @dollarcollapse $SPY $QQQ
Fund Manager Mark Yusko: US stocks are in a bubble - "Look at the parabolic moves by a number of companies like Tesla": cnn.com/2021/02/08/inv… @MarkYusko @MattEganCNN $TSLA $QQQ
Read 4 tweets
8 Feb
Why are the markets going ballistic? Why is Bitcoin soaring? What explains the rise of the Robinhood traders?

The answer is the incredible amount of new liquidity looking for a home ->
To understand the implications of rampant money printing (see chart above) and the speculative manias & false booms that it unleashes, I implore you to read this excellent free ebook, "Dying of Money: Lessons of the Great German & American Inflations":

recision.files.wordpress.com/2010/12/jens-p…
Please pay attention to Germany's hyperinflation, esp. in the early stages. Read about the stock trading mania, the false economic boom that resulted from all of the newly printed money, and how it all ended in tears.

We're making the same mistake today!

Read 9 tweets

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